Realized P&L
-$6.98K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved
669
Trades
17,881
lifetime
Volume
$962.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$54
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 03-18 08:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Crypto
37%
40%
-$6,517
Politics
34%
56%
+$4,477
Other
24%
46%
-$4,175
Sports
5%
56%
-$761
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-18).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 185 | $38.5K | 26,495 | 26,023 | +472 | No | +$457 | 01-30 03:34 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 212 | $29.8K | 29,102 | 28,977 | +125 | Yes | -$60 | 02-03 20:39 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 82 | $29.8K | 29,577 | 25,021 | +4,556 | Yes | +$80 | 02-28 07:30 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 113 | $22.7K | 21,509 | 21,309 | +200 | Yes | +$1,041 | 03-01 14:32 |
| us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511 | 70 | $19.7K | 14,316 | 15,478 | -1,162 | No | +$462 | 01-27 03:19 |
| spx opens up or down on january 28 2026 | 246 | $18.6K | 21,111 | 14,600 | +6,511 | Up | -$556 | 01-28 14:12 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 152 | $17.6K | 16,422 | 14,779 | +1,643 | Yes | +$419 | 02-05 09:04 |
| spx opens up or down on january 27 2026 | 150 | $17.6K | 13,893 | 12,460 | +1,434 | Up | +$224 | 01-27 14:10 |
| spx opens up or down on february 2 2026 | 117 | $16.1K | 15,409 | 13,712 | +1,697 | Down | -$89 | 02-02 14:48 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | 206 | $16.0K | 15,434 | 14,759 | +675 | No | +$1,037 | 01-28 21:47 |
| us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913 | 161 | $12.6K | 16,876 | 16,910 | -34 | No | +$429 | 01-15 02:45 |
| us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498 | 120 | $12.4K | 10,982 | 11,398 | -415 | No | +$611 | 01-16 08:41 |
| us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294 | 57 | $11.9K | 5,951 | 6,781 | -830 | No | +$287 | 02-05 00:56 |
| bitcoin above 90k on january 2 | 213 | $11.3K | 13,033 | 12,609 | +424 | Yes | +$270 | 01-02 16:59 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 15 | $11.1K | 5,032 | 6,300 | -1,268 | No | +$25 | 01-31 17:22 |
| bitcoin above 88k on january 27 | 234 | $10.6K | 10,514 | 8,724 | +1,790 | Yes | -$672 | 01-27 16:52 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 47 | $9.9K | 8,585 | 8,785 | -200 | Yes | +$1,065 | 03-02 02:37 |
| another us government shutdown by february 14 | 61 | $9.5K | 9,538 | 9,117 | +421 | No | -$965 | 02-15 01:36 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | 86 | $9.5K | 7,635 | 8,325 | -690 | No | +$1,002 | 01-31 17:21 |
| us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931 | 30 | $9.1K | 5,122 | 5,922 | -800 | No | +$455 | 02-06 23:18 |
| spx opens up or down on february 5 2026 | 124 | $8.9K | 10,463 | 7,071 | +3,392 | Down | +$686 | 02-05 13:48 |
| bitcoin above 70k on february 9 | 225 | $8.7K | 8,869 | 7,118 | +1,750 | Yes | -$841 | 02-09 16:58 |
| us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612 | 83 | $8.3K | 10,725 | 8,925 | +1,801 | No | -$389 | 01-15 21:08 |
| spx opens up or down on february 4 2026 | 178 | $8.0K | 11,521 | 8,203 | +3,318 | Up | -$1,992 | 02-04 14:37 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 89 | $7.5K | 11,128 | 9,807 | +1,321 | Yes | -$90 | 02-27 20:56 |
| cfb miss ga 2026 01 01 | 88 | $7.0K | 7,880 | 3,371 | +4,509 | Ole Miss | +$780 | 01-02 04:45 |
| us x iran meeting by february 6 2026 | 35 | $6.9K | 4,697 | 4,897 | -200 | Yes | +$258 | 02-06 23:08 |
| will the government shutdown last 5 days or more | 67 | $6.9K | 7,838 | 3,322 | +4,515 | No | +$656 | 02-03 21:22 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | 29 | $6.9K | 3,271 | 4,271 | -1,000 | No | +$268 | 02-20 16:08 |
| spx opens up or down on february 6 2026 | 123 | $6.8K | 8,745 | 7,856 | +889 | Up | +$533 | 02-06 14:17 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||