Stale-Ear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$98

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.4%

Resolved

10,090

Trades

12,294

lifetime

Volume

$80.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 10-28 02:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 82% +$177

Other

1% 50% -$79

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 553 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	61	$497	486	408	+77	Down	-$16	06-01 17:09
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5	2	$258	135	135	+0	Over	+$9	06-01 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	22	$215	196	183	+12	Up	+$28	05-20 00:55
Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 0.5	2	$194	121	121	+0	Over	+$46	06-01 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	8	$165	134	134	+0	Up	+$28	05-06 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	16	$161	173	173	+0	Up	+$23	05-20 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	10	$146	175	124	+51	Up	-$1	05-06 17:34
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5	1	$132	176	0	+176	Under	-$132	06-01 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	6	$94	136	136	+0	Up	+$12	05-08 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	16	$80	84	0	+84	Down	+$4	05-19 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	8	$79	42	42	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	12	$78	119	17	+102	Up	+$30	05-20 01:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	9	$78	40	40	+0	Up	+$1	05-03 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	8	$75	43	43	+0	Up	+$9	05-06 17:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	5	$75	83	0	+83	Down	+$8	05-06 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	16	$74	75	0	+75	Up	+$1	05-03 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	14	$70	71	0	+71	Down	+$1	05-19 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	8	$66	38	38	+0	Up	-$4	05-20 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	13	$66	76	0	+76	Up	+$5	05-20 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	13	$65	66	0	+66	Down	+$1	05-20 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	13	$65	75	0	+75	Down	-$3	05-20 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	11	$60	66	0	+66	Up	+$6	05-06 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	6	$59	50	50	+0	Up	+$2	05-30 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	11	$55	56	0	+56	Up	+$1	05-19 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	9	$50	83	50	+33	Down	+$1	05-20 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	8	$49	38	38	+0	Up	-$3	05-20 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$46	55	0	+55	Down	-$4	05-06 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	16	$46	1,009	0	+1,009	Up	-$46	05-18 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	8	$46	38	11	+27	Up	+$2	05-20 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	3	$45	85	0	+85	Down	-$45	05-16 20:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:32:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x7e3e2e…
10-28 03:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x25d9cc…
10-28 03:26:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x67b3db…
10-28 03:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x7b88fe…
10-28 03:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf14e58…
10-28 03:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x591353…
10-28 02:52:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x22efba…
10-28 02:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xca6564…
10-28 02:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa0ca42…
10-28 02:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x8fd448…
10-28 02:16:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x001801…
10-28 02:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x609952…
10-28 01:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x034d0b…
10-28 01:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xcdc3f7…
10-28 01:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0db5ab…
10-28 01:12:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x429c66…
10-28 00:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xe9c852…
10-28 00:47:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x88bec8…
10-28 00:07:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x4b2a27…
10-28 00:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc32ab2…
10-28 00:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xc7e9a6…
10-27 23:52:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x4cc80d…
10-27 23:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xc669bd…
10-27 23:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x377552…
10-27 23:27:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x629748…
10-27 23:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x539779…
10-27 23:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xc405a8…
10-27 22:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x048a81…
10-27 21:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6c3f61…
10-27 21:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x4cb8ea…
10-27 21:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x2a7699…
10-27 21:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x70f8ba…
10-27 20:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x7fd877…
10-27 19:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x989cce…
10-27 19:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x016404…
10-27 19:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x912f9c…
10-27 19:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdb05ce…
10-27 19:02:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x6ac6f6…
10-27 18:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdb4dbd…
10-27 18:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x0a0410…
10-27 18:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x02c8ea…
10-27 18:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbd9a0d…
10-27 18:36:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x318cf2…
10-27 18:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x488d80…
10-27 18:01:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xbbf80b…
10-27 17:22:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xadde18…
10-27 17:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x33ac66…
10-27 17:02:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x4dd4a7…
10-27 17:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x831343…
10-27 16:32:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x564092…
10-27 16:17:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x2bdfac…
10-27 15:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x58691d…
10-27 15:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x525741…
10-27 15:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x121168…
10-27 15:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x21c5bb…
10-27 15:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3bca68…
10-27 15:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb9de1b…
10-27 15:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x849b9c…
10-27 15:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x9a40d9…
10-27 15:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xeda4ea…
10-27 14:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x3f2d17…
10-27 13:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xba4caf…
10-27 13:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x45c623…
10-27 13:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xe029a0…
10-27 13:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x132285…
10-27 13:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x84a2e3…
10-27 12:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x8b93c1…
10-27 12:01:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x24b6dd…
10-27 11:57:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xca9a33…
10-27 11:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x0201ba…
10-27 11:42:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x3502c4…
10-27 11:22:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x8fc00e…
10-27 11:17:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x716d75…
10-27 11:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xd89461…
10-27 11:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x0a0e44…
10-27 11:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa77a0f…
10-27 10:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xef0f26…
10-27 10:17:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x110a40…
10-27 10:02:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x0c4012…
10-27 09:57:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x2911bd…
10-27 09:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xfce67e…
10-27 09:26:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x898ad5…
10-27 09:12:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x8593f5…
10-27 09:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xec8360…
10-27 09:07:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xcb07f0…
10-27 09:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x0c975e…
10-27 08:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x271f43…
10-27 08:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x019f24…
10-27 08:52:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x305616…
10-27 08:47:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x045a73…
10-27 08:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0a8a72…
10-27 08:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x5b9dc8…
10-27 08:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xe05d6c…
10-27 07:57:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x9dcb53…
10-27 07:51:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xa7d515…
10-27 07:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x779ec1…
10-27 07:03:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xf94506…
10-27 06:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xef5fe7…
10-27 06:47:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xdaf5a4…
10-27 06:32:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x7455f5…