Guilty-Incision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$261

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 06-09 00:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Sports

42% 67% +$1

Other

39% 50% $0

Politics

18% 67% +$0

Crypto

1% 86% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$1.7K	870	870	+0	No	$0	03-08 05:43
Will Brighton finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	3	$1.7K	860	860	+0	No	+$0	03-08 06:21
will panagioti bartzis be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	2	$1.4K	688	688	+0	No	+$0	03-08 03:35
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$1.2K	585	585	+0	No	+$0	03-08 07:52
nba 2025 26 ppg leader james harden	2	$831	0	1,660	-1,660	No	+$1	03-08 08:27
Will Oliver rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	2	$821	1,640	0	+1,640	No	-$1	03-08 08:15
Will Mateo rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	2	$801	0	1,600	-1,600	No	+$1	03-08 08:09
Will Andrew Shelley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	4	$231	116	116	+0	No	+$0	03-08 01:01
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	2	$124	67	67	+0	No	$0	03-06 07:13
donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 180 199	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	04-14 06:03
bitcoin up or down march 8 3am et	1	$13	13	0	+13	Up	+$0	03-08 07:53
ethereum up or down march 6 1am et	1	$12	12	0	+12	Up	+$0	03-06 06:54
bitcoin up or down march 8 12am et	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	03-08 05:50
ethereum up or down march 7 6pm et	2	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	03-07 23:59
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-07 21:00 UTC	1	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	03-08 00:53
highest temperature in hong kong on april 22 2026 26c	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-22 00:35
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 20?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	05-19 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on June 10?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-09 00:24
ethereum up or down march 8 2am et	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	-$3	03-08 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 00:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on June 10?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x86a7f1…
05-19 02:00:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8dd3c…
04-22 00:35:36	highest temperature in hong kong on april 22 2026 26c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdbd189…
04-14 06:03:09	donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 180 199	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc9844b…
03-08 08:27:49	nba 2025 26 ppg leader james harden	No	SELL	830	100¢	$828	0xd473c1…
03-08 08:26:35	nba 2025 26 ppg leader james harden	Yes	SELL	830	0¢	$2	0x75469c…
03-08 08:15:19	Will Oliver rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	No	BUY	820	100¢	$818	0xe01871…
03-08 08:14:57	Will Oliver rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	Yes	BUY	820	0¢	$2	0xd7fdd8…
03-08 08:09:09	Will Mateo rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	Yes	SELL	800	0¢	$2	0x713f30…
03-08 08:08:59	Will Mateo rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	No	SELL	800	100¢	$798	0x8bbf7e…
03-08 07:53:09	bitcoin up or down march 8 3am et	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xadfdbb…
03-08 07:52:31	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x395ea8…
03-08 07:46:07	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	511	99¢	$505	0x0d53a0…
03-08 07:41:37	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	585	99¢	$578	0x02a1c8…
03-08 07:00:01	ethereum up or down march 8 2am et	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x855ed7…
03-08 06:21:19	Will Brighton finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x019f65…
03-08 06:13:39	Will Brighton finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	717	100¢	$717	0x051e99…
03-08 06:04:07	Will Brighton finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	860	100¢	$859	0x751b02…
03-08 05:50:01	bitcoin up or down march 8 12am et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e6203…
03-08 05:43:41	will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xd76224…
03-08 05:40:53	will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	812	100¢	$810	0x583864…
03-08 05:37:07	will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	870	100¢	$867	0x5e2724…
03-08 03:35:11	will panagioti bartzis be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	No	SELL	688	100¢	$686	0x60be84…
03-08 03:31:51	will panagioti bartzis be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	No	BUY	688	100¢	$686	0xa31251…
03-08 01:01:21	Will Andrew Shelley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x24459a…
03-08 00:57:53	Will Andrew Shelley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xa92e9e…
03-08 00:56:03	Will Andrew Shelley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x30f0fc…
03-08 00:53:13	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-07 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe43914…
03-08 00:48:41	Will Andrew Shelley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x10568e…
03-07 23:59:23	ethereum up or down march 7 6pm et	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x837591…
03-07 23:59:21	ethereum up or down march 7 6pm et	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfe57c7…
03-06 07:13:21	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	67	92¢	$62	0xd109d2…
03-06 07:11:17	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	67	92¢	$62	0x647298…
03-06 06:54:39	ethereum up or down march 6 1am et	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x446835…