Stale-Ear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$96

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.5%

Resolved

10,166

Trades

12,375

lifetime

Volume

$81.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 10-29 05:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 82% +$176

Other

1% 50% -$79

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 553 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	61	$497	486	408	+77	Down	-$16	06-01 17:09
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5	2	$258	135	135	+0	Over	+$9	06-01 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	22	$215	196	183	+12	Up	+$28	05-20 00:55
Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 0.5	2	$194	121	121	+0	Over	+$46	06-01 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	8	$165	134	134	+0	Up	+$28	05-06 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	16	$161	173	173	+0	Up	+$23	05-20 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	10	$146	175	124	+51	Up	-$1	05-06 17:34
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5	1	$132	176	0	+176	Under	-$132	06-01 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	6	$94	136	136	+0	Up	+$12	05-08 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	16	$80	84	0	+84	Down	+$4	05-19 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	8	$79	42	42	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	12	$78	119	17	+102	Up	+$30	05-20 01:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	9	$78	40	40	+0	Up	+$1	05-03 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	8	$75	43	43	+0	Up	+$9	05-06 17:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	5	$75	83	0	+83	Down	+$8	05-06 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	16	$74	75	0	+75	Up	+$1	05-03 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	14	$70	71	0	+71	Down	+$1	05-19 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	8	$66	38	38	+0	Up	-$4	05-20 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	13	$66	76	0	+76	Up	+$5	05-20 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	13	$65	66	0	+66	Down	+$1	05-20 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	13	$65	75	0	+75	Down	-$3	05-20 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	11	$60	66	0	+66	Up	+$6	05-06 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	6	$59	50	50	+0	Up	+$2	05-30 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	11	$55	56	0	+56	Up	+$1	05-19 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	9	$50	83	50	+33	Down	+$1	05-20 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	8	$49	38	38	+0	Up	-$3	05-20 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$46	55	0	+55	Down	-$4	05-06 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	16	$46	1,009	0	+1,009	Up	-$46	05-18 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	8	$46	38	11	+27	Up	+$2	05-20 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	3	$45	85	0	+85	Down	-$45	05-16 20:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 06:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbb89fe…
10-29 06:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8c2296…
10-29 06:22:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x208c92…
10-29 05:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xeffd32…
10-29 05:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xeb83ab…
10-29 05:21:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x7c3f3c…
10-29 05:12:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x8c1254…
10-29 04:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x66d3be…
10-29 03:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x542495…
10-29 02:57:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x58b156…
10-29 02:37:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xc9e6e3…
10-29 02:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x458fed…
10-29 02:06:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb2121c…
10-29 02:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x645a46…
10-29 01:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x65873b…
10-29 01:47:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9fa07e…
10-29 01:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x023637…
10-29 01:02:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x0aa0fa…
10-28 23:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x86b524…
10-28 23:27:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xb306ac…
10-28 23:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x10d93c…
10-28 23:22:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x6b7988…
10-28 23:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb2a84a…
10-28 22:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x685870…
10-28 21:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6d5de1…
10-28 20:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x80e8f6…
10-28 20:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x4e8aea…
10-28 20:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xd04274…
10-28 20:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xa79374…
10-28 20:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbad86d…
10-28 20:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x70d561…
10-28 19:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x65dd1e…
10-28 18:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x16378d…
10-28 18:46:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x2d0c0c…
10-28 18:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3f2bcb…
10-28 18:36:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x01de39…
10-28 18:27:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x425e36…
10-28 18:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x64c2e2…
10-28 18:12:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xa822bc…
10-28 17:57:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb3673c…
10-28 17:57:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa43546…
10-28 17:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x9b1c6e…
10-28 17:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x8094c3…
10-28 16:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x82e177…
10-28 15:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x1f6d72…
10-28 15:21:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x53918f…
10-28 15:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x3286ad…
10-28 14:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x20801f…
10-28 14:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xbfd366…
10-28 13:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfbba41…
10-28 13:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x08dfc0…
10-28 12:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x007dce…
10-28 11:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x12246f…
10-28 11:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc5e137…
10-28 11:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xbf9673…
10-28 10:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x6993a0…
10-28 10:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x913571…
10-28 10:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x566b44…
10-28 10:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa3ffc2…
10-28 10:02:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x851c03…
10-28 09:22:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x37054d…
10-28 08:47:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x9bbc23…
10-28 08:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x3c50ab…
10-28 08:37:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xe10b80…
10-28 08:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5f2f02…
10-28 08:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x5799f3…
10-28 08:02:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x48e20b…
10-28 08:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa08725…
10-28 07:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd8a59d…
10-28 07:51:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x315baf…
10-28 06:32:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xf74961…
10-28 05:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x9772c7…
10-28 05:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x9eda4b…
10-28 05:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x3b6acc…
10-28 04:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xe86191…
10-28 04:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xc83a27…
10-28 04:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x117d09…
10-28 04:07:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xba3cea…
10-28 03:32:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x7e3e2e…
10-28 03:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x25d9cc…
10-28 03:26:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x67b3db…
10-28 03:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x7b88fe…
10-28 03:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf14e58…
10-28 03:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x591353…
10-28 02:52:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x22efba…
10-28 02:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xca6564…
10-28 02:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa0ca42…
10-28 02:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x8fd448…
10-28 02:16:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x001801…
10-28 02:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x609952…
10-28 01:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x034d0b…
10-28 01:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xcdc3f7…
10-28 01:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0db5ab…
10-28 01:12:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x429c66…
10-28 00:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xe9c852…
10-28 00:47:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x88bec8…
10-28 00:07:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x4b2a27…
10-28 00:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc32ab2…
10-28 00:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xc7e9a6…
10-27 23:52:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x4cc80d…