Wavy-Island — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

229

Trades

442

lifetime

Volume

$527

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 10-30 15:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Other

97% 43% -$24

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 0% -$1

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on August 22?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	08-22 19:15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 23?	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	08-23 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 25?	2	$8	9	9	+0	No	+$6	07-25 04:42
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	05-10 23:17
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?	2	$7	4	4	+0	Yes	+$1	05-09 18:28
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 30?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$3	08-30 06:45
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09?	2	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	05-09 19:36
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 16?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	08-16 19:17
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on September 1?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	09-01 16:02
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	09-02 12:59
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	05-10 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 20?	2	$5	2	2	+0	No	+$0	07-20 10:15
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 25?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	08-25 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 27?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	08-27 20:31
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	3	$4	7	4	+3	No	-$2	05-09 12:47
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	4	$4	22	22	+0	No	+$0	06-03 10:02
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 19?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	07-19 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 9?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	09-09 21:00
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?	5	$4	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	09-12 19:54
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 26?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	08-26 12:23
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5	2	$4	2	2	+0	Under	+$0	05-16 13:31
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-31 21:39
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 26?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	07-26 10:12
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 21?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	08-21 08:18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	3	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	06-16 15:19
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on July 19?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	07-19 13:20
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18?	3	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	06-18 08:17
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	06-08 11:38
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on September 11?	3	$4	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	09-11 20:13
Will Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	05-10 17:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 15:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x45fd35…
10-30 15:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x845f88…
10-28 06:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x9ae0f5…
09-13 06:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x754ab3…
09-13 06:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0xd49d34…
09-13 06:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x4019ce…
09-13 06:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xe9040e…
09-13 06:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x07f9df…
09-13 06:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x31bb70…
09-13 06:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x283149…
09-12 19:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x06a555…
09-12 06:46:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x33c8da…
09-12 06:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0xe2521d…
09-12 06:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x23d0d5…
09-12 06:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x8b0c32…
09-12 06:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4a1167…
09-12 03:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xa78102…
09-11 20:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x91dcb0…
09-11 20:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc6e396…
09-11 20:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on September 11?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x95a61a…
09-11 14:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on September 11?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdd165f…
09-11 14:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on September 11?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x87942f…
09-11 14:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x6fafa1…
09-11 14:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 11?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x7fde81…
09-11 11:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf66e92…
09-11 09:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x54e488…
09-11 09:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd57aae…
09-09 21:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 9?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd61dad…
09-09 13:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xaf9ba6…
09-09 13:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 9?	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x895f66…
09-09 13:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x91c050…
09-07 18:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa527cc…
09-06 21:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbae161…
09-06 21:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x6342d1…
09-06 21:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x5840ad…
09-06 21:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xefaca1…
09-06 04:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x5dde9f…
09-05 15:41:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2db6d2…
09-05 15:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8cd3b3…
09-05 15:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcf0467…
09-04 12:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x189407…
09-03 08:37:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x23bda4…
09-03 08:37:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa13798…
09-02 12:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xdd5023…
09-01 16:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf56442…
09-01 16:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0xea2e70…
09-01 16:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4e7329…
09-01 06:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xa903ce…
09-01 06:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x331c49…
08-30 06:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0b3855…
08-29 05:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x77642c…
08-29 05:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x981d20…
08-28 06:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbd4511…
08-27 20:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8a1894…
08-27 05:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe382e4…
08-27 05:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd01d9a…
08-27 05:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x89440f…
08-27 05:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x319b17…
08-27 02:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x87b88e…
08-26 15:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2fe63d…
08-26 12:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x162500…
08-25 08:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x18123f…
08-25 08:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x5c1d27…
08-25 08:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1b7f71…
08-24 19:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0a5732…
08-24 08:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1223dd…
08-24 08:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x36f4fd…
08-23 08:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 23?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x2ebd02…
08-23 05:25:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 23?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xb5eae0…
08-22 19:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on August 22?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa87a14…
08-22 09:51:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x8bb48b…
08-21 12:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6c7ad6…
08-21 08:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x5fb420…
08-21 05:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf7355a…
08-21 05:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x12db3c…
08-19 08:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x3bd340…
08-18 19:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd656c5…
08-17 14:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb94f02…
08-17 14:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x26b6a3…
08-17 14:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb75e59…
08-16 19:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xaa9a7b…
08-16 13:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xae9d76…
08-16 13:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xfd1d01…
08-16 05:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4b0c00…
08-16 05:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0c8d29…
08-16 05:46:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x516ef9…
08-16 05:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x398eb7…
07-29 14:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1a4f5f…
07-28 10:26:47	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xd9def2…
07-28 10:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xd81b8e…
07-27 12:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 28?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc8f40d…
07-27 12:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xdc237f…
07-27 12:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x17fa99…
07-27 12:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xdfa5a6…
07-27 06:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf41d57…
07-27 06:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcbb061…
07-27 06:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9947e1…
07-26 10:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xcef126…
07-26 10:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x865c60…
07-26 10:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 26?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xade973…