Well-Off-Sledge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$143

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved

Trades

305

lifetime

Volume

$4.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 09-20 15:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

70% 52% -$235

Politics

24% 47% +$95

Tech

5% 67% -$2

Crypto

1% 50% +$7

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$8

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$498	600	400	+200	No	+$22	05-27 17:00
spy up or down on june 17 2026	6	$296	400	200	+200	Down	+$128	06-17 16:15
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	4	$193	200	200	+0	Yes	+$1	08-26 17:12
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	1	$162	200	0	+200	No	-$162	09-01 13:00
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 23?	6	$150	150	150	+0	No	-$43	06-23 16:15
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	4	$130	200	100	+100	Up	+$36	05-19 14:31
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	10	$116	100	100	+0	No	+$2	06-15 08:26
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	7	$98	80	60	+20	Yes	-$13	07-17 10:43
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 4?	15	$97	100	100	+0	No	+$4	07-04 20:53
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	6	$97	100	100	+0	No	$0	06-26 18:56
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	2	$93	200	0	+200	Yes	+$7	07-24 12:29
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 22?	7	$93	100	100	+0	Yes	+$3	06-22 19:47
spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	3	$92	200	0	+200	No	+$8	06-10 14:03
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	7	$92	200	0	+200	Yes	+$8	06-09 13:39
wti up or down on june 11 2026	3	$91	200	0	+200	Down	+$9	06-11 12:22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 23?	6	$80	150	150	+0	No	-$52	06-23 13:37
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 1?	4	$66	100	50	+50	Yes	+$23	07-01 19:56
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 25?	6	$64	100	50	+50	No	-$29	06-25 18:13
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	3	$57	100	50	+50	Yes	+$15	07-24 08:33
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?	7	$53	100	50	+50	No	+$10	07-08 19:48
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	6	$53	80	0	+80	Yes	+$27	01-08 10:24
will venezuela or maduro be said at the 83rd golden globes	2	$53	100	100	+0	No	-$51	01-12 09:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$50	200	0	+200	Yes	+$150	03-27 10:35
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	2	$50	100	0	+100	No	+$0	09-20 15:48
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 5?	3	$48	100	0	+100	No	+$2	07-05 10:02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 27?	4	$47	100	50	+50	Yes	+$4	06-27 17:43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?	6	$47	100	0	+100	Yes	+$3	07-09 08:42
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 15?	5	$47	100	50	+50	Yes	+$5	06-15 23:09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 21?	3	$47	100	0	+100	No	+$3	06-21 18:08
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 19?	3	$47	100	50	+50	Yes	+$4	06-19 12:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 15:48:31	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xa9b33a…
09-01 13:00:49	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0xf56a24…
08-30 09:42:36	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 30?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x95e036…
08-30 03:47:03	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xd5e0d5…
08-29 18:56:01	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x58db0f…
08-28 10:22:42	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x093565…
08-28 09:50:52	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x73efbe…
08-27 16:07:57	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x624915…
08-27 08:37:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 5?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x4f5055…
08-26 23:09:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xfd369e…
08-26 17:47:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 5?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x3f7196…
08-26 17:12:01	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x4f30f4…
08-26 17:11:42	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x9eb1f0…
08-23 10:55:27	will russia enter mykolaivka by september 30 2026 20260805154948090	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xc3714d…
08-23 09:04:33	will russia enter mykolaivka by september 30 2026 20260805154948090	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x9613cc…
08-19 07:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe4ae0c…
08-13 09:05:10	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 13?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xb5589c…
08-13 09:05:10	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 13?	Yes	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x78e92e…
08-13 08:19:46	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xa19962…
08-11 10:00:07	will kai or speed have more in game deaths 20260808192817373	Kai	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xafae36…
08-10 21:25:30	will kai or speed have more in game deaths 20260808192817373	Kai	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x826217…
08-10 02:27:30	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xd2768d…
08-09 19:14:25	will kai or speed have more in game deaths 20260808192817373	Speed	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xcfb217…
08-08 08:28:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xb86b46…
08-07 16:44:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x6c46ff…
08-07 16:44:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x94fb2e…
08-07 16:43:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x97a7b6…
08-07 16:43:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0xf2ba90…
08-07 16:43:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x840c80…
08-07 16:43:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0afc45…
08-06 16:35:48	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xcc3761…
08-06 16:21:00	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xe5358e…
08-06 07:35:29	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xf9f011…
08-06 07:25:12	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 6?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x24e1e5…
08-05 20:20:27	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x520b22…
08-05 19:03:20	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 6?	No	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xc556dd…
08-05 18:44:53	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdd8687…
08-02 14:37:03	Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x64bc93…
07-24 12:29:00	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x432f14…
07-24 08:40:39	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xba4716…
07-24 08:33:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xa37851…
07-24 08:33:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$7	0xba0b5f…
07-18 06:34:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0x87e362…
07-18 06:24:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0xceeabd…
07-17 23:04:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xa724c0…
07-17 12:17:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x456f97…
07-17 10:43:37	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x115d6f…
07-15 12:22:02	spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x6f00f9…
07-15 08:13:16	spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x220628…
07-15 08:07:26	spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	Down	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x875973…
07-13 11:14:26	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xf85305…
07-13 10:48:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x8ee2f7…
07-11 14:34:56	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	40	55¢	$22	0xa225d9…
07-11 08:33:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xba9508…
07-10 15:15:11	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x4ccaa4…
07-10 15:15:11	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x303c5a…
07-10 15:15:11	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x285c6e…
07-10 15:10:47	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0xea1c96…
07-10 15:10:47	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x4eb34b…
07-10 15:10:47	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x2b935e…
07-10 09:35:29	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0x0cd74d…
07-10 09:33:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xc45ac7…
07-09 08:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x947d4a…
07-09 08:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$8	0x65da43…
07-09 08:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2a0950…
07-09 08:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0x7e0ec2…
07-09 08:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?	No	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0xfffef6…
07-09 08:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?	No	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x8517d2…
07-08 19:48:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x3513b5…
07-08 19:48:32	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?	No	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x1149ed…
07-08 17:53:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x21fec0…
07-08 17:53:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x7029b9…
07-08 17:52:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x278d64…
07-08 14:45:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?	No	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xff366a…
07-08 14:40:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdad674…
07-08 14:40:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?	No	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0x103a6d…
07-07 10:53:32	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x9add60…
07-06 17:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x89b95c…
07-06 10:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x197413…
07-05 10:02:49	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 5?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x995be7…
07-05 09:27:43	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0xbaf664…
07-05 09:27:43	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x63c0e9…
07-04 20:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 4?	No	SELL	50	51¢	$25	0x3c8c77…
07-04 18:42:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 4?	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$25	0xaee7a6…
07-04 16:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	23	59¢	$14	0x8c7044…
07-04 16:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x710bfb…
07-04 16:42:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xc03685…
07-04 16:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5172c4…
07-04 16:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0c66cb…
07-04 16:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2cdcc3…
07-04 16:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1aa901…
07-04 16:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x34ae55…
07-04 16:41:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xb5459f…
07-04 11:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 4?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x8ad077…
07-04 08:59:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 4?	No	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xed53ca…
07-04 08:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 4?	No	BUY	17	34¢	$6	0xe47b88…
07-04 08:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 4?	No	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0xe452da…
07-03 13:53:05	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 3?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x753ca1…
07-03 13:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 3?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbac2f9…
07-03 13:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 3?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x035f86…