Conscious-Aspic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$339

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,014

lifetime

Volume

$103.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-24 22:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% — —

Politics

25% 0% $-15

Crypto

20% 67% +$353

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	11	$16.0K	8,816	8,816	+0	open	—	03-18 14:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	23	$6.3K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	03-27 00:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	14	$5.2K	3,123	3,123	+0	open	—	03-01 01:32
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	12	$4.6K	2,860	2,860	+0	open	—	02-25 12:50
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	3	$4.2K	2,215	2,215	+0	open	—	03-30 03:09
barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	10	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-15 04:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	37	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-18 22:38
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	18	$3.3K	3,475	0	+3,475	open	—	01-15 22:26
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	11	$3.0K	3,013	1,013	+2,000	open	—	03-29 22:55
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	9	$2.9K	2,455	2,455	+0	open	—	01-13 09:09
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	6	$2.4K	3,200	3,200	+0	open	—	04-08 06:32
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	1	$2.2K	2,471	0	+2,471	open	—	02-13 19:45
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	9	$1.9K	2,355	0	+2,355	open	—	01-13 20:43
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	3	$1.9K	1,335	1,335	+0	open	—	03-07 17:17
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	9	$1.9K	1,142	1,142	+0	open	—	03-07 17:16
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	6	$1.5K	1,658	0	+1,658	open	—	01-12 02:32
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	6	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-19 19:13
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$1.5K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	03-19 03:47
will there be at least 1100 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 285 136	4	$1.4K	1,486	1,486	+0	open	—	02-20 14:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-06 09:30
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-01 23:58
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$1.3K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-14 23:30
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$1.2K	758	758	+0	open	—	03-09 06:40
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	2	$1.1K	688	688	+0	open	—	03-10 18:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	7	$1.1K	1,582	1,582	+0	open	—	03-01 00:55
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	5	$972	2,711	2,711	+0	open	—	01-15 23:24
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$960	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	04-14 23:40
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$890	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-19 03:48
lol gen fox1 2026 03 01	1	$870	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-01 05:35
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	8	$870	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-03 01:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 22:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x356e07…
05-24 22:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf8a18e…
05-24 22:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdac6ff…
05-24 22:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0x6f5883…
05-24 22:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x2432ec…
05-24 22:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xfbde5e…
05-24 22:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xf6fdb5…
05-24 22:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xe82a27…
05-24 22:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xb1a1dc…
05-24 22:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa3bf7d…
05-24 22:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x909915…
05-24 22:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x6ec2df…
05-24 22:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x6ce51c…
05-24 22:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x647ebd…
05-24 22:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x581dd9…
05-24 22:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	30	95¢	$29	0x50f73e…
05-24 22:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x4a3c61…
05-24 22:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x352bc4…
05-24 22:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x22cf5b…
05-24 22:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x17f3e5…
05-24 22:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x16d830…
05-24 22:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x16b7e3…
05-24 22:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x12b715…
05-24 22:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x030154…
05-24 22:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x2bad86…
05-24 22:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	153	48¢	$74	0xbaae5f…
05-24 22:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2fd023…
05-24 21:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x44c9ef…
05-18 22:38:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	916	95¢	$870	0x82f8ad…
05-18 22:36:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x6bd12a…
05-18 22:36:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0x802b04…
05-18 22:35:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xc9d21e…
05-18 22:33:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0xf74c88…
05-18 22:31:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0xac81c5…
05-18 22:31:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x4f68b9…
05-18 22:30:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x3c23f0…
05-18 22:28:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x048c3c…
05-18 22:28:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0xa091a8…
05-18 22:28:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0x33f7d2…
05-18 22:28:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x224004…
05-18 22:28:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x960ebf…
05-18 22:27:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xe47206…
05-18 22:27:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0xb00727…
05-18 22:26:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x735eaa…
05-18 22:24:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0x9a3dca…
05-18 22:23:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	76	95¢	$72	0xc6679a…
05-18 22:23:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0x52450c…
05-18 22:22:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x2cde7f…
05-18 22:21:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0x55e8f7…
05-18 22:17:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x341abe…
05-18 22:15:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	85	95¢	$81	0xc250f5…
05-18 22:15:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x8937b8…
05-18 22:15:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0x6089e5…
05-18 22:14:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x3e6c67…
05-18 22:09:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x39c43a…
05-18 22:07:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xe6511f…
05-18 22:07:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0xa01ef2…
05-18 22:06:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x9099a8…
05-18 22:05:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x98f6f0…
05-18 22:04:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x4795cb…
05-18 22:02:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0x057309…
05-18 22:01:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0xde2ccd…
05-18 22:01:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x2b47aa…
05-17 21:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6bdd4e…
05-17 21:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x9d731d…
05-17 21:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	284	51¢	$145	0xfb43db…
05-17 21:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	98	50¢	$49	0x3c9fe4…
05-14 08:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xe27863…
05-14 08:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xdb4a83…
05-14 08:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xd1e602…
05-14 08:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xbfd430…
05-14 08:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x68a95d…
05-14 08:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2efa51…
05-14 08:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x1ad616…
05-10 21:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x1aadec…
05-10 21:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xd6e327…
05-10 21:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2bd417…
05-10 21:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x24589b…
05-10 21:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xf76125…
05-10 21:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x61de41…
05-10 21:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x1690cd…
05-10 21:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x15fa6a…
05-10 21:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xf8801a…
05-10 21:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa9919e…
05-10 21:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xf04ce5…
05-10 21:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	50¢	$28	0xe44bed…
05-10 21:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x9d73f5…
05-10 21:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xd5faa8…
05-10 21:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	339	50¢	$170	0x4de313…
05-10 21:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbc8acc…
05-10 21:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	51¢	$24	0xd78cbe…
05-10 21:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0xddaa4a…
05-10 21:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	98	50¢	$49	0xe0f734…
05-10 21:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb944f0…
05-10 06:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd777dc…
05-10 06:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0xb44289…
05-10 06:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xac5e0d…
05-10 06:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9a4c34…
05-10 06:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x973a3d…
05-10 06:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x4c8c1e…