Jaded-Worry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$573

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.5%

Resolved

16,648

Trades

25,448

lifetime

Volume

$124.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 10-24 06:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 151 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 82% +$665

Other

1% 76% -$83

Tech

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 782 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	14	$103	76	66	+10	Up	+$20	05-15 13:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 07:00 UTC	2	$95	62	62	+0	Up	-$15	08-11 07:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 21:00 UTC	2	$94	62	62	+0	Down	-$10	08-10 21:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 17:15 UTC	2	$82	60	60	+0	Down	-$22	08-10 17:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	2	$82	62	62	+0	Up	-$22	08-10 12:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 13:15 UTC	2	$80	50	50	+0	Up	-$11	08-10 13:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 01:00 UTC	2	$78	70	70	+0	Up	-$32	08-11 01:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 06:30 UTC	2	$77	66	66	+0	Down	-$33	08-11 06:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 03:15 UTC	2	$74	66	66	+0	Down	-$26	08-14 03:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 23:45 UTC	2	$62	62	62	+0	Up	-$38	08-13 23:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 00:15 UTC	2	$61	49	49	+0	Down	-$20	08-11 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	23	$60	115	0	+115	Up	+$2	05-22 15:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 09:30 UTC	2	$58	36	36	+0	Up	-$6	08-13 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	22	$57	132	0	+132	Up	-$4	05-22 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	17	$55	60	30	+30	Up	+$2	05-14 11:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 00:45 UTC	1	$55	69	0	+69	Up	+$14	08-11 00:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 07:15 UTC	1	$55	59	0	+59	Down	+$4	08-11 07:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 10:45 UTC	1	$55	65	0	+65	Up	+$10	08-10 10:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 06:15 UTC	1	$55	64	0	+64	Down	+$9	08-11 06:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 23:30 UTC	1	$55	60	0	+60	Down	+$5	08-10 23:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 05:30 UTC	1	$55	58	0	+58	Up	+$3	08-11 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	21	$52	110	0	+110	Up	-$18	05-22 15:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 20:45 UTC	1	$52	69	0	+69	Down	+$17	08-10 20:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 21:45 UTC	1	$52	63	0	+63	Down	+$11	08-10 21:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 20:15 UTC	1	$52	61	0	+61	Up	+$9	08-10 20:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:15 UTC	1	$52	60	0	+60	Down	+$8	08-10 12:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 11:15 UTC	1	$52	55	0	+55	Up	+$3	08-10 11:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:30 UTC	1	$52	56	0	+56	Down	+$4	08-10 12:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 22:30 UTC	1	$52	56	0	+56	Down	+$4	08-10 22:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 11:30 UTC	2	$52	42	42	+0	Down	-$12	08-13 11:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 06:55:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xfdac08…
10-24 06:28:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xeec98b…
10-24 06:05:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x5ed566…
10-24 05:36:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xafba83…
10-23 12:05:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x83943e…
10-23 11:55:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$10	0x5a41ea…
10-23 09:57:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x6bc1e1…
10-23 08:37:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xbbc31d…
10-23 08:21:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x349c4f…
10-23 07:06:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4de100…
10-23 06:10:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xa20436…
10-23 05:35:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xce52e9…
10-23 05:22:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xec49de…
10-23 05:05:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xa640e8…
10-23 04:38:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xdfbbab…
10-23 04:26:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x15ac5e…
10-22 21:37:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xa0b7b9…
10-22 21:20:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x37482f…
10-22 21:07:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x38e0cd…
10-22 09:36:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xbd6965…
10-22 09:24:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-22 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	79¢	$8	0xfaa110…
10-22 01:05:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xf2603e…
10-22 00:52:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x74a3d5…
10-22 00:41:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xd3185c…
10-21 23:51:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x2fb3ce…
10-21 23:38:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x9bd1f4…
10-21 22:06:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x2f76ba…
10-21 21:56:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x500e0f…
10-21 21:20:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x297149…
10-21 21:13:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x3a73ba…
10-21 20:36:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x0f3a1a…
10-21 20:26:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x2ae471…
10-21 19:54:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x9ec399…
10-21 19:22:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x8658a7…
10-21 17:54:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x723168…
10-21 17:35:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xbdfa56…
10-21 16:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x882f14…
10-21 16:39:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xe9399a…
10-21 15:53:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x576c22…
10-21 15:26:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x23b6e4…
10-21 14:41:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x05acb8…
10-21 13:51:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x101a8a…
10-21 12:54:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x5f40c0…
10-21 11:43:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$7	0x482b6d…
10-21 11:24:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xf811ff…
10-21 10:38:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$7	0x32d470…
10-21 09:39:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x5d4848…
10-21 07:36:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0x6f7e47…
10-21 06:13:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x234634…
10-02 03:52:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xa61e0b…
10-02 03:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x882bdb…
10-02 03:09:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xcc052e…
10-02 02:08:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x7b5d98…
10-02 01:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x932a74…
10-02 01:20:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xd2e147…
10-02 01:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x8ca9eb…
10-02 00:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x1ceb34…
10-02 00:05:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x31b72a…
10-01 23:06:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x676864…
10-01 22:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x452687…
10-01 22:28:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x33616f…
10-01 21:37:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xf0a9b4…
10-01 21:09:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x5c56cd…
10-01 11:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xf9e6c2…
10-01 11:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0xf69d57…
10-01 10:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfaa9f6…
10-01 07:35:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc3f29c…
10-01 07:08:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x4173a7…
10-01 06:37:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x17f279…
10-01 05:38:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x21f8bf…
10-01 05:22:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7e92ea…
09-30 23:11:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0x65ccb7…
09-30 22:37:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0xc92f89…
09-30 21:40:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x01034c…
09-30 21:07:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x1e974d…
09-30 20:20:44	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xeca986…
09-30 20:09:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x553afb…
09-30 19:24:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xa7764e…
09-30 19:09:41	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x79e9e7…
09-30 18:56:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc69f5e…
09-30 18:36:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x856b4d…
09-30 18:24:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x720001…
09-30 17:20:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1f8466…
09-30 12:09:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9b7b52…
09-30 11:03:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd9bf10…
09-30 06:09:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6738a8…
09-30 05:54:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3a87cc…
09-30 05:26:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x89eaf6…
09-30 03:41:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x50761f…
09-30 01:11:38	Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x8e9da7…
09-30 00:37:20	Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x319b2a…
09-30 00:08:56	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x28b71c…
09-29 23:22:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd60713…
09-29 23:09:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x7dc094…
09-29 22:39:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x0b94f4…
09-29 22:21:05	Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x2ee8d6…
09-29 22:06:38	Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x18a5ee…
09-29 21:20:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0x5769ab…
09-29 20:56:38	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x171e0e…
09-29 20:20:17	Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa98d20…