Spotted-Independence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

51.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$86

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-10 19:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 42% $-11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	+10	$4	99¢	$9	+$5	05-10 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	+5	$5	76¢	$4	$-1	05-10 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	+5	$2	38¢	$2	$-0	05-10 18:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$7	10	+10	Down	$-7	05-06 08:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-09 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-10 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$4	10	+10	open	—	05-10 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-10 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-10 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$4	13	+13	open	—	05-10 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$4	5	+5	Down	+$1	05-09 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-10 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$3	4	+4	Up	+$1	05-06 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$2	12	+12	Down	$-2	05-09 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	05-10 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	05-10 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-10 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-10 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-10 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-10 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$2	7	+7	open	—	05-10 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-10 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-06 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	05-10 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$2	11	+11	Down	$-2	05-06 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$2	05-09 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	05-10 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	05-06 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-10 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-10 09:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$1	6	+6	open	—	05-10 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	Down	$-1	05-09 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-10 15:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 19:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x44312c…
05-10 18:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb9b55f…
05-10 18:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x6d280e…
05-10 18:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xab2bb2…
05-10 18:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x663d73…
05-10 17:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x86d19e…
05-10 17:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x92becd…
05-10 17:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x04a15e…
05-10 17:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5a6861…
05-10 17:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x509159…
05-10 16:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe22d0a…
05-10 16:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x548cfe…
05-10 15:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd7f706…
05-10 15:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x197fb1…
05-10 09:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa58a3f…
05-10 09:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd6d34f…
05-10 09:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7ab252…
05-10 09:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x60f369…
05-10 08:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xa050aa…
05-10 08:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x241d44…
05-10 08:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x25dbea…
05-10 08:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x705de5…
05-10 08:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe1cc80…
05-10 08:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xb9ac01…
05-10 07:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xf11928…
05-10 07:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x8f4ad6…
05-10 07:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4bc596…
05-10 07:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x678ae8…
05-09 17:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x76d02f…
05-09 17:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xd7f58f…
05-09 17:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x5bc219…
05-09 17:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x589a30…
05-09 17:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x2fe4e9…
05-09 17:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x6cc09a…
05-09 16:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xdf0dd8…
05-09 16:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf51262…
05-06 08:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xe8c060…
05-06 08:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x814057…
05-06 08:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8618ff…
05-06 08:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb1ede3…
05-06 08:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe713bb…
05-06 07:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xdeeed0…
05-06 07:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6b74ac…
05-06 07:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa83a24…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	33	$10.4K	451	05-10 19:08
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	31	$5.26K	180	05-10 19:09
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	28	$2.28K	182	05-10 18:49
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	27	$802	120	05-10 19:08
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	26	$4.57K	61	05-10 19:09
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	25	$1.35K	67	05-10 18:46
Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed	25	$686	41	05-10 18:45
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	24	$1.20K	63	05-10 18:46