Spherical-Bolt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

79.5%

Resolved

12,559

Trades

51,712

lifetime

Volume

$1.58M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$25

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-10 12:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 293 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% +$13,729

Other

0% 60% +$53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 724 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	—	+25	$21	98¢	$25	+$4	11-10 13:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 17:35 UTC	15	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	Up	+$25	04-07 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 17:00 UTC	3	$5.0K	2,495	2,495	+0	Up	+$7	04-09 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 12:30 UTC	26	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	Up	+$95	06-10 12:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 17:50 UTC	13	$4.8K	4,869	0	+4,869	Down	+$117	04-13 17:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 08:20 UTC	30	$4.6K	4,673	0	+4,673	Down	+$56	04-18 08:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 13:05 UTC	1	$4.1K	4,188	0	+4,188	Down	+$42	03-27 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 08:40 UTC	51	$4.1K	2,761	1,393	+1,367	Down	+$30	03-31 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3AM ET	25	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Up	+$28	04-28 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 16:25 UTC	17	$3.7K	3,753	0	+3,753	Up	+$38	03-25 16:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 17:25 UTC	14	$3.7K	3,704	0	+3,704	Up	+$24	04-13 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:05 UTC	22	$3.6K	1,810	1,810	+0	Down	+$16	04-24 15:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 03:15 UTC	37	$3.5K	3,567	0	+3,567	Up	+$81	06-05 03:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	72	$3.4K	1,700	1,700	+0	Up	+$38	04-28 07:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 20:00 UTC	17	$3.1K	3,113	0	+3,113	Up	+$56	06-24 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:10 UTC	13	$3.0K	3,100	0	+3,100	Up	-$23	04-10 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 12:30 UTC	44	$3.0K	1,551	1,551	+0	Up	+$37	06-25 12:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 13:05 UTC	12	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	Up	+$25	04-08 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:00 UTC	6	$3.0K	3,001	0	+3,001	Up	+$50	06-16 18:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 12:45 UTC	22	$2.9K	2,000	998	+1,002	Down	+$41	04-12 12:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 13:30 UTC	7	$2.8K	1,428	1,428	+0	Down	+$12	03-22 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	43	$2.8K	2,896	0	+2,896	Up	+$60	05-18 19:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:30 UTC	8	$2.8K	2,841	0	+2,841	Up	+$20	04-14 15:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 09:30 UTC	29	$2.8K	2,862	0	+2,862	Down	+$45	04-17 09:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 12:30 UTC	22	$2.8K	2,000	834	+1,166	Up	+$16	04-15 12:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 11:30 UTC	7	$2.8K	2,798	0	+2,798	Down	+$25	06-04 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	29	$2.7K	2,863	0	+2,863	Up	+$133	05-20 15:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:50 UTC	23	$2.6K	2,721	49	+2,671	Down	+$35	03-27 15:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:10 UTC	22	$2.6K	2,644	0	+2,644	Up	+$27	03-27 11:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 10:45 UTC	19	$2.6K	2,583	0	+2,583	Up	+$26	04-03 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	7	$2.5K	2,087	500	+1,587	Up	+$50	05-21 17:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 13:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0xf5f85a…
11-10 13:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xf66f04…
11-10 13:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x4b8f8b…
11-10 13:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0xda8e6d…
11-10 13:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0xd598d4…
11-10 13:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x7ea841…
11-10 13:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9beec1…
11-10 13:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x1cae8c…
11-10 12:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x63f418…
11-10 12:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x4f2fac…
11-10 12:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x5a655b…
11-10 12:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xd433a7…
11-10 12:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x7b052d…
11-10 12:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	85	97¢	$82	0x63a856…
11-10 12:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x7994f4…
11-10 12:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf88423…
11-10 12:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x9c7f54…
11-10 12:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x96d5b9…
11-10 12:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x89f30d…
11-10 12:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x48abc1…
11-10 12:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x0d6ad2…
11-10 12:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x082770…
11-10 12:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xe75477…
11-10 12:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x8d7e07…
11-10 12:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x1fae34…
11-10 12:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xb9b32a…
11-10 11:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x0ac64b…
11-10 11:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xe392dd…
11-10 11:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0x330cb7…
11-10 11:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xab8691…
11-10 10:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	400	41¢	$164	0x816b27…
11-10 10:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	169	40¢	$67	0x764a98…
11-10 10:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	131	40¢	$53	0x00eabc…
11-10 10:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0xc0ad14…
11-10 10:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	80	57¢	$45	0x5ee958…
11-10 10:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	57¢	$12	0x5ba542…
11-10 09:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0xe5eaf9…
11-10 09:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x70df9f…
11-10 09:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0xec3254…
11-10 09:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	300	36¢	$107	0xb23cc2…
11-10 09:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x480391…
11-10 09:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	400	20¢	$80	0xa1fe7e…
11-10 09:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	700	20¢	$140	0x08433f…
11-10 09:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x820241…
11-10 09:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xb2730c…
11-10 09:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x01be46…
11-10 09:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xbe9125…
11-10 09:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	91¢	$25	0xbd9131…
11-10 09:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x4aee21…
11-10 09:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xfc8f33…
11-10 09:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd693fa…
11-10 09:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x25beca…
11-10 09:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x06c8a7…
11-10 09:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x91a746…
11-10 09:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x8ec8d6…
11-10 09:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	35¢	$8	0x7fb366…
11-10 09:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x7e8fc9…
11-10 09:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5577e4…
11-10 09:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x4ccdd3…
11-10 09:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x4a68f7…
11-10 09:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x350aae…
11-10 09:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x306536…
11-10 09:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x203395…
11-10 09:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x1efc80…
11-10 09:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x1d01ec…
11-10 09:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x1bf4df…
11-10 07:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x1a5e3f…
11-09 22:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0xae5816…
11-09 22:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	75	47¢	$35	0x2ce862…
11-09 22:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x5def02…
11-09 22:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x3cd7bf…
11-09 22:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x9f7645…
11-09 22:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x90f66f…
11-09 22:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	28	45¢	$12	0x8ffeec…
11-09 22:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x895f23…
11-09 22:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x82cb87…
11-09 22:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x71ad30…
11-09 22:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x5d253e…
11-09 22:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x567864…
11-09 22:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x52b3ed…
11-09 22:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x31e9e8…
11-09 22:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x21c0e8…
11-09 22:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x14477e…
11-09 22:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x0a4793…
11-09 22:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x6fc0c0…
11-09 22:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0xde1e91…
11-09 22:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xd59476…
11-09 22:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0x488293…
11-09 22:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	72	47¢	$34	0xe316ee…
11-09 22:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc14083…
11-09 22:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0xffe148…
11-09 22:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x7a6650…
11-09 22:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x237b8a…
11-09 22:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xf63dc8…
11-09 22:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc4b1f4…
11-09 22:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xb7134d…
11-09 22:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x68b086…
11-09 22:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x681edf…
11-09 22:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x03bbd1…
11-09 22:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc50481…