Mellow-Pathway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.08K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved

1,923

Trades

8,051

lifetime

Volume

$172.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 08-14 06:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 53% -$4,719

Other

1% 26% -$183

Sports

0% 0% -$183

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 224 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 19:45 UTC	11	$1.1K	1,122	1,073	+48	Up	+$182	04-08 19:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 23:15 UTC	11	$896	908	868	+40	Down	+$236	04-06 23:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 22:55 UTC	10	$895	666	642	+24	Down	+$280	04-06 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 03:30 UTC	12	$780	1,703	671	+1,032	Down	+$253	04-21 03:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 08:30 UTC	14	$703	971	735	+236	Down	+$140	04-05 08:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 04:45 UTC	9	$644	655	625	+31	Down	+$208	04-07 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 18:40 UTC	7	$638	714	466	+248	Up	+$59	07-24 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 21:55 UTC	8	$623	510	495	+14	Down	+$38	04-06 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 11:35 UTC	6	$617	444	428	+17	Up	+$204	03-31 11:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 03:15 UTC	15	$584	3,139	318	+2,820	Up	-$228	04-21 03:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 11:00 UTC	6	$563	971	921	+50	Up	+$53	03-31 11:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 00:00 UTC	12	$561	670	635	+35	Up	+$208	04-21 00:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 07:10 UTC	4	$544	1,251	288	+962	Up	-$146	04-07 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 22:40 UTC	7	$534	450	433	+17	Down	+$110	04-06 22:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 23:20 UTC	11	$533	3,013	561	+2,452	Up	-$156	04-20 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 21:25 UTC	5	$526	766	728	+38	Up	+$46	04-02 21:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 03:00 UTC	8	$504	677	542	+135	Up	+$139	04-07 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 16:15 UTC	9	$504	517	470	+47	Up	+$171	07-24 16:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 09:00 UTC	8	$503	677	452	+225	Down	+$49	04-05 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 23:00 UTC	5	$501	294	289	+5	Down	+$45	04-06 23:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 11:25 UTC	8	$498	600	418	+182	Down	+$3	03-31 11:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 03:00 UTC	8	$481	532	507	+25	Down	+$146	04-21 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:35 UTC	10	$465	554	442	+112	Up	+$95	04-10 05:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 15:30 UTC	2	$453	317	309	+8	Down	+$61	04-13 15:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 22:45 UTC	2	$450	299	291	+7	Down	+$57	04-06 22:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:30 UTC	7	$446	976	189	+787	Down	-$189	04-10 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 03:10 UTC	5	$444	296	294	+3	Down	+$7	03-29 03:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 22:30 UTC	3	$438	366	354	+12	Down	+$50	04-06 22:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 10:35 UTC	6	$436	335	320	+15	Down	+$212	03-31 10:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 03:30 UTC	6	$436	642	459	+183	Up	+$179	04-07 03:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 06:37:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	220	17¢	$37	0xe3b35e…
08-14 06:33:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0xcdc94e…
08-14 06:30:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	159	17¢	$27	0x509815…
08-14 06:26:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	91	23¢	$21	0x4cc050…
08-14 06:24:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x447490…
08-14 06:23:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0xd3fa30…
08-14 06:22:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x900490…
08-14 06:22:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:20 UTC	Down	SELL	43	70¢	$30	0xe05be7…
08-14 06:21:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xd9e4b5…
08-14 06:20:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x51caea…
08-14 06:18:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x7f62a4…
08-14 06:17:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	220	5¢	$11	0x7a744c…
08-14 06:16:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	53	79¢	$42	0xfdd7d6…
08-14 06:15:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x66d4b5…
08-14 06:12:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:10 UTC	Down	SELL	81	78¢	$63	0x08a598…
08-14 06:12:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x783743…
08-14 06:08:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x8a9c6a…
08-14 06:07:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:05 UTC	Down	SELL	116	55¢	$64	0xb07853…
08-14 06:05:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	116	32¢	$37	0xa5308d…
08-14 06:02:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	40	88¢	$35	0x8c1337…
08-14 06:00:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x6a4a7c…
08-14 05:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	249	4¢	$10	0x14bde2…
08-14 05:57:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 05:55 UTC	Down	SELL	125	30¢	$38	0xb9a3ef…
08-14 05:56:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x40ba94…
08-13 23:45:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xcc911c…
08-13 23:44:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:40 UTC	Up	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x9e2908…
08-13 23:44:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xc00a93…
08-13 23:43:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x8e031c…
08-13 23:42:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	74	31¢	$23	0x1da5ab…
08-13 23:42:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x1caae1…
08-13 23:42:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xa515fa…
08-13 23:41:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	92	39¢	$36	0xfcc162…
08-13 23:38:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0x3ec904…
08-13 23:37:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xd9be1d…
08-13 23:37:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:35 UTC	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xb83ebf…
08-13 23:37:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:35 UTC	Up	SELL	80	50¢	$40	0xaa466b…
08-13 23:37:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x18bb74…
08-13 23:36:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x604020…
08-13 23:36:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0xacaf2d…
08-13 23:35:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xf0345e…
08-13 23:35:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x927279…
08-13 22:24:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 22:20 UTC	Up	SELL	44	94¢	$42	0x09962c…
08-13 22:23:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x47647c…
08-13 22:23:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 22:20 UTC	Down	SELL	133	43¢	$57	0xa63314…
08-13 22:22:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xa4dd6b…
08-13 22:22:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 22:20 UTC	Up	SELL	115	43¢	$50	0xd3c08f…
08-13 22:20:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x201d5b…
08-13 22:19:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x0c933e…
08-13 22:18:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	109	28¢	$30	0x42add9…
08-13 22:17:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x3d5cf3…
08-13 22:17:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	80	51¢	$41	0x2d54b4…
08-13 22:15:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x9eef0a…
08-13 22:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x3a8601…
08-13 22:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	117	2¢	$2	0xb93df9…
08-13 22:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xa9b67c…
08-13 22:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x78c317…
08-13 22:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	85	67¢	$57	0x509f54…
08-13 22:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x8bed01…
08-13 22:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x3c63e9…
08-13 22:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x801010…
08-13 22:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	181	73¢	$132	0x620553…
08-13 22:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xb5ae9d…
08-13 22:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x083b93…
08-13 22:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x0e75b5…
08-13 22:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x1f91c7…
08-13 22:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x25034b…
08-13 21:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x883b43…
08-13 21:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	362	52¢	$188	0x897dd1…
08-13 21:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	268	7¢	$20	0xc7fa42…
08-13 21:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	94	33¢	$31	0x06c848…
08-13 21:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	80	17¢	$14	0x2b0cbb…
08-13 21:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	84	30¢	$25	0xfde7cd…
08-13 21:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0x47e989…
08-13 21:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	64	58¢	$37	0xd4dead…
08-13 21:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x482dbd…
08-13 21:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xe25b84…
08-13 21:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	175	4¢	$7	0x36a12d…
08-13 21:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x0f1408…
08-13 21:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	95	79¢	$75	0x21809e…
08-13 21:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0x4711db…
08-13 21:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xf7eea4…
08-13 21:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	582	2¢	$10	0x30fea5…
08-13 21:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	187	11¢	$20	0x3e051c…
08-13 21:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xe59046…
08-13 21:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x550910…
08-13 21:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x17f6d5…
08-13 21:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x73d10a…
08-13 21:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x7c3907…
08-13 21:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x6d0c3f…
08-13 21:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x74a97f…
08-13 21:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	26	94¢	$25	0x6966e0…
08-13 21:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x52328e…
08-13 20:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	148	88¢	$131	0x241cb2…
08-13 20:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	148	3¢	$5	0xc8cadc…
08-13 19:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	232	69¢	$161	0x341ff6…
08-13 19:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	78	9¢	$7	0xc83e02…
08-13 19:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x5b2ca1…
08-13 19:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x5ef582…
08-13 19:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	33	79¢	$26	0x3b7e95…
08-13 19:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x366536…