Chubby-Hike — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved (90d)

125

Trades (90d)

541

2,033 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$4.40K

$34.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 11-03 05:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 70% +$603

Other

26% 88% +$429

Sports

5% 67% +$125

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 297 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 01:45 UTC	24	$905	742	300	+442	Up	+$65	01-13 01:57
nba bos ind 2026 01 12	7	$793	500	500	+0	Pacers	+$95	01-13 02:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 06:15 UTC	28	$728	400	400	+0	Down	+$40	02-16 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 18:15 UTC	8	$480	500	0	+500	Up	+$20	02-07 18:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 07:30 UTC	29	$446	500	300	+200	Down	-$180	02-16 07:40
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	4	$444	500	0	+500	No	+$55	02-20 11:44
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 140 164	2	$418	450	0	+450	No	+$32	02-09 15:04
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	6	$415	232	232	+0	Yes	+$32	03-10 15:56
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	3	$406	259	259	+0	Knicks	+$112	06-06 03:31
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	14	$398	191	240	-49	No	+$28	02-06 05:54
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 65 89	2	$396	200	200	+0	No	+$4	03-10 18:19
lol al lgd 2026 06 05 game1	16	$376	200	200	+0	Anyone's Legend	+$24	06-05 10:25
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	2	$343	200	200	+0	ThunderTalk Gaming	+$56	05-23 13:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 06:45 UTC	14	$322	400	0	+400	Down	+$78	02-16 06:57
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	4	$309	160	160	+0	No	+$9	02-03 14:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 06:45 UTC	5	$294	300	0	+300	Down	+$6	02-07 06:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 08:00 UTC	14	$294	300	300	+0	Down	-$204	02-16 08:14
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$291	150	150	+0	Yes	+$9	05-22 15:53
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	2	$289	155	155	+0	No	+$21	03-06 14:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 01:30 UTC	8	$282	300	0	+300	Down	+$18	01-13 01:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 06:30 UTC	12	$275	303	0	+303	Up	+$27	02-16 06:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 03:00 UTC	9	$274	400	0	+400	Up	+$126	01-13 03:03
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 165 189	2	$271	140	140	+0	No	+$8	01-31 15:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 06:00 UTC	3	$267	300	0	+300	Down	+$33	02-16 06:14
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	3	$266	151	151	+0	No	+$2	03-06 08:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 07:00 UTC	4	$262	300	0	+300	Up	+$38	02-16 07:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 05:15 UTC	5	$260	300	0	+300	Down	+$40	02-16 05:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 05:45 UTC	16	$257	264	0	+264	Up	+$8	02-16 05:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 12:00 UTC	19	$253	300	0	+300	Up	+$47	02-07 12:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 07:15 UTC	11	$249	400	0	+400	Down	+$151	02-06 07:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 05:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xfaba76…
11-03 05:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x1efe76…
11-03 04:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x5d4db0…
10-25 10:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x0bf03e…
10-25 10:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x22f370…
10-22 05:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x0fc369…
10-22 05:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xaa4ff2…
10-22 05:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x5d687b…
10-22 05:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x472f76…
10-20 13:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xe9f39a…
10-20 13:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xfe2e0f…
10-20 11:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x8061c4…
10-20 11:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x20ac66…
10-20 10:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xb5fa29…
10-20 10:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x636a17…
10-20 10:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x4111dd…
10-20 10:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xff6caa…
10-20 10:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd81c7d…
10-20 10:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x37e719…
10-20 06:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x62652d…
10-20 06:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5d78b3…
10-20 06:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x3a74e8…
10-20 06:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xd14d78…
10-19 11:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x952f11…
10-18 13:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2f3ec6…
10-18 13:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x84fa57…
10-18 10:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xe4ec31…
10-18 10:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x715b44…
10-18 10:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xbd770b…
10-18 10:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xfcd873…
10-18 06:47:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x1bc1f6…
10-18 06:47:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xb97a3c…
10-16 10:47:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xc3763c…
10-16 10:47:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x19acf1…
10-15 15:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xfc1c9d…
10-15 15:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x26745b…
10-15 15:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x4d515e…
10-15 15:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7f25d9…
10-15 15:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x634f02…
10-15 15:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xf5455f…
10-15 14:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xac6442…
10-15 14:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xd56d3f…
10-15 14:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xc46f92…
10-15 14:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x469ada…
10-15 14:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x437111…
10-15 14:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x8c4da8…
10-15 14:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xd441f6…
10-15 14:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x4b1409…
10-13 04:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x53fd98…
10-13 04:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe6a0fa…
10-13 04:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb10931…
10-13 04:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xf11d36…
10-13 04:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xcaa543…
10-13 04:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x56da74…
10-11 11:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x466d36…
10-11 11:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xf0effd…
10-10 06:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xfd0cf1…
10-10 06:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xd96f24…
10-10 06:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7b1fd1…
10-10 06:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x5159bd…
10-09 09:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x376b61…
10-09 09:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x651837…
10-09 00:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x79b3c7…
10-08 12:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x29d562…
10-08 12:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xbad8e0…
10-08 12:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x4c2f96…
10-08 12:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x612d03…
10-08 12:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x2e0431…
10-08 09:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x6f182c…
10-08 09:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x70b849…
10-08 09:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xd0b0e1…
10-08 09:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x67bfcc…
10-08 09:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x30c188…
10-08 09:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xf2ab84…
10-08 09:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xc2749a…
10-08 09:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x1767b6…
10-08 09:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xdd5ee8…
10-08 09:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x974279…
10-08 09:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x51e675…
10-08 09:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x231c8b…
10-08 09:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x05f0c6…
10-08 09:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x6d92fe…
10-08 09:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x622b52…
10-08 09:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x04c3ae…
10-08 09:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x9f0042…
10-08 02:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x0568c1…
10-08 02:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x39a8e3…
10-08 01:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x419aa5…
10-08 01:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x01a60d…
10-08 01:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xcdf6b1…
10-08 01:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xb9a140…
10-06 00:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x64f116…
10-06 00:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x2c79c1…
10-05 06:10:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x6a8f35…
10-05 06:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xaf48d0…
10-05 06:10:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x0f6903…
10-05 06:09:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x599a83…
10-05 06:08:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x8a0f5d…
10-05 06:08:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x555ac7…
10-05 06:08:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x245d24…