Wretched-Reliability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$71

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

191

Trades

2,228

lifetime

Volume

$76.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 05-17 13:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% +$68

Other

0% 100% +$2

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 314 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774026000	5	$3.7K	2,768	1,970	+798	open	—	03-20 17:04
btc updown 5m 1773323100	2	$2.0K	1,025	1,024	+0	open	—	03-12 13:47
btc updown 5m 1774016700	5	$1.8K	1,078	1,003	+75	open	—	03-20 14:28
btc updown 5m 1774014900	4	$1.7K	890	889	+1	open	—	03-20 13:58
btc updown 5m 1774014600	5	$1.6K	1,028	1,024	+4	open	—	03-20 13:53
btc updown 5m 1773843000	4	$1.5K	950	756	+194	open	—	03-18 14:13
btc updown 5m 1774014300	2	$1.4K	1,116	1,101	+15	open	—	03-20 13:49
btc updown 5m 1773841500	2	$1.4K	710	709	+0	open	—	03-18 13:49
btc updown 5m 1774027200	4	$1.3K	900	891	+9	open	—	03-20 17:24
btc updown 5m 1773304200	3	$1.3K	975	934	+41	open	—	03-12 08:33
btc updown 5m 1773306900	4	$1.3K	1,917	713	+1,204	open	—	03-12 09:19
btc updown 5m 1773690900	2	$1.2K	760	750	+10	open	—	03-16 20:01
btc updown 5m 1773836100	8	$1.2K	1,293	754	+540	open	—	03-18 12:19
btc updown 5m 1773864000	3	$1.0K	1,138	245	+894	open	—	03-18 20:02
btc updown 5m 1773318600	2	$1.0K	1,144	0	+1,144	open	—	03-12 12:34
btc updown 5m 1774011300	3	$1.0K	1,078	956	+122	open	—	03-20 12:57
btc updown 5m 1773294000	1	$972	1,022	0	+1,022	open	—	03-12 05:43
btc updown 5m 1773681000	2	$921	470	470	+0	open	—	03-16 17:14
btc updown 5m 1773296400	3	$912	982	55	+926	open	—	03-12 06:23
btc updown 5m 1773293700	1	$906	973	0	+973	open	—	03-12 05:39
btc updown 5m 1773859500	4	$868	889	12	+877	open	—	03-18 18:48
btc updown 5m 1773995100	6	$755	701	698	+3	open	—	03-20 08:30
btc updown 5m 1773835500	3	$717	404	362	+41	open	—	03-18 12:09
btc updown 5m 1773840000	4	$703	748	14	+734	open	—	03-18 13:23
btc updown 5m 1773838200	3	$703	706	36	+669	open	—	03-18 12:54
btc updown 5m 1773307200	4	$692	713	34	+679	open	—	03-12 09:24
btc updown 5m 1774027500	3	$658	436	433	+3	open	—	03-20 17:28
btc updown 5m 1773842100	1	$655	756	0	+756	open	—	03-18 13:56
btc updown 5m 1773302400	2	$652	714	0	+714	open	—	03-12 08:04
btc updown 5m 1773832800	4	$623	342	341	+0	open	—	03-18 11:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 13:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x3f4df5…
05-17 13:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x1b32f8…
05-17 13:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfb77c6…
05-17 13:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x2a996c…
05-17 13:39:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x19d884…
05-17 13:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	88	81¢	$71	0x8dc83b…
05-17 13:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xc11ef3…
05-17 13:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xeea583…
05-17 12:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x47c116…
05-17 12:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xd63e55…
05-17 12:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	54	65¢	$35	0xe5c4bd…
05-17 12:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x27dc6b…
05-17 12:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xda78b4…
05-17 12:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x8f520a…
05-17 12:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0x7c6f0e…
05-17 12:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xa64bf4…
05-17 12:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x190b78…
05-17 12:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1fff6f…
05-17 12:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x45a72f…
05-17 12:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xbe2f9a…
05-17 12:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xa0ef98…
05-17 12:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x5f2761…
05-17 12:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xc8a751…
05-17 12:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x51495e…
05-17 11:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd65577…
05-17 11:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xf02039…
05-17 11:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc622bc…
05-17 11:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xeffbba…
05-17 10:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb970b3…
05-17 10:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9fcbed…
05-17 10:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0xba715e…
05-17 10:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe13027…
05-17 10:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x70ba55…
05-17 09:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x3ed65f…
05-17 09:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5a3a7e…
05-17 08:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x68ce21…
05-17 08:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x308470…
05-17 08:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x268610…
05-17 06:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x92dd90…
05-17 06:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc2a1be…
05-17 05:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x4bdd6c…
05-17 05:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0b619f…
05-17 05:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6322ed…
05-16 16:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0x452c4d…
05-16 16:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6b725a…
05-16 16:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xeef855…
05-16 15:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd91c78…
05-16 15:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xba2433…
05-16 15:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xd0ac97…
05-16 15:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4d269d…
05-16 14:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x4a1ad4…
05-16 11:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x71483d…
05-16 11:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xc880c5…
05-16 11:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6b84f7…
05-16 11:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xb193d1…
05-16 11:27:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9db66c…
05-16 11:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x10d51d…
05-16 11:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xd5905c…
05-16 11:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x683301…
05-16 11:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xb224f9…
05-16 10:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9dbe95…
05-16 10:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xeddc93…
05-16 10:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4d598e…
05-16 09:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9ac154…
05-16 09:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd56850…
05-16 08:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0xa1c637…
05-16 08:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb90d31…
05-16 08:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xee1fb2…
05-16 08:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x498127…
05-16 08:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x46a947…
05-16 08:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb4d24c…
05-16 07:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x4f1bc7…
05-16 06:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x1e45be…
05-16 06:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xad1cfa…
05-16 05:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2fa9c3…
05-16 05:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x33b136…
05-16 05:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xadc89b…
05-16 05:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4a9751…
05-16 03:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x962ab5…
05-16 01:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x89c458…
05-16 01:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe35038…
05-15 16:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xe2499f…
05-15 16:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xab8dc6…
05-15 16:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8a55a4…
05-15 15:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6e53cd…
05-15 15:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x22f43c…
05-15 15:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1b23c1…
05-15 15:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfd4862…
05-15 14:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x1beafc…
05-15 14:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x471cf1…
05-15 11:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xf4bb8c…
05-15 11:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4c5d51…
05-15 10:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x8c0f10…
05-15 10:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe0d90d…
05-15 09:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbff343…
05-15 09:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xbc0cd3…
05-15 06:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x90ef4c…
05-15 06:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	86¢	$8	0xa5f9dc…
05-15 06:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x24a3b6…
05-15 05:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcdc49f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	967	$1.06M	232,072	05-17 13:59
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	937	$1.98K	4,601	05-17 13:59
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	917	$157.8K	32,362	05-17 13:59
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	902	$52.0K	8,662	05-17 13:57
Animated-Health 0x4d8b…a00d	889	$65.6K	8,030	05-16 16:35
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	886	$34.6K	8,243	05-17 13:59
(anonymous) 0x42a2…e9e8	852	$6.13K	7,788	05-09 10:08
Altruistic-Trust 0xd9a0…dbca	824	$1.13K	3,346	05-17 13:59