Serious-Proposition — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$70

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved (7d)

337

Trades (7d)

453

9,288 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$11.5K

$390.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$25

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 11-01 20:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 246 days

Categories

Other

60% 71% -$4,682

Crypto

34% 85% -$3,437

Sports

5% 61% -$532

Politics

0% 67% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	—	+25	$24	98¢	$25	+$1	11-01 22:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp alcaraz zverev 2026 01 30	42	$2.8K	2,175	2,174	+0	Alcaraz	-$316	01-30 09:19
atp fearnle fritz 2026 03 06	6	$2.5K	1,278	1,278	+0	Taylor Fritz	+$6	03-08 04:21
wta pegula anisimo 2026 02 20	29	$2.5K	1,856	1,856	+0	Pegula	+$73	02-20 17:02
atp poljica coppeja 2026 03 28	17	$2.4K	1,289	1,289	+0	Mili Poljicak	+$44	03-28 15:26
atp dias virtane 2026 07 20	41	$2.4K	2,500	1,800	+700	Otto Virtanen	-$230	07-21 17:03
atp fritz jodar 2026 02 19	30	$2.0K	1,203	1,000	+203	Fritz	+$16	02-20 03:25
atp mcdonal ymer 2026 02 21	9	$2.0K	1,703	1,703	+0	Ymer	-$685	02-22 01:50
atp popyrin kypson 2026 03 30	2	$1.7K	892	892	+0	Alexei Popyrin	+$35	04-01 03:16
atp villanu aboian 2026 03 30	2	$1.7K	888	886	+2	Gonzalo Villanueva	+$53	03-30 23:06
atp bennan halys 2026 03 30	6	$1.7K	865	865	+0	Karim Bennani	+$42	03-30 17:04
atp glinka kukushk 2026 03 30	5	$1.7K	857	857	+0	Daniil Glinka	+$51	03-30 13:22
atp shimizu broady 2026 07 20	20	$1.6K	1,434	1,293	+141	Yuta Shimizu	-$190	07-21 21:27
atp mart huesler 2026 03 30	2	$1.6K	840	838	+2	Dan Martin	+$58	03-31 03:41
atp mena galan 2026 02 21	7	$1.6K	900	900	+0	Galan	-$180	02-21 19:58
atp gomez tabur 2026 03 29	4	$1.5K	786	786	+0	Federico Agustin Gomez	+$31	03-29 18:22
atp torres dellie 2026 03 23	11	$1.5K	963	963	+0	Juan Bautista Torres	-$284	03-23 23:00
wta karatan cross 2026 02 21	4	$1.5K	800	800	+0	Karatancheva	+$20	02-21 22:29
atp ivashka kjaer 2026 03 29	2	$1.5K	756	756	+0	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	+$29	03-29 14:16
atp poljica gentzsc 2026 03 29	3	$1.4K	721	721	+0	Mili Poljicak	+$35	03-29 12:20
atp tirante tabilo 2026 02 20	13	$1.4K	826	826	+0	Tabilo	-$43	02-21 05:33
atp gojo ficovic 2026 03 28	2	$1.4K	694	694	+0	Borna Gojo	+$27	03-29 02:41
wta parry watson 2026 02 21	17	$1.3K	700	700	+0	Watson	+$54	02-22 00:36
atp giron ruud 2026 02 18	19	$1.3K	1,149	349	+800	Ruud	+$44	02-19 03:34
atp bellucc bennani 2026 03 30	3	$1.3K	888	888	+0	Mattia Bellucci	-$362	03-31 14:01
atp medvede tabilo 2026 03 07 first set winner Medvedev vs Tabilo	3	$1.3K	666	666	+0	Medvedev	+$26	03-08 05:23
atp hernand mejia 2026 03 30	4	$1.3K	666	666	+0	Nicolas Mejia	+$26	04-01 04:18
nba lac lal 2026 02 20	8	$1.3K	943	442	+500	Lakers	+$102	02-21 05:45
atp safiull ruiz 2026 03 28	2	$1.2K	625	625	+0	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	+$24	03-28 14:23
atp barrios dellien 2026 03 27	2	$1.2K	601	601	+0	Hugo Dellien	+$23	03-27 23:38
atp bertra hernan 2026 03 23	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	Peter Bertran	+$23	03-23 22:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 22:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x744280…
11-01 22:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xe8552b…
11-01 21:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0xecc7c0…
11-01 21:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0xbd01cf…
11-01 21:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x7a7a2d…
11-01 21:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x4a9a8d…
11-01 21:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x59ab77…
11-01 21:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x4ff4bb…
11-01 20:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xb3bb3e…
11-01 16:58:30	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0x20799c…
11-01 15:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0xff2620…
11-01 15:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x08ef28…
11-01 15:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x3ed24f…
11-01 15:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x19e91a…
11-01 15:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xf2d4e7…
11-01 15:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xedacec…
11-01 15:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xeb0484…
11-01 15:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xe028af…
11-01 15:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xb84d48…
11-01 15:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x9204b1…
11-01 15:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x4f8e32…
11-01 15:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0xc29d67…
11-01 15:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x88af84…
11-01 14:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0xc5205f…
11-01 14:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0x8e7a9c…
11-01 14:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0xec5268…
11-01 14:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x7048cc…
11-01 14:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0x0c4dd8…
11-01 13:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x3ef660…
11-01 13:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0xba96f4…
11-01 13:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x6c2b3a…
11-01 13:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	41	94¢	$38	0xe7684b…
11-01 13:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x57f3a2…
11-01 13:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0x1e90e7…
11-01 12:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0x6ee0b1…
11-01 12:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x3c1380…
11-01 12:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0xb0f1a1…
11-01 12:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x53386e…
11-01 12:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0x5661e5…
11-01 07:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x65e5b5…
11-01 03:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0xe21626…
11-01 03:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0x65cb95…
11-01 03:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x65cb71…
10-31 21:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x4a3415…
10-31 21:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0352e8…
10-31 21:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x580762…
10-31 18:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0xbbab6a…
10-31 18:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x765a6b…
10-31 18:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x415917…
10-31 18:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0xd3cef1…
10-31 18:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x97bb92…
10-31 15:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0x8dd9b8…
10-31 15:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x700ef9…
10-31 14:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xe51cd7…
10-31 14:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x1a494e…
10-31 14:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xb64f60…
10-31 14:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x6fe7e1…
10-31 14:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x29e10e…
10-31 14:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0xb1a4e6…
10-31 14:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x9a0bbd…
10-31 14:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xf4c3e4…
10-31 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	88¢	$34	0x941e56…
10-31 13:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0x68582a…
10-31 13:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	37	92¢	$34	0x69b40d…
10-31 13:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0x18692b…
10-31 13:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x046833…
10-31 12:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xfcc269…
10-31 12:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0x06e9ea…
10-31 12:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x4f7abf…
10-31 12:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xf126ce…
10-31 12:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x2b5361…
10-31 12:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xd66bf9…
10-31 12:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x8d6cf2…
10-31 07:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x901bb4…
10-31 07:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0xbcf2e7…
10-31 07:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x8f7313…
10-31 07:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x9d7d5f…
10-31 07:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	48	87¢	$42	0xd0d24f…
10-31 07:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0xc474e2…
10-31 07:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0x47abf7…
10-31 06:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x5462e0…
10-31 06:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0x742443…
10-31 06:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xb1237d…
10-31 06:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x4b2f7a…
10-31 06:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	41	94¢	$39	0x4fb38e…
10-31 06:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x5e545c…
10-31 06:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x6a1099…
10-31 06:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x431fc5…
10-31 05:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x1430a6…
10-31 05:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0xf6408e…
10-31 05:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x588d81…
10-31 05:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0xaec470…
10-31 05:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x9486e2…
10-31 05:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x690cc6…
10-31 04:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x50dda6…
10-31 04:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0x535eb4…
10-31 04:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x7b2eea…
10-31 04:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x3e534c…
10-31 04:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x29df31…
10-31 04:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xd4d035…