Hard-Tender — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,442

lifetime

Volume

$7.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 06-09 16:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

79% 94% +$0

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-23 13:53
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-28 16:30
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-09 22:15
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winner	2	$10	5	5	+0	LPH Gaming	+$0	05-10 14:38
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-11 14:21
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-09 07:12
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-31 03:59
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 20:32
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
f1 chinese grand prix sprint winner russell 2026 03 13	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-14 05:27
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$10	5	5	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
tur gfk ala 2026 04 04 ala	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-04 17:05
cs2 mouz fut 2026 03 13	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-13 22:03
ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-17 20:20
sud san rec1 2026 04 14 draw	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-15 02:34
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria	1	$5	5	0	+5	Tatjana Maria	+$0	05-06 10:22
es2 gra hue 2026 03 28 total 3pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-28 16:06
sea rom lec 2026 03 22 total 3pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-22 19:54
cs2 red9 m8 2026 04 14 game2	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-14 15:08
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-25 20:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:28:54	lol ckz ps1 2026 06 09	Partizan Sangal	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7db40f…
06-09 12:20:12	itf khayndr aydemir 2026 06 09	Defne Aydemir	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x416c73…
06-09 00:21:15	col1 atn cjf 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	CDPJuniorFC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe6d7f1…
06-08 21:36:58	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa3e0b9…
06-08 12:03:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf53ea2…
06-07 23:59:19	lol lll vks 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c1726…
06-07 22:56:36	mlb nym sd 2026 06 07 nrfi	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x982311…
06-07 21:58:15	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5cf06…
06-07 21:09:30	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc0e729…
06-07 19:14:04	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 1pt5	Cobolli	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe7b4f7…
06-07 18:53:57	Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd7af7c…
06-07 18:53:00	Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1b62f1…
06-07 17:38:57	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x509e07…
06-07 16:59:30	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x721622…
06-07 13:09:45	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x97a309…
06-07 11:43:09	r6siege edg oc1 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3fb795…
06-07 00:58:55	crint can2 usa3 2026 06 06	USA	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x101e87…
06-06 23:09:45	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf69062…
06-06 19:00:01	cs2 ntr am 2026 06 06 game2	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x644a60…
06-06 14:19:18	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd53028…
06-06 11:32:34	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa35b89…
06-06 11:32:30	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30f494…
06-06 01:56:09	Spread: Peru (-1.5)	Haiti	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0beb4d…
06-05 15:45:18	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xec16b2…
06-05 01:24:03	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x83235a…
06-04 14:19:12	atp mcdonal hijikat 2026 06 03 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x883029…
06-04 04:48:09	crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	Mali	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf62f52…
06-03 16:04:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4160d4…
06-03 09:23:48	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Oman	Oman	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0dd726…
06-03 04:48:44	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4becd6…
06-02 22:56:07	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x847891…
06-02 20:46:09	Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x297c85…
06-02 20:45:11	Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf061e8…
06-02 15:24:31	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a2007…
06-01 22:49:48	Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)	Austria	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf80942…
06-01 20:45:47	Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)	Austria	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x977f19…
06-01 18:35:49	Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x010a9e…
06-01 14:41:31	will spy reach 750 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7ac431…
05-31 19:09:25	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x14f56e…
05-31 19:00:07	Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x940721…
05-31 16:02:17	Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)	Busta	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3490f7…
05-31 15:17:50	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3e7dbb…
05-31 14:19:36	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb846c9…
05-30 22:09:43	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e6eba…
05-30 16:11:43	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh	Scotland	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd5ea6b…
05-30 14:25:16	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5a598…
05-30 13:13:43	Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)	Svajda	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3fa76d…
05-30 04:47:55	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa462de…
05-30 04:47:55	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x47001d…
05-29 23:44:54	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f32ed…
05-29 21:58:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x532eac…
05-29 21:01:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x258a3a…
05-29 19:20:07	Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x06b1ea…
05-29 17:27:46	Spread: Gambia (-1.5)	IR Iran	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x418712…
05-29 13:38:00	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde0a0f…
05-29 02:36:00	CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x04511e…
05-28 16:52:14	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc50806…
05-28 16:30:55	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7be914…
05-28 16:30:55	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1b8c7b…
05-28 16:30:35	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a781a…
05-28 16:30:34	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xc9edae…
05-28 12:33:00	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x043dc6…
05-28 02:32:34	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x735498…
05-28 01:55:49	Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x105d3b…
05-28 00:14:40	Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)	CR Vasco da Gama	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x147e63…
05-27 18:03:23	Anadolu Efes vs. Turk Telekom	Anadolu Efes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3e0953…
05-27 03:22:05	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x808340…
05-27 02:14:32	Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x553e1b…
05-26 20:01:34	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1afd02…
05-26 14:03:24	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2be034…
05-26 13:17:57	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc018eb…
05-26 13:02:14	Centurion: Philip Henning vs Connor Henry van Schalkwyk	Philip Henning	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x349501…
05-25 08:09:11	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xccba65…
05-25 04:48:31	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2a921…
05-25 01:24:37	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x933722…
05-24 22:00:58	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe573d0…
05-24 20:49:38	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3dfad4…
05-24 19:25:18	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f6f39…
05-24 16:02:53	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x22d270…
05-24 15:29:49	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb4f806…
05-23 23:09:35	Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)	San Francisco Giants	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xac6cc2…
05-23 22:55:07	Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe1beef…
05-23 17:47:07	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x320a4c…
05-23 16:16:09	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4cae79…
05-23 12:56:35	Nedic vs. Sanchis: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5f1d73…
05-23 01:24:49	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e5d6e…
05-22 20:37:17	Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb33b7c…
05-22 17:12:22	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x51cbd8…
05-22 11:51:14	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x485c31…
05-22 10:23:28	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x317915…
05-21 14:24:59	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf43188…
05-21 11:20:09	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf650d4…
05-20 21:41:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff0812…
05-20 21:22:35	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1fef42…
05-20 21:17:32	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc4aeb4…
05-20 19:13:52	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0844fc…
05-20 09:47:39	First Blood in Game 1?	T1	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c22ae…
05-20 04:04:50	Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 170.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd0dd87…
05-19 20:50:09	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56e2cb…
05-19 17:46:14	World Championships: Latvia vs. Austria	Austria	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26618c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Fortunate-Sorbet 0x23ce…744c	751	$3.85K	774	06-09 16:28
Unfit-Breakpoint 0x0e46…3c97	748	$3.83K	770	06-08 21:37
Grounded-Lacquerware 0x8c1e…27a1	746	$3.81K	769	06-08 21:37
(anonymous) 0xd087…ae27	745	$3.81K	768	06-09 16:28
Blushing-Constitution 0xf436…0e55	743	$3.79K	765	06-09 00:21
Frightening-Curry 0x19f3…e4c8	740	$3.78K	762	06-09 16:28
Immaculate-Meme 0x32f1…a227	732	$3.75K	756	06-09 00:21
Tangible-Directory 0x89c5…2838	730	$7.44K	755	06-09 16:28