Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.62K

Unrealized P&L

+$50

Hit rate

80.7%

Resolved

105

Trades

2,080

lifetime

Volume

$479.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$231

Open exposure

$270

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-08 00:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

57% 62% +$16,397

Politics

41% 52% -$11,960

Tech

3% 100% +$185

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-20,000	-$320	1¢	$-270	+$50	08-06 05:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$62.2K	62,337	0	+62,337	Yes	+$187	02-03 00:25
will the us strike somalia next 656	140	$56.5K	61,199	2,445	+58,754	Yes	+$2,750	01-24 00:44
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	313	$38.9K	52,113	0	+52,113	Yes	+$13,209	01-21 22:33
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	17	$35.0K	35,178	0	+35,178	No	+$142	01-13 22:11
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	109	$31.7K	31,985	18,003	+13,983	Yes	-$6,873	02-28 05:55
us strike on somalia by january 31	185	$30.1K	36,483	0	+36,483	Yes	+$6,359	01-10 08:40
Will the US strike Iran next?	8	$24.9K	25,000	0	+25,000	No	+$65	01-27 22:02
Will the US strike Iran next?	38	$13.9K	14,183	0	+14,183	No	+$310	01-29 12:13
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	90	$13.5K	38,672	5,848	+32,824	No	-$1,209	03-21 01:36
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	5	$12.3K	12,500	0	+12,500	Yes	+$185	02-27 22:54
Will the US strike Somalia next?	42	$10.2K	10,680	0	+10,680	Yes	+$496	01-29 12:43
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	3	$9.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$90	02-02 23:44
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	38	$9.9K	8,207	5,711	+2,496	No	+$3,864	03-10 10:31
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	8	$6.3K	7,500	652	+6,848	No	+$1,678	02-18 22:29
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	7	$5.8K	6,000	0	+6,000	No	+$175	02-18 19:00
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	14	$5.2K	8,274	1,000	+7,274	Yes	-$4,349	03-11 01:53
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	26	$4.9K	3,382	3,377	+5	No	+$862	03-10 13:12
will uk strike iran by march 31	24	$4.9K	5,952	500	+5,452	No	+$1,413	03-10 17:43
Will the US strike Somalia next?	2	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$72	01-27 15:49
will trump shake hands with volodymyr zelenskyy at the world economic forum	1	$4.5K	4,521	0	+4,521	Yes	+$32	01-22 15:14
will iran strike no countries in march	1	$4.1K	4,177	0	+4,177	No	+$43	03-01 08:58
odds of khamenei out in jan over 20 on friday	14	$3.8K	3,423	2,959	+464	No	+$809	01-15 11:38
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	27	$3.8K	4,000	970	+3,030	Yes	-$2,334	02-28 05:14
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	16	$3.6K	7,755	0	+7,755	No	+$4,185	01-14 22:50
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	37	$3.4K	4,198	711	+3,488	Yes	-$2,440	02-28 05:25
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	5	$3.3K	4,319	0	+4,319	No	+$974	02-19 01:53
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	25	$3.3K	8,000	10,500	-2,500	Yes	-$2,265	02-28 06:59
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	53	$3.2K	9,500	9,500	+0	Yes	-$2,885	02-28 06:56
Will the US strike Iran next?	1	$3.2K	3,171	0	+3,171	No	+$6	02-19 22:01
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	12	$3.0K	2,500	1,364	+1,136	No	+$381	02-18 22:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 00:33:34	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,628	6¢	$310	0x6963c3…
08-06 05:32:44	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	436	2¢	$7	0x224d47…
08-05 13:21:51	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$8	0x37f7f1…
08-05 11:42:27	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	3,500	2¢	$56	0x420405…
08-05 11:42:05	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1,500	2¢	$24	0x101127…
08-05 11:39:50	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	150	2¢	$2	0x5777f1…
08-05 08:40:33	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	9,674	2¢	$155	0x2c96ef…
07-20 18:50:54	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1,479	2¢	$24	0x9c0de8…
07-17 14:07:33	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	312	2¢	$5	0x8ff496…
07-17 12:47:07	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xeeb745…
07-17 12:43:48	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x69deb8…
07-17 11:51:09	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x0246e5…
07-17 11:43:33	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x99d750…
07-17 10:06:21	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xa229ef…
07-17 06:23:33	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xb7da55…
07-17 05:56:33	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x458ac9…
07-17 05:14:57	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x3373af…
07-17 04:42:00	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x230b2d…
07-17 04:37:04	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x1b621a…
07-17 02:09:03	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	334	2¢	$5	0x5bda1a…
07-17 00:30:35	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2,064	2¢	$33	0x604deb…
04-01 01:48:03	2026 us senate election republican odds under 40 by march 31	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0x5c29d8…
04-01 01:45:07	2026 us house election republican odds over 40 by march 31	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x76ef43…
04-01 01:44:53	2026 us senate election republican odds under 40 by march 31	Yes	SELL	3,356	0¢	$4	0x5c8787…
03-21 01:36:09	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	2,666	20¢	$533	0xfbb2e3…
03-21 00:40:13	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	1,012	20¢	$202	0x7b16f9…
03-20 22:37:21	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xfc5d7b…
03-20 22:24:45	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x9f1575…
03-20 21:55:19	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	413	20¢	$83	0x45167e…
03-20 21:47:39	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	875	20¢	$175	0x01b000…
03-20 21:31:43	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x779826…
03-20 21:31:01	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xa280a5…
03-20 21:21:51	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x28a31b…
03-20 21:04:37	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x3abaa0…
03-20 21:02:39	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xc2b01f…
03-20 21:02:29	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	531	20¢	$106	0x5beaa9…
03-20 21:00:37	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x601155…
03-20 20:56:57	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xefb22f…
03-20 20:46:39	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xff77f2…
03-20 20:45:13	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xa7f5ec…
03-20 20:44:41	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x9b3cb9…
03-20 20:43:11	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	38	20¢	$8	0x3ac259…
03-20 20:35:57	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe977fd…
03-20 20:19:45	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xbe9be2…
03-20 20:17:27	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x3df105…
03-20 20:15:53	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	33	20¢	$7	0x913079…
03-20 20:15:25	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xf8a45c…
03-20 20:13:25	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x218a60…
03-20 20:12:27	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x9c0e87…
03-20 20:09:05	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x7e8454…
03-20 20:00:11	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x79d9fb…
03-20 19:51:45	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	89	20¢	$18	0x766d76…
03-20 19:33:39	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xf7a120…
03-20 19:23:57	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xaf54a0…
03-20 19:17:41	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	356	20¢	$71	0xa7523a…
03-20 19:13:09	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	34	20¢	$7	0xa85b91…
03-20 19:12:39	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xccee84…
03-20 19:08:33	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	527	20¢	$105	0x47e0ed…
03-20 19:07:33	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	823	20¢	$165	0xfe603f…
03-20 18:47:05	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xe2d0ff…
03-20 18:43:39	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x7f08a6…
03-20 18:14:21	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x970ff6…
03-20 18:11:29	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	325	20¢	$65	0xd2ed0f…
03-20 17:41:09	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	238	20¢	$48	0x18c9ac…
03-20 17:40:57	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	2,793	20¢	$559	0x016968…
03-19 00:00:35	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x8f1d1d…
03-18 23:51:09	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x18413d…
03-18 23:31:21	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe5b6fa…
03-18 23:25:15	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xa8d44e…
03-18 23:20:09	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc18c3d…
03-18 22:50:11	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	7,955	20¢	$1,591	0xadcab7…
03-18 02:27:19	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	1,000	17¢	$170	0x1ca6b6…
03-17 21:43:39	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x646d2d…
03-17 20:12:19	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	120	13¢	$16	0xd03a8e…
03-17 20:10:21	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	93	13¢	$12	0x3291a3…
03-17 19:58:53	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	144	13¢	$19	0xae9d71…
03-17 19:52:53	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	60	13¢	$8	0xac5045…
03-17 19:44:09	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	1,000	19¢	$190	0x7189e3…
03-17 19:29:35	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	29	13¢	$4	0x6c0f34…
03-17 19:16:47	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	5,241	20¢	$1,048	0x6ec203…
03-17 19:14:27	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0xc5091c…
03-17 19:10:21	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x368c79…
03-11 06:31:57	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	106	9¢	$10	0xd1158e…
03-11 06:17:15	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x0359b6…
03-11 05:25:29	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x9ed0fc…
03-11 05:17:13	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	443	9¢	$40	0xf5785e…
03-11 05:16:03	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	42	9¢	$4	0xeca448…
03-11 01:53:27	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	682	45¢	$307	0x56d882…
03-11 01:52:31	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	915	9¢	$82	0x7d2f91…
03-11 01:40:25	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0x0d0062…
03-11 01:13:31	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xd3fded…
03-11 01:08:59	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0xa7d717…
03-11 00:52:27	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x74f81e…
03-11 00:51:11	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	17	45¢	$8	0x89a090…
03-11 00:34:57	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x66a4f8…
03-11 00:33:05	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x2483af…
03-11 00:30:57	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0x94d62d…
03-10 22:01:21	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	26	45¢	$12	0xc9d1b1…
03-10 20:35:55	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	173	45¢	$78	0xe1c9a1…
03-10 19:32:59	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	909	9¢	$82	0x1d1096…