Intelligent-Pasta — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$265

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

377

Trades

3,034

lifetime

Volume

$3.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$37

13 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 11-03 04:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Other

79% 48% +$277

Sports

16% 24% -$2

Politics

5% 27% -$13

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	+36	$6	18¢	$6	$0	11-01 02:46
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+17	$5	26¢	$4	-$1	11-02 14:14
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?	Yes	+35	$5	12¢	$4	-$1	11-02 20:05
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	+16	$4	24¢	$4	+$0	10-29 13:43
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+12	$3	29¢	$4	+$0	11-02 06:20
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+17	$4	20¢	$3	-$1	11-02 05:03
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	+8	$3	24¢	$2	-$1	11-01 06:05
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	+17	$2	12¢	$2	$0	10-26 17:18
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?	Yes	+7	$2	28¢	$2	$0	10-27 16:10
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	+7	$3	26¢	$2	-$1	10-26 14:11
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+5	$2	29¢	$1	$0	10-28 15:26
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	+12	$2	12¢	$1	-$1	10-26 12:30
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	+13	$1	6¢	$1	$0	10-30 12:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in seoul on april 4 2026 16c	7	$118	271	70	+201	No	+$22	04-04 03:53
highest temperature in seoul on april 4 2026 15c	3	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-04 02:03
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	75	$80	2,154	1,299	+854	No	+$13	03-16 09:34
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	34	$75	5,219	4,639	+580	No	-$1	03-18 20:26
highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 21c	21	$68	87	93	-6	Yes	+$47	04-01 07:47
will gas hit high 4pt00 by march 31	30	$59	1,058	40	+1,018	Yes	-$27	03-31 10:05
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	45	$57	860	860	+0	No	+$15	07-11 22:31
highest temperature in seoul on april 3 2026 16c	9	$54	29	29	+0	No	+$3	04-03 04:28
highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 11c	11	$51	40	40	+0	No	+$11	04-06 06:41
will crude oil cl settle at 65 70 in march 453	59	$45	2,204	2,290	-86	No	+$0	03-28 02:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?	4	$43	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	07-26 06:13
will crude oil cl settle at 60 in march	187	$41	3,169	2,716	+453	No	+$21	03-29 03:14
highest temperature in busan on april 5 2026 16c	7	$40	42	42	+0	Yes	-$34	04-05 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 2?	6	$39	29	29	+0	Yes	-$2	05-02 09:19
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 17?	3	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	07-17 02:39
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	20	$36	110	110	+0	Yes	+$10	07-13 13:43
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	9	$35	25	30	-5	Yes	+$18	04-02 05:57
will crude oil cl settle at 80 85 in march	23	$35	290	345	-55	No	+$17	03-29 22:23
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 18?	30	$34	349	349	+0	Yes	+$16	07-18 10:32
will crude oil cl settle at 60 65 in march 449	174	$34	4,129	2,072	+2,057	No	-$1	03-30 01:44
lowest temperature in seoul on april 15 2026 10c	3	$34	20	20	+0	Yes	+$5	04-14 22:30
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 11c	4	$33	19	19	+0	No	+$5	04-05 06:31
highest temperature in madrid on april 21 2026 26c	6	$32	33	35	-2	Yes	+$29	04-21 15:39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 24?	4	$30	16	16	+0	Yes	+$2	10-24 07:20
highest temperature in tokyo on april 9 2026 19c	35	$29	378	363	+15	Yes	-$20	04-09 07:47
highest temperature in busan on april 6 2026 17c	4	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$2	04-06 04:09
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 19?	6	$28	18	18	+0	No	+$0	10-19 06:09
highest temperature in seoul on april 8 2026 12c	7	$27	20	20	+0	No	+$11	04-08 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 17?	9	$26	29	29	+0	No	+$5	10-17 06:05
will crude oil cl settle at 70 75 in march 528	65	$26	676	667	+9	No	+$5	03-30 00:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 04:42:25	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xca61ab…
11-03 03:38:09	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xaa74ea…
11-03 03:38:09	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x598819…
11-03 03:38:09	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x5395fe…
11-03 03:38:09	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1e7105…
11-03 03:38:09	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0c8a5b…
11-03 03:27:51	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x11208d…
11-03 03:06:54	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x6f0dff…
11-03 02:48:25	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x49cb32…
11-03 02:47:28	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x230828…
11-03 02:13:04	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe690da…
11-03 00:41:18	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x8718bf…
11-03 00:41:18	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x438199…
11-02 20:35:31	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x3e57ec…
11-02 20:05:40	Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x08dd10…
11-02 14:14:24	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe46420…
11-02 06:20:58	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc50c5c…
11-02 06:03:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x863c1c…
11-02 06:01:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6878fa…
11-02 05:03:10	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcd9978…
11-02 03:16:51	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa8cd46…
11-02 02:40:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x424f67…
11-02 01:16:10	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xc01e47…
11-02 01:10:04	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x7f0c69…
11-02 00:06:43	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xae9fb3…
11-01 23:23:10	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xea7491…
11-01 23:20:16	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x13ef92…
11-01 23:19:58	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x64dd21…
11-01 21:55:09	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x98505d…
11-01 16:13:21	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x0f6750…
11-01 16:01:37	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x70f09b…
11-01 16:01:37	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2475ed…
11-01 14:41:52	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0x3983b6…
11-01 14:37:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xd559be…
11-01 12:23:43	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x610850…
11-01 06:30:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x928766…
11-01 06:29:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa356b7…
11-01 06:29:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x39b765…
11-01 06:05:30	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x922e76…
11-01 06:04:54	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xd43aab…
11-01 04:16:33	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeba899…
11-01 04:16:31	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x34184f…
11-01 02:49:13	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xacfd0a…
11-01 02:46:46	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2324a4…
11-01 02:44:19	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x116ce1…
11-01 02:42:07	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	57	1¢	$0	0x7a99fb…
11-01 02:41:18	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x89c8af…
11-01 02:39:18	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x0628ec…
11-01 02:31:01	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x65e6a2…
11-01 01:30:51	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x6672f6…
11-01 00:18:34	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 15%-25%?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x0c0266…
10-31 19:50:25	Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0e2b43…
10-31 18:28:39	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x6b90bb…
10-31 17:51:54	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1ab01d…
10-31 17:51:52	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc4069a…
10-31 09:17:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 15%-25%?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xb0b823…
10-31 09:11:37	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 15%-25%?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0xcc5350…
10-31 04:32:10	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xe14814…
10-31 04:27:22	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf4e34c…
10-31 04:27:21	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7a62fc…
10-31 04:27:19	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa16022…
10-31 04:27:19	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x6f67c7…
10-31 04:27:19	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5b48d0…
10-31 04:27:19	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x15f7b1…
10-31 02:35:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x236508…
10-31 01:15:25	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6c750f…
10-31 01:14:28	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4fd654…
10-30 23:02:12	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x48711b…
10-30 14:36:33	Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x446560…
10-30 13:23:34	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xaed283…
10-30 13:21:46	Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xd6daac…
10-30 13:11:03	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x373888…
10-30 12:29:45	Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xe2047c…
10-30 12:01:54	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x006bbf…
10-29 16:11:49	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x196d3f…
10-29 13:43:59	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2ab3c5…
10-29 13:35:34	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xeff59c…
10-29 13:29:14	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$1	0x4128c3…
10-29 13:23:38	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x85dc44…
10-29 13:23:38	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x2e049c…
10-29 02:40:08	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xdcb41a…
10-28 19:33:47	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xab9d49…
10-28 18:08:31	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x18ea2f…
10-28 18:07:59	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xfdbb30…
10-28 18:07:59	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcdd2ee…
10-28 18:07:13	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xa41b45…
10-28 18:07:13	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x6ae263…
10-28 18:07:13	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x5f1171…
10-28 16:35:29	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xfe4422…
10-28 16:35:29	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0xe0806b…
10-28 16:35:29	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x584e0f…
10-28 15:26:35	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0ff2dd…
10-28 14:58:56	Will the Republican Party win the NH-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xbaa7e5…
10-28 14:55:02	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2f82c8…
10-28 14:13:58	Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0xd75c24…
10-28 12:10:44	Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xb90b7a…
10-28 09:13:41	Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x9e34d1…
10-28 06:25:02	Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x99540a…
10-28 05:00:46	Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x72f7ff…
10-28 02:57:38	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8e0534…