Dutiful-Talent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$663

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

338

Trades

656

lifetime

Volume

$5.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-21 23:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 32% -$202

Other

12% 22% -$355

Politics

9% 14% -$105

Sports

1% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say win or won 3 times during no tax on tips roundtable	2	$318	232	230	+2	Yes	-$38	04-16 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$281	208	208	+0	Down	+$131	05-05 15:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 23:50 UTC	2	$238	143	140	+3	Down	+$41	04-16 23:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 23:45 UTC	2	$209	111	110	+1	Down	+$10	04-16 23:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 00:10 UTC	4	$193	193	184	+9	Down	+$62	04-17 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$186	117	117	+0	Down	+$46	05-05 15:00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	6	$121	475	0	+475	No	-$121	05-06 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	4	$116	87	86	+0	Down	+$56	05-06 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$111	87	87	+0	Up	+$61	05-06 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 00:20 UTC	2	$107	100	96	+4	Down	+$7	04-17 00:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 00:00 UTC	2	$106	57	56	+0	Down	+$6	04-17 00:05
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?	3	$101	562	0	+562	No	-$101	05-05 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 00:55 UTC	5	$81	77	74	+3	Down	+$12	04-17 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 01:10 UTC	3	$80	48	47	+1	Down	+$11	04-17 01:13
Will JD Vance say "Abortion" in Des Moines?	2	$76	703	703	+0	No	-$74	05-06 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$60	98	0	+98	Down	-$60	05-05 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$60	472	0	+472	Up	-$60	05-05 15:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 01:05 UTC	3	$60	235	0	+235	Up	-$60	04-17 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	3	$58	39	39	+0	Up	+$18	05-06 09:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 00:40 UTC	2	$58	40	39	+1	Down	+$20	04-17 00:45
mlbb geek ae 2026 04 18	2	$55	33	32	+0	Alter Ego	+$9	04-18 15:02
will trump say favored nation during no tax on tips roundtable	1	$55	1,319	0	+1,319	No	-$55	04-17 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	3	$50	30	30	+0	Up	+$10	05-05 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 23:55 UTC	1	$50	1,250	0	+1,250	Up	-$50	04-16 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$50	128	0	+128	Up	-$50	05-06 09:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 00:25 UTC	1	$50	102	0	+102	Up	-$50	04-17 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$50	70	0	+70	Up	-$50	05-05 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$50	50	30	+20	Down	+$30	05-05 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 00:35 UTC	2	$46	38	37	+1	Down	+$9	04-17 00:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	4	$45	42	42	+0	Up	+$37	05-10 00:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 23:15:11	Will Trump say "War" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x5bed6b…
05-21 23:12:07	Will Trump say "Good afternoon" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xfda3dc…
05-21 22:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa0ab88…
05-21 22:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe6064c…
05-21 22:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2d851f…
05-21 22:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1a258d…
05-21 22:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd1384c…
05-21 22:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x459054…
05-21 22:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x99f3fc…
05-21 22:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x810416…
05-21 22:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x09a9b3…
05-21 22:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x817149…
05-21 21:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2b92db…
05-21 21:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x146dbf…
05-21 21:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x4a2ff3…
05-21 21:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb1515b…
05-21 21:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf5bdee…
05-21 21:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x7b11a4…
05-21 21:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0x1de84a…
05-21 21:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x980b05…
05-21 21:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbd1ca3…
05-21 21:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xa9e99f…
05-21 21:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xfc69ac…
05-21 21:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xafaed9…
05-21 21:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x15419f…
05-21 20:58:41	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Laptop" on Thursday?	No	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x220ac9…
05-21 06:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x379e3f…
05-21 06:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6e0837…
05-21 06:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcc21d4…
05-21 06:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x07a370…
05-21 06:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x834aa1…
05-21 06:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x46c925…
05-21 06:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x96d001…
05-21 06:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x9e4411…
05-21 06:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa1703f…
05-21 06:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x488d9f…
05-21 06:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1871c5…
05-21 06:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x51f993…
05-21 03:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa5fdac…
05-21 03:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xae0584…
05-21 03:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x5a53ab…
05-21 02:43:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0x28eaa5…
05-21 02:43:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xf2d290…
05-21 02:42:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0x52ddb2…
05-21 02:40:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb4929e…
05-21 02:35:30	Will Trump say "Job" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe24e9d…
05-21 02:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x2eb569…
05-21 02:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x21418a…
05-21 02:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x982bf9…
05-21 02:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5f6d99…
05-21 02:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x1d93c7…
05-21 02:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc8adf5…
05-21 02:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x559d4c…
05-21 02:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x91683b…
05-21 02:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xeb5cef…
05-21 01:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9154d2…
05-21 01:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x28689f…
05-21 01:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf218da…
05-21 01:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9401be…
05-21 01:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8570b4…
05-20 23:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8f3cf0…
05-20 21:33:03	Will Trump say "Gold" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb8e0ac…
05-20 21:32:38	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd28003…
05-20 21:32:28	Will Trump say "Recession" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa8d8e4…
05-20 21:32:07	Will Trump say "Good afternoon" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2152bf…
05-20 21:30:55	Will Trump say "Unemployment" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0xdcb41d…
05-20 14:50:14	Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x4ead97…
05-20 14:49:12	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xb08cf7…
05-20 14:48:46	Will Trump say "Maduro" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xe071a0…
05-20 14:48:20	Will Trump say "Transgender" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xd3ddba…
05-20 14:45:39	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0204e5…
05-20 14:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe70744…
05-20 14:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x4dbdc0…
05-20 14:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x1d11d4…
05-20 14:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3e1882…
05-20 14:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x4f8a5c…
05-20 14:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1b8b83…
05-20 14:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4f5d43…
05-20 14:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xc1966d…
05-20 14:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x0958a2…
05-20 14:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x20d972…
05-20 14:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xe2f953…
05-20 14:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7c4d19…
05-20 13:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5008da…
05-20 13:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x07d244…
05-20 13:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3bdc26…
05-20 13:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0xfbd8c3…
05-20 13:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4c93a6…
05-20 13:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3775ce…
05-20 13:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0x211d31…
05-20 13:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x00dd3c…
05-20 13:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x43206e…
05-20 13:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0da25f…
05-20 13:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x269a5b…
05-20 13:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x751526…
05-20 13:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x833d56…
05-19 10:32:47	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0x31b8cd…
05-11 04:42:29	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x5cb958…
05-11 04:40:23	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xf38e99…
05-11 04:31:29	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x5b75c0…