Spotted-Independence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.2%

Resolved

134

Trades

955

lifetime

Volume

$2.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-17 15:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% $-68

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 288 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	11	$50	29	26	+3	open	—	05-03 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	9	$47	27	27	+0	open	—	05-02 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	5	$43	23	23	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	6	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	05-02 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	9	$41	40	17	+24	open	—	05-14 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	8	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	05-02 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	8	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	05-02 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	6	$39	21	21	+0	open	—	05-02 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	6	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	05-03 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	7	$35	23	23	+0	open	—	05-02 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	6	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	05-03 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	10	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	05-02 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	6	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	05-02 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	6	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	05-02 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	7	$33	22	15	+7	open	—	05-02 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	9	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	05-03 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	7	$29	17	17	+0	open	—	05-02 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	12	$28	17	17	+0	open	—	05-02 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	5	$27	18	14	+4	open	—	05-03 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	10	$27	16	16	+0	open	—	05-02 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	5	$27	25	13	+12	open	—	05-14 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	5	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	05-02 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	5	$25	13	13	-0	open	—	05-02 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	10	$25	20	13	+6	open	—	05-17 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	7	$25	24	12	+12	open	—	05-14 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	4	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	05-02 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	6	$25	28	2	+26	open	—	05-03 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$25	21	13	+9	open	—	05-14 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	10	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	05-02 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	7	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	05-02 18:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 15:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe5e82b…
05-17 15:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xc79897…
05-17 15:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcb1c6a…
05-17 15:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xc7d3c8…
05-17 15:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd64fc7…
05-17 15:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x78b4ae…
05-17 15:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xdf8953…
05-17 15:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xb66c14…
05-17 15:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x9e4c6e…
05-17 14:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x38d3b7…
05-17 14:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x1545ce…
05-17 14:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x322741…
05-17 14:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf5ca5c…
05-17 14:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe5b0c0…
05-17 14:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x476f2c…
05-17 14:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc125ef…
05-17 14:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd8792d…
05-17 14:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x804dce…
05-17 14:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0d9682…
05-17 14:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x06e255…
05-17 14:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x041156…
05-17 14:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5d0ee9…
05-17 14:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe705e8…
05-17 14:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8c8d82…
05-17 14:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x54775f…
05-17 14:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa87a10…
05-17 14:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x17ee11…
05-17 14:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf9c90f…
05-17 14:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf3c772…
05-17 14:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd47ae9…
05-17 14:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4b6200…
05-17 14:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x0f7906…
05-17 14:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3d60bf…
05-17 14:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd3554f…
05-17 14:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfd35ed…
05-17 14:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x9ee1bf…
05-17 14:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xf1b2a9…
05-17 14:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xeb430c…
05-17 14:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x60b627…
05-17 14:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x77c37a…
05-17 14:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x231c73…
05-17 14:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb285b9…
05-17 14:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7a0a12…
05-17 14:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfb0058…
05-17 14:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x2b2b56…
05-17 13:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x75f9c3…
05-17 13:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x79e1cc…
05-17 13:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3a99d4…
05-17 13:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xbf0102…
05-17 13:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb3a0e0…
05-17 13:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x78fb2e…
05-17 13:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd3ba1a…
05-17 13:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd96f90…
05-17 13:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa655eb…
05-15 17:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x847f8f…
05-15 17:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb4dc2b…
05-15 17:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4e6efe…
05-15 17:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xcf7736…
05-15 17:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9e1cad…
05-15 17:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4a1519…
05-15 17:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf85701…
05-15 17:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9d62ad…
05-15 17:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x57aba7…
05-15 17:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7f6fae…
05-15 17:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8eb687…
05-15 17:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcc17ac…
05-15 17:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdfee2b…
05-15 17:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x998d42…
05-15 17:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x602f8f…
05-15 17:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x834cf7…
05-15 17:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc7595f…
05-15 17:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x731abc…
05-15 16:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x538f63…
05-15 16:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1b7bb2…
05-15 16:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7f1ad9…
05-15 16:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x63c19a…
05-15 16:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc0666e…
05-15 16:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4730f6…
05-15 16:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe53900…
05-15 16:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x365f24…
05-14 19:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa86f81…
05-14 18:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4b6e4b…
05-14 18:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf58028…
05-14 18:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x23bea0…
05-14 18:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x300536…
05-14 18:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x74dcbb…
05-14 18:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x7539cc…
05-14 18:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x905eeb…
05-14 18:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x546586…
05-14 18:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1d0433…
05-14 18:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc01c39…
05-14 18:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0d9d2d…
05-14 18:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd836d1…
05-14 18:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7150a5…
05-14 18:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x4373de…
05-14 18:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x97df29…
05-14 18:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x724145…
05-14 18:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xbae5ea…
05-14 18:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x2bd5e7…
05-14 18:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x5cfb24…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343	294	$64.8K	12,330	05-17 15:16
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	294	$63.9K	11,686	05-17 15:17
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	294	$56.8K	17,874	05-17 15:19
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	294	$55.0K	17,851	05-17 15:19
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	294	$51.7K	16,276	05-17 15:19
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	294	$42.0K	8,472	05-17 15:19
(anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b	294	$33.5K	7,495	05-17 15:19
Lumpy-Pagoda 0x3615…8fdf	294	$22.3K	5,412	05-17 15:19