Academic-Good — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

2,506

Trades

8,969

lifetime

Volume

$860.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 09-04 05:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 49% -$31,951

Sports

2% 57% -$548

Other

1% 24% -$1,191

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 221 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	5	$3.9K	8,399	8,399	+0	No	+$695	07-07 01:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 02:30 UTC	6	$3.5K	3,245	3,245	+0	Down	+$1,492	07-15 02:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 04:15 UTC	6	$3.3K	3,192	3,192	+0	Up	+$1,271	07-14 04:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 04:05 UTC	5	$3.2K	2,500	2,500	+0	Down	+$1,205	07-14 04:08
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$3.1K	4,451	4,451	+0	No	+$80	07-11 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 04:45 UTC	6	$3.0K	2,440	2,440	+0	Up	+$996	07-14 04:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:50 UTC	8	$3.0K	3,704	3,643	+61	Down	+$973	07-15 04:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:25 UTC	6	$3.0K	2,612	2,612	+0	Down	+$869	07-15 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 04:10 UTC	4	$2.8K	1,839	1,839	+0	Up	+$812	07-11 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 19:10 UTC	4	$2.6K	1,692	1,692	+0	Down	+$786	07-21 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 20:50 UTC	107	$2.5K	2,243	2,243	+0	Down	+$458	07-11 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 02:35 UTC	17	$2.2K	3,321	3,321	+0	Down	+$1,161	07-16 02:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 04:55 UTC	59	$2.0K	1,329	1,329	+0	Up	+$440	08-02 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 02:55 UTC	4	$2.0K	2,595	1,297	+1,297	Down	+$1,326	07-15 02:59
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.0K	5,102	5,102	+0	No	+$15	07-11 23:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 04:55 UTC	5	$1.9K	1,668	1,668	+0	Up	+$723	07-14 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:05 UTC	4	$1.9K	2,501	1,251	+1,251	Up	+$1,172	07-13 06:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:40 UTC	6	$1.9K	1,841	1,841	+0	Up	+$310	07-21 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 02:25 UTC	5	$1.9K	3,302	3,302	+0	Down	-$118	07-15 02:29
mlb mil laa 2026 08 01	3	$1.8K	1,341	1,341	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$387	08-02 03:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:45 UTC	2	$1.8K	1,269	1,269	+0	Up	+$638	08-29 06:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 21:05 UTC	3	$1.8K	1,325	1,325	+0	Down	+$824	07-09 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 21:10 UTC	5	$1.8K	1,305	1,305	+0	Up	+$589	07-16 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 06:30 UTC	3	$1.8K	1,226	1,226	+0	Up	+$384	07-15 06:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 02:30 UTC	6	$1.8K	1,372	1,372	+0	Down	+$159	08-25 02:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:20 UTC	3	$1.8K	1,270	1,270	+0	Down	+$757	07-13 05:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 19:20 UTC	6	$1.7K	1,789	1,789	+0	Up	+$437	07-09 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 00:10 UTC	35	$1.7K	1,046	1,046	+0	Up	+$120	07-20 00:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 02:10 UTC	4	$1.7K	1,291	1,291	+0	Down	+$715	07-23 02:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:20 UTC	4	$1.7K	1,686	1,686	+0	Up	+$479	07-16 17:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 05:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	355	85¢	$300	0xa2dcee…
09-04 05:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	34	39¢	$13	0xaef5b7…
09-04 05:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	565	38¢	$217	0x6cb965…
09-04 05:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	598	67¢	$400	0xa9fb98…
09-04 05:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	382	2¢	$7	0xb21b4c…
09-04 05:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	232	65¢	$150	0x8d4419…
09-04 05:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	150	51¢	$77	0x0f9e1d…
09-04 05:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	342	83¢	$285	0xdee01a…
09-04 05:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	342	88¢	$300	0xb23814…
09-04 04:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	326	99¢	$323	0x9478ff…
09-04 04:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	326	61¢	$200	0x858b05…
09-04 04:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	390	63¢	$246	0x65db98…
09-04 04:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	390	77¢	$300	0xb39194…
09-04 04:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	225	99¢	$222	0x5129d7…
09-04 04:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x0878c0…
09-04 04:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	327	62¢	$203	0x6d9e8e…
09-04 04:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	327	61¢	$200	0x01ec8a…
09-04 04:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x97ef28…
09-04 04:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	134	4¢	$5	0xc5c289…
09-04 04:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0x6a7ad0…
09-04 04:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	315	99¢	$312	0x40d059…
09-04 04:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	315	63¢	$200	0x91e504…
09-04 04:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	93	11¢	$10	0x5d3aa6…
09-04 04:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	718	11¢	$82	0x35c2e8…
09-04 04:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	811	37¢	$300	0x03ca73…
09-04 04:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	429	76¢	$326	0x939dab…
09-04 04:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	429	70¢	$300	0x6f2db7…
09-04 04:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	739	41¢	$300	0x5bba49…
09-04 04:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	373	64¢	$239	0x180c57…
09-04 04:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	308	65¢	$200	0xbffab9…
09-04 04:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	65	69¢	$45	0x5fd559…
09-04 04:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	324	20¢	$65	0x02670d…
09-04 04:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	324	62¢	$200	0x613787…
09-04 04:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	293	99¢	$290	0x0955cc…
09-04 04:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	293	68¢	$200	0x85dbdd…
09-04 04:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	465	63¢	$292	0xdfbdf3…
09-04 04:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0xea32e1…
09-04 04:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	448	90¢	$402	0xf02316…
09-04 04:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	448	67¢	$300	0x96a283…
09-04 04:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	379	85¢	$321	0x0c8c42…
09-04 04:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	379	79¢	$300	0x9bf965…
09-04 03:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	555	89¢	$495	0x514e72…
09-04 03:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	555	54¢	$300	0x94cb1e…
09-04 03:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	473	99¢	$468	0x8a776e…
09-04 03:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	473	63¢	$300	0xddc17c…
09-04 03:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	167	50¢	$83	0xbbf99c…
09-04 03:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	45	50¢	$22	0x128310…
09-04 03:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0xeb6e32…
09-04 03:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	708	50¢	$354	0xb43190…
09-04 03:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x9a391d…
09-04 03:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x122da2…
09-04 03:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	73	59¢	$43	0x30d6da…
09-04 03:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0x8cd60b…
09-04 03:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0x8cb7a2…
09-04 03:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0x58b2e1…
09-04 03:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x4dd97e…
09-04 03:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0x0c6821…
09-04 03:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	748	43¢	$322	0xddf57d…
09-04 03:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0xea9a0c…
09-04 03:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xe6e777…
09-04 03:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x6c75b7…
09-04 03:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0xfa35f6…
09-04 03:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	515	17¢	$88	0xd6d969…
09-04 03:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x8833d4…
09-04 03:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0x59ca6d…
09-04 03:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	511	39¢	$200	0x913642…
09-04 03:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	350	99¢	$347	0xe46ddf…
09-04 03:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	350	86¢	$300	0xdf259e…
09-04 03:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	460	65¢	$300	0x3ecace…
09-04 03:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	304	93¢	$284	0x835573…
09-04 03:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	304	66¢	$200	0x2aedec…
09-04 03:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	407	74¢	$300	0x79cf0b…
09-04 03:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	400	31¢	$123	0x7fe16b…
09-04 03:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xe7432b…
09-04 03:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	345	83¢	$287	0xe2cb30…
09-04 03:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0xbe39e0…
09-04 02:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	496	40¢	$200	0x329cbf…
09-04 02:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	25	75¢	$19	0x890467…
09-04 02:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	216	74¢	$160	0x520961…
09-04 02:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x30dece…
09-04 02:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	535	78¢	$419	0x0c2ff3…
09-04 02:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	535	56¢	$300	0xded624…
09-04 02:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xd37ece…
09-04 02:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xda40d2…
09-04 02:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	287	67¢	$192	0x2a4bc5…
09-04 02:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	287	70¢	$200	0x32d72d…
09-04 02:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	500	84¢	$420	0x323ae5…
09-04 02:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0x92fc3a…
09-04 02:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	250	9¢	$23	0xd2cadc…
09-04 02:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	101	30¢	$30	0x3c1142…
09-04 02:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	588	51¢	$300	0xbccb6e…
09-04 02:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	569	75¢	$426	0xfc7628…
09-04 02:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	569	53¢	$300	0xc4eded…
09-04 02:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	474	99¢	$469	0x8b4bd3…
09-04 02:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	474	63¢	$300	0xd7b7ce…
09-04 01:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	576	87¢	$500	0x1ff731…
09-04 01:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	576	35¢	$200	0xfa42fc…
09-04 01:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	588	99¢	$582	0x5f798b…
09-04 01:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	588	68¢	$400	0xedd92f…
09-04 01:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	613	2¢	$14	0x28b38c…