Spherical-Bolt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.5%

Resolved

12,537

Trades

51,592

lifetime

Volume

$1.58M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-09 20:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 292 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% +$13,485

Other

0% 60% +$53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 724 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 17:35 UTC	15	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	Up	+$25	04-07 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 17:00 UTC	3	$5.0K	2,495	2,495	+0	Up	+$7	04-09 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 12:30 UTC	26	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	Up	+$95	06-10 12:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 17:50 UTC	13	$4.8K	4,869	0	+4,869	Down	+$117	04-13 17:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 08:20 UTC	30	$4.6K	4,673	0	+4,673	Down	+$56	04-18 08:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 13:05 UTC	1	$4.1K	4,188	0	+4,188	Down	+$42	03-27 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 08:40 UTC	51	$4.1K	2,761	1,393	+1,367	Down	+$30	03-31 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3AM ET	25	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Up	+$28	04-28 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 16:25 UTC	17	$3.7K	3,753	0	+3,753	Up	+$38	03-25 16:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 17:25 UTC	14	$3.7K	3,704	0	+3,704	Up	+$24	04-13 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:05 UTC	22	$3.6K	1,810	1,810	+0	Down	+$16	04-24 15:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 03:15 UTC	37	$3.5K	3,567	0	+3,567	Up	+$81	06-05 03:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	72	$3.4K	1,700	1,700	+0	Up	+$38	04-28 07:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 20:00 UTC	17	$3.1K	3,113	0	+3,113	Up	+$56	06-24 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:10 UTC	13	$3.0K	3,100	0	+3,100	Up	-$23	04-10 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 12:30 UTC	44	$3.0K	1,551	1,551	+0	Up	+$37	06-25 12:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 13:05 UTC	12	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	Up	+$25	04-08 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:00 UTC	6	$3.0K	3,001	0	+3,001	Up	+$50	06-16 18:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 12:45 UTC	22	$2.9K	2,000	998	+1,002	Down	+$41	04-12 12:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 13:30 UTC	7	$2.8K	1,428	1,428	+0	Down	+$12	03-22 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	43	$2.8K	2,896	0	+2,896	Up	+$60	05-18 19:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:30 UTC	8	$2.8K	2,841	0	+2,841	Up	+$20	04-14 15:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 09:30 UTC	29	$2.8K	2,862	0	+2,862	Down	+$45	04-17 09:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 12:30 UTC	22	$2.8K	2,000	834	+1,166	Up	+$16	04-15 12:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 11:30 UTC	7	$2.8K	2,798	0	+2,798	Down	+$25	06-04 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	29	$2.7K	2,863	0	+2,863	Up	+$133	05-20 15:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:50 UTC	23	$2.6K	2,721	49	+2,671	Down	+$35	03-27 15:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:10 UTC	22	$2.6K	2,644	0	+2,644	Up	+$27	03-27 11:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 10:45 UTC	19	$2.6K	2,583	0	+2,583	Up	+$26	04-03 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	7	$2.5K	2,087	500	+1,587	Up	+$50	05-21 17:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 21:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x3e7a6f…
11-09 21:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x44ebec…
11-09 21:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xd3785a…
11-09 21:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x03b5f3…
11-09 20:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdd5379…
11-09 19:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x03c1dc…
11-09 19:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xf676b8…
11-09 19:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xc53105…
11-09 19:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xacb3fb…
11-09 19:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x837501…
11-09 19:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	286	97¢	$278	0x699aa4…
11-09 19:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x533132…
11-09 19:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xfa9f29…
11-09 19:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xd3217e…
11-09 19:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x7c9b1e…
11-09 19:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xa452a3…
11-09 19:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0xb669c1…
11-09 19:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	50	91¢	$45	0xa542f2…
11-09 19:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	85¢	$18	0x1f3bec…
11-09 19:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xd533ba…
11-09 19:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x53dfb7…
11-09 19:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x1d423f…
11-09 19:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x07ea93…
11-09 19:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x65a7a0…
11-09 18:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xf7b79d…
11-09 18:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xc0cb64…
11-09 18:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x8b973b…
11-09 18:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3368e9…
11-09 18:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xdbb48c…
11-09 18:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x80a546…
11-09 18:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x22b96b…
11-09 18:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x16b284…
11-09 18:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4b9658…
11-09 18:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x4666b6…
11-09 18:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x25d085…
11-09 18:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x6c9930…
11-09 18:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	500	97¢	$485	0x14c7df…
11-09 18:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xe1849e…
11-09 18:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xcb4fb5…
11-09 18:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xb3aa3d…
11-09 18:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x86eaee…
11-09 18:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x57a0e2…
11-09 18:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xce147a…
11-09 18:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xfe982a…
11-09 17:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x2069e6…
11-09 17:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0xe874f5…
11-09 17:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	41	52¢	$21	0x380d9b…
11-09 17:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x01b135…
11-09 17:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0xe2ec55…
11-09 17:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xfeb804…
11-09 17:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0x8b3699…
11-09 17:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x097383…
11-09 17:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xc29aff…
11-09 17:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x5d0fe8…
11-09 17:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x49c2ff…
11-09 17:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0xc4b906…
11-09 17:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x3d06b9…
11-09 17:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	35	87¢	$30	0x01c3bb…
11-09 17:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	87¢	$7	0xa82cd2…
11-09 17:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x54f74a…
11-09 17:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x37217a…
11-09 17:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0xcda811…
11-09 17:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xc1e546…
11-09 17:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x219338…
11-09 17:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x5f70f3…
11-09 16:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xa83789…
11-09 16:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0xa651cb…
11-09 16:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf3432e…
11-09 16:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xeb1691…
11-09 16:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9130ea…
11-09 16:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x7fd4fe…
11-09 16:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7da184…
11-09 16:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x565f14…
11-09 16:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x3fe583…
11-09 16:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3c9085…
11-09 16:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x33195c…
11-09 16:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x22c4c1…
11-09 16:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	89	95¢	$84	0x4d3c5e…
11-09 16:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x04a924…
11-09 16:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0x184a8d…
11-09 16:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x74fc4f…
11-09 16:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe0475b…
11-09 16:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	46	94¢	$43	0x922e7f…
11-09 16:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x838b9c…
11-09 16:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x4355b8…
11-09 16:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x672f7a…
11-09 16:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	40	73¢	$29	0xf9ee06…
11-09 16:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x64ea6e…
11-09 16:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x89ed14…
11-09 16:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	92	93¢	$86	0xa9efad…
11-09 16:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x920c06…
11-09 16:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	85¢	$6	0x3f2bdc…
11-09 16:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x282a46…
11-09 16:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xfdf09d…
11-09 16:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xe186f4…
11-09 16:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	35	31¢	$11	0xe05fb7…
11-09 16:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xce8168…
11-09 16:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0x987b1f…
11-09 16:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	31¢	$7	0x5ac55b…
11-09 16:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x460ba6…