Insidious-Freighter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$90

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,821

lifetime

Volume

$37.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$209

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 07-21 01:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

78% — —

Other

17% — —

Politics

5% 0% $-90

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	+200	$132	66¢	$133	+$1	07-14 14:04
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+200	$67	34¢	$67	+$0	07-16 07:53
Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	+20	$12	44¢	$9	$-3	07-16 21:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	30	$875	1,755	0	+1,755	open	—	07-15 09:16
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	85	$715	1,429	0	+1,429	open	—	07-20 14:16
msft up or down on july 13 2026	18	$708	1,422	0	+1,422	open	—	07-13 14:28
spy up or down on july 13 2026	26	$630	1,254	0	+1,254	open	—	07-13 13:41
aapl up or down on july 13 2026	17	$463	928	0	+928	open	—	07-13 16:53
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	21	$418	833	0	+833	open	—	07-18 18:10
spy up or down on july 14 2026	13	$307	616	0	+616	open	—	07-14 00:32
spx up or down on july 13 2026	12	$306	616	0	+616	open	—	07-13 14:42
spx up or down on july 14 2026	13	$294	587	0	+587	open	—	07-14 00:29
spy up or down on july 6 2026	14	$278	627	0	+627	open	—	07-06 01:44
btc updown 5m 1775982000	9	$256	137	122	+15	open	—	04-12 08:24
aapl up or down on july 2 2026	5	$253	503	0	+503	open	—	07-02 11:00
btc updown 15m 1775958300	11	$252	179	118	+61	open	—	04-12 01:59
btc updown 5m 1775963700	9	$243	135	112	+23	open	—	04-12 03:19
btc updown 5m 1775961600	10	$233	120	120	+0	open	—	04-12 02:44
aapl up or down on july 7 2026	4	$211	430	0	+430	open	—	07-07 13:34
btc updown 5m 1775124600	1	$210	210	0	+210	open	—	04-02 10:14
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	7	$199	400	0	+400	open	—	07-16 07:53
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	6	$198	399	0	+399	open	—	07-15 04:53
btc updown 5m 1775967300	7	$195	127	84	+43	open	—	04-12 04:19
msft up or down on july 7 2026	6	$192	533	0	+533	open	—	07-07 13:43
btc updown 5m 1775964300	5	$181	127	56	+71	open	—	04-12 03:29
eth updown 5m 1775050200	35	$180	346	0	+346	open	—	04-01 13:30
aapl up or down on july 8 2026	6	$168	343	0	+343	open	—	07-08 02:36
spx up or down on july 8 2026	4	$154	313	0	+313	open	—	07-07 23:45
btc updown 5m 1776000900	5	$152	154	0	+154	open	—	04-12 13:39
spx up or down on july 1 2026	9	$152	431	0	+431	open	—	07-01 17:01
btc updown 5m 1775999700	5	$150	151	0	+151	open	—	04-12 13:19
btc updown 5m 1775998800	4	$147	149	0	+149	open	—	04-12 13:04
btc updown 5m 1775960400	3	$146	149	0	+149	open	—	04-12 02:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 01:49:09	will yordan alvarez hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914311	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4f8d1e…
07-21 01:48:54	will yordan alvarez hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914311	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xb07287…
07-20 14:16:52	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x23b823…
07-20 14:10:19	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x206b48…
07-20 14:10:00	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe16a21…
07-20 14:02:09	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x4134a2…
07-20 13:38:36	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfb03b1…
07-20 12:53:54	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x91949b…
07-20 12:36:28	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	60	44¢	$26	0x391f7c…
07-20 12:21:37	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	60	56¢	$34	0x1cf211…
07-20 12:08:19	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x89d3da…
07-20 11:34:42	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd976cb…
07-20 11:28:57	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0x12e67d…
07-20 11:20:33	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x481b61…
07-20 11:19:49	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5524e2…
07-20 11:02:19	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6c9020…
07-20 10:57:37	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x0a273b…
07-20 10:56:10	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0xd7e0db…
07-20 10:25:40	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xebdcc9…
07-20 10:20:07	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x463522…
07-20 10:10:48	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0xd8c54f…
07-20 02:34:34	will yordan alvarez hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914311	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x2c10fb…
07-20 02:31:57	will yordan alvarez hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914311	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xaa48d3…
07-18 18:10:48	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	31	83¢	$25	0xe0150b…
07-18 18:10:46	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	28	83¢	$24	0x1c8752…
07-18 09:21:25	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x1dc147…
07-17 19:33:21	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0xf0e775…
07-17 18:57:09	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	60	59¢	$35	0xe83b97…
07-17 18:11:51	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	23	59¢	$14	0x2dae39…
07-17 18:11:03	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0x658ff9…
07-17 17:34:40	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	37	59¢	$22	0x33924a…
07-17 17:26:04	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x583108…
07-17 10:44:40	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x06d3ab…
07-17 10:32:01	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xee20f1…
07-17 10:12:37	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x5aef46…
07-17 04:34:12	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x1f6f51…
07-17 03:40:22	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf28b18…
07-17 03:40:21	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x55930e…
07-17 03:00:57	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x25dadd…
07-17 01:58:27	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xa43db8…
07-17 01:56:12	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x057594…
07-17 01:56:04	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe974ec…
07-17 01:48:25	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x78ca27…
07-17 01:48:10	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x1b6ec9…
07-17 01:42:15	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x7f8c3d…
07-17 01:41:48	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xe71506…
07-17 01:39:33	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x989ef2…
07-17 01:39:03	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0bb79f…
07-17 01:38:21	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x01eefc…
07-17 01:35:36	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0xe004e2…
07-17 01:34:59	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xc271d1…
07-17 01:31:41	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xab2ed0…
07-17 01:25:39	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x110a08…
07-17 01:23:58	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x015d2f…
07-17 00:22:38	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe56207…
07-17 00:19:53	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3a7dcb…
07-17 00:19:44	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	14	53¢	$8	0x2445f5…
07-16 23:43:59	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x7d516e…
07-16 23:17:25	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xc3b195…
07-16 23:16:26	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x33e48e…
07-16 21:53:47	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xdab63c…
07-16 21:52:23	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xc54b47…
07-16 21:48:22	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x0b1dd8…
07-16 21:45:46	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x90ee54…
07-16 21:41:50	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x99a4d3…
07-16 21:38:16	Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x6def55…
07-16 17:03:47	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xdbfd6a…
07-16 15:48:11	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0x00887a…
07-16 15:16:31	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xb944f7…
07-16 14:54:07	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6175a1…
07-16 14:54:02	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0xe3b2c5…
07-16 14:52:29	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5b7ef1…
07-16 14:52:19	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x717271…
07-16 14:40:31	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0xc71678…
07-16 14:37:46	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdafc47…
07-16 14:36:59	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xc9909b…
07-16 14:34:10	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x4e1656…
07-16 14:12:07	will marvel studios announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131272	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x816618…
07-16 13:38:38	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x24e6fe…
07-16 12:59:31	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x60f689…
07-16 12:31:20	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x2b2b1e…
07-16 12:11:26	will yordan alvarez hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914311	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x30e722…
07-16 12:10:11	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x47193c…
07-16 11:56:55	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xc27095…
07-16 10:51:32	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x5a4fc6…
07-16 10:50:20	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x97f823…
07-16 08:03:38	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xa1c9fc…
07-16 08:02:28	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x246a09…
07-16 07:53:07	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x18e925…
07-16 07:45:20	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdf7d4c…
07-16 07:44:34	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x52d6f2…
07-16 07:44:14	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	35¢	$25	0x36704c…
07-16 07:43:43	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	14	46¢	$7	0xbc42da…
07-16 07:42:07	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x86dff7…
07-16 02:15:20	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0xafa9e8…
07-16 01:04:07	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x552630…
07-16 01:01:22	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x375b0a…
07-15 13:58:01	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x70092d…
07-15 13:57:11	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	80	53¢	$42	0x32312c…
07-15 09:17:32	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x7a1608…