Dismal-Tie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$430

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 05-25 11:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	4	$58	60	30	+30	open	—	05-20 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$53	30	30	+0	open	—	05-18 19:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	05-12 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	05-21 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	05-16 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	2	$27	30	0	+30	open	—	05-21 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	4	$26	30	30	+0	open	—	05-21 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	05-14 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	05-12 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	6	$18	20	10	+10	open	—	05-15 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$18	30	30	+0	open	—	05-20 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-23 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-21 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-24 06:55
bitcoin above 70k on march 11	2	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-25 05:33
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	3	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	03-28 06:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-25 11:13
will bitcoin reach 74k march 9 15	2	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	03-13 08:37
bitcoin above 72k on march 14	6	$6	68	68	+0	open	—	03-14 11:01
btc updown 5m 1773313500	2	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	03-12 11:07
bitcoin up or down march 14 10am et	2	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	03-14 14:44
bitcoin up or down march 12 7am et	2	$3	20	20	+0	open	—	03-12 11:50
bitcoin up or down march 11 1pm et	2	$3	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 17:36
bitcoin up or down march 13 6am et	2	$3	10	10	+0	open	—	03-13 10:37
will bitcoin dip to 60k march 30 april 5	2	$2	10	9	+1	open	—	03-31 14:14
will bitcoin reach 70k march 30 april 5	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	04-02 20:33
btc updown 4h 1773417600	2	$2	10	8	+2	open	—	03-13 19:32
bitcoin up or down march 12 11am et	2	$2	60	60	+0	open	—	03-12 15:48
btc updown 5m 1773309000	3	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	03-12 09:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 11:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xe390d6…
05-25 05:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x0b2661…
05-24 06:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7a7794…
05-23 19:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8070dc…
05-21 18:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xc599aa…
05-21 15:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x64ed59…
05-21 15:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	29	8¢	$2	0xed389f…
05-21 15:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x4f4f78…
05-21 15:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x94979c…
05-21 10:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x7df130…
05-21 10:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x6de570…
05-21 07:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xe0fa2f…
05-20 19:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x871eae…
05-20 18:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x4f3099…
05-20 15:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xad5541…
05-20 15:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	22¢	$7	0x423928…
05-20 14:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0x969ae6…
05-20 14:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x270224…
05-18 19:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x734b85…
05-18 19:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x7cf38d…
05-17 03:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x911235…
05-16 15:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x0605c1…
05-15 03:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	35¢	$3	0xa34687…
05-15 03:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$8	0x1983f1…
05-15 03:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xc37450…
05-15 03:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xd5e3e7…
05-15 03:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x3936fe…
05-15 03:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$0	0xf98d19…
05-14 06:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xd67961…
05-12 07:44:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf19fc5…
05-12 03:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6224d9…
04-06 11:12:57	OneFootball FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xa43e0c…
04-02 20:33:33	will bitcoin reach 70k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x711b30…
03-31 14:14:47	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 30 april 5	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xc6f40f…
03-31 14:05:49	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xfe7732…
03-31 13:37:53	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xbe7f00…
03-31 13:37:53	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x05e323…
03-31 12:12:03	btc updown 5m 1774959000	Up	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x8af634…
03-28 06:31:31	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xdd79b4…
03-27 17:20:13	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x816bec…
03-27 17:19:53	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x495874…
03-14 14:44:27	bitcoin up or down march 14 10am et	Up	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x04f197…
03-14 14:32:01	bitcoin up or down march 14 10am et	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x88025a…
03-14 11:01:33	bitcoin above 72k on march 14	Yes	SELL	35	2¢	$1	0x17c1de…
03-14 10:29:29	bitcoin above 72k on march 14	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x8ba14d…
03-14 07:37:13	bitcoin above 72k on march 14	Yes	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0xe3fb46…
03-14 06:58:21	bitcoin above 72k on march 14	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xdcf2fd…
03-14 04:34:35	bitcoin above 72k on march 14	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xd0523b…
03-14 04:06:01	bitcoin above 72k on march 14	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd0f63f…
03-13 19:32:27	btc updown 4h 1773417600	Up	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xf3e424…
03-13 18:36:11	btc updown 4h 1773417600	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x15ca05…
03-13 10:37:03	bitcoin up or down march 13 6am et	Down	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x6f0e20…
03-13 10:28:05	bitcoin up or down march 13 6am et	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x6c041c…
03-13 08:37:25	will bitcoin reach 74k march 9 15	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x778976…
03-12 18:34:07	will bitcoin reach 74k march 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x785a4f…
03-12 15:48:29	bitcoin up or down march 12 11am et	Down	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x6fc90d…
03-12 15:39:07	bitcoin up or down march 12 11am et	Down	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x708365…
03-12 14:48:09	bitcoin up or down march 12 10am et	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xb86a63…
03-12 11:50:59	bitcoin up or down march 12 7am et	Down	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xf3f0aa…
03-12 11:50:43	bitcoin up or down march 12 7am et	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x93454d…
03-12 11:07:47	btc updown 5m 1773313500	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x26f400…
03-12 11:06:29	btc updown 5m 1773313500	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x33ff74…
03-12 09:53:45	btc updown 5m 1773309000	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc08254…
03-12 09:53:45	btc updown 5m 1773309000	Down	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x3b8351…
03-12 09:53:45	btc updown 5m 1773309000	Down	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x0bd421…
03-11 17:36:43	bitcoin up or down march 11 1pm et	Down	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x74ad9d…
03-11 17:24:27	bitcoin up or down march 11 1pm et	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x2a123c…
03-11 15:49:37	bitcoin above 70k on march 11	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x7506e1…
03-11 15:39:49	bitcoin above 70k on march 11	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x667d30…