Leading-Tree — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$194

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.1%

Resolved

Trades

162

lifetime

Volume

$648

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 07-12 18:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 26% -$36

Other

39% 10% -$139

Sports

5% 33% -$13

Politics

1% 0% -$4

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	11	$51	1,070	70	+1,000	Down	+$12	05-04 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$38	30	30	+0	Up	+$22	05-04 12:30
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	2	$36	42	42	+0	Yes	+$14	05-09 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$28	1,011	11	+1,000	Up	-$6	05-04 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	4	$27	28	28	+0	Up	+$12	05-04 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$23	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 13:31
atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	3	$22	105	34	+71	Jannik Sinner	-$16	07-12 18:18
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?	4	$19	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	05-04 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	3	$18	28	12	+16	Down	-$3	05-04 12:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	4	$16	100	100	+0	Yes	-$4	05-04 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	4	$16	51	0	+51	Down	-$16	05-04 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	5	$16	317	17	+300	Down	+$2	05-04 14:30
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	2	$15	40	40	+0	Cavaliers	+$3	05-09 21:47
Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?	2	$15	35	35	+0	No	+$1	05-04 14:24
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$15	115	0	+115	Thunder	-$15	05-07 21:33
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	2	$13	14	14	+0	No	-$7	05-04 14:27
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?	1	$11	41	0	+41	No	-$11	05-09 11:28
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-09?	1	$11	92	0	+92	No	-$11	05-09 13:49
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-09?	1	$11	122	0	+122	No	-$11	05-08 21:06
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-09?	1	$10	100	0	+100	No	-$10	05-09 13:27
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Real Madrid CF?	1	$10	212	0	+212	No	-$10	05-10 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Down	-$10	05-04 08:02
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Jesper de Jong	1	$10	37	0	+37	Jesper de Jong	-$10	05-04 10:05
fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 team total away 2pt5	1	$10	113	0	+113	Under	-$10	06-19 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$10	273	0	+273	Down	-$10	05-04 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$10	996	0	+996	Down	-$10	05-04 07:39
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	3	$8	12	7	+5	No	-$2	05-06 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$7	18	18	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 21:09
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?	2	$7	165	0	+165	No	-$7	05-05 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$6	4	4	+0	Up	$0	05-04 12:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 18:18:25	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Alexander Zverev	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x97f841…
07-12 18:15:49	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Alexander Zverev	SELL	34	10¢	$3	0x30df29…
07-12 18:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xd764a4…
07-12 18:02:08	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Alexander Zverev	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x62b03c…
07-12 17:28:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xd463fd…
06-21 20:19:23	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	266	2¢	$5	0x147e06…
06-19 22:26:02	Haiti to score first vs. Brazil?	Yes	BUY	29	13¢	$4	0x55905f…
06-19 22:24:38	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	113	9¢	$10	0x0a572e…
06-19 22:03:29	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xafb089…
05-10 06:18:57	Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0xa9e3bc…
05-10 05:32:01	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	212	5¢	$10	0x336165…
05-09 22:00:29	Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0x6b65fc…
05-09 21:47:29	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0x157d2c…
05-09 20:54:53	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xbdae1f…
05-09 17:36:19	Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xb223a5…
05-09 17:36:00	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x553014…
05-09 13:49:02	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	92	12¢	$11	0xe9c663…
05-09 13:31:19	Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd72c61…
05-09 13:27:41	Will RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x95d624…
05-09 13:27:07	Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xe4a3bf…
05-09 13:12:06	Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	42	58¢	$25	0x19c9d4…
05-09 11:28:41	Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	26¢	$11	0x7795dc…
05-09 11:28:04	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	41	27¢	$11	0x6155d4…
05-09 11:09:01	Florian Wirtz: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x47b1ef…
05-09 11:08:09	Florian Wirtz: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xfed338…
05-08 21:17:15	Will "BROWN - Chris Brown" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 16?	Yes	BUY	267	1¢	$2	0xb7e7ca…
05-08 21:06:50	Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	122	9¢	$11	0xc0f8ca…
05-08 20:45:08	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-08?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x95b9e9…
05-08 20:27:19	Will Venezia FC vs. Palermo FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x611ffa…
05-08 13:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x3d8e5f…
05-08 13:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x7ffd4e…
05-07 22:58:46	Will Trump say "River" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0xfd4f0f…
05-07 22:58:36	Will Trump say "Flag" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	114	2¢	$2	0xeaf411…
05-07 22:58:22	Will Trump say "Sea" or "Water" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	52	1¢	$1	0xfda7f0…
05-07 22:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf7e884…
05-07 21:33:29	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0xd4eee2…
05-07 21:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x7433d4…
05-07 21:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe86fbd…
05-07 20:30:50	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xaf49d0…
05-07 06:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4a6683…
05-07 06:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x71af0d…
05-07 06:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x949e75…
05-06 22:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or higher on May 7?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x9b1a18…
05-06 21:57:06	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xba177e…
05-06 21:50:14	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7c48cf…
05-06 21:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x6e591a…
05-06 21:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd47b31…
05-06 21:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	321	0¢	$1	0xe0e230…
05-06 21:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	872	0¢	$1	0x55d374…
05-06 21:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa80801…
05-06 21:32:43	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x220ee3…
05-06 21:02:51	Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4f5e12…
05-06 20:27:58	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xee5162…
05-06 19:43:06	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8c5786…
05-06 19:42:21	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xeb6f6b…
05-06 19:41:54	Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4460c7…
05-06 19:41:02	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x9484f2…
05-06 19:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa195c6…
05-06 19:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6dc9b5…
05-06 19:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x14500a…
05-06 19:17:07	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x78a3ee…
05-06 19:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x0e6282…
05-06 19:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0x9417b6…
05-06 19:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6af4eb…
05-06 19:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x544fe3…
05-05 22:13:12	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7a44b0…
05-05 21:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2d13a2…
05-05 21:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcf6a4f…
05-05 21:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb8d617…
05-05 21:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0xa374b6…
05-05 21:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x30fe96…
05-05 21:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb03f05…
05-05 21:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb9c44e…
05-05 21:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8be415…
05-05 21:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0xc64bd6…
05-05 21:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf84069…
05-05 21:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbc0078…
05-05 21:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc17299…
05-05 21:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0xa877ac…
05-05 21:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xfbc611…
05-05 21:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x978bdd…
05-05 21:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb2b21e…
05-05 20:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xbc07c2…
05-05 20:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x935e78…
05-05 20:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9a15d7…
05-05 20:42:50	Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xeeb137…
05-05 20:32:18	Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x99255f…
05-05 20:28:24	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x29a999…
05-05 20:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2bbfd0…
05-05 20:24:54	Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xbb207e…
05-05 20:24:36	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xe3491f…
05-04 18:51:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xdfe005…
05-04 15:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb00a8b…
05-04 15:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xe15e55…
05-04 15:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x13056f…
05-04 15:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x219be5…
05-04 15:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xd60fd9…
05-04 14:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x40c8b0…
05-04 14:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0x34fd45…
05-04 14:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x65bba6…