Our-Tritone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$153

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 10-25 19:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 100% +$29

Other

12% 69% +$117

Tech

11% 100% +$6

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	2	$728	369	369	+0	Yes	+$2	06-11 18:28
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 19-25?	1	$487	487	0	+487	No	+$0	10-25 19:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7?	1	$486	486	0	+486	No	+$0	10-06 20:18
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 28-October 4?	1	$484	484	0	+484	No	+$0	10-03 14:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6?	1	$484	486	0	+486	Yes	+$2	10-06 10:45
will ethereum dip to 1900 in september 2026	1	$483	483	0	+483	No	+$0	09-30 15:25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 9?	1	$482	482	0	+482	Yes	+$0	09-09 15:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 14-20?	1	$482	482	0	+482	No	+$0	09-19 01:20
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 August 31-September 6?	1	$481	482	0	+482	No	+$1	09-05 03:13
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 3?	1	$481	481	0	+481	No	+$0	09-04 00:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 1?	1	$480	480	0	+480	Yes	+$0	09-01 14:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 3?	1	$480	480	0	+480	No	+$0	09-02 20:13
will ethereum dip to 1500 august 10 16 2026	1	$478	478	0	+478	No	+$0	08-14 11:05
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$478	479	0	+479	No	+$1	08-24 14:41
will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	1	$477	477	0	+477	No	+$0	07-04 14:08
will ethereum dip to 1300 june 15 21 2026	1	$468	468	0	+468	No	+$0	06-19 18:05
bitcoin above 72k on march 16	1	$367	368	0	+368	Yes	+$1	03-16 15:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	1	$363	363	0	+363	No	+$0	06-01 14:56
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	1	$329	330	0	+330	No	+$0	05-24 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	1	$329	329	0	+329	Up	+$0	05-20 15:32
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$329	329	0	+329	No	+$0	05-26 12:24
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 21-27?	1	$274	274	0	+274	No	+$0	09-26 10:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$254	254	0	+254	No	+$0	05-14 19:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	2	$253	254	0	+254	Yes	+$1	05-09 17:36
bitcoin above 62k on february 25	1	$244	244	0	+244	Yes	+$0	02-25 14:33
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 21-27?	1	$209	209	0	+209	No	+$0	09-26 10:24
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$110	111	0	+111	Yes	+$1	02-24 09:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 04:10 UTC	1	$101	104	0	+104	Down	+$3	02-21 04:14
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 btts	1	$63	100	0	+100	No	+$37	06-11 18:43
Mexico leading at halftime?	1	$55	100	0	+100	Yes	-$55	06-11 18:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 19:49:18	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 19-25?	No	BUY	487	100¢	$487	0x54a8dc…
10-06 20:18:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	486	100¢	$486	0x753336…
10-06 10:45:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	486	100¢	$484	0x05c493…
10-03 14:49:33	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	484	100¢	$484	0x6479d7…
09-30 15:25:53	will ethereum dip to 1900 in september 2026	No	BUY	483	100¢	$483	0xa1a582…
09-26 10:25:21	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 21-27?	No	BUY	274	100¢	$274	0x51c4db…
09-26 10:24:35	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 21-27?	No	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0x9ca8a5…
09-19 01:20:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	482	100¢	$482	0xfe62a8…
09-09 15:50:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	482	100¢	$482	0xce86e5…
09-05 03:13:12	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	482	100¢	$481	0x6b071e…
09-04 00:22:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 3?	No	BUY	481	100¢	$481	0x34cd6b…
09-02 20:13:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	480	100¢	$480	0xa8f9f0…
09-01 14:06:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	480	100¢	$480	0xa77223…
08-24 14:41:57	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	479	100¢	$478	0xf6d812…
08-14 11:05:16	will ethereum dip to 1500 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	478	100¢	$478	0xebe56f…
07-04 14:08:40	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	477	100¢	$477	0x29c6d1…
06-19 18:05:08	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	468	100¢	$468	0xcefb5c…
06-17 14:10:20	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	No	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x7919d3…
06-17 14:09:41	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xecff2a…
06-17 14:08:52	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0x87bed8…
06-17 14:08:19	England vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x42c881…
06-17 14:07:55	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	No	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x593a4f…
06-17 14:00:13	England leading at halftime?	No	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0xaa3d5c…
06-17 13:59:56	England vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x3d6191…
06-17 13:58:53	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0x25fba7…
06-17 13:55:14	Portugal vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0xbe71e9…
06-17 13:55:01	Portugal leading at halftime?	No	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x4cd09e…
06-17 13:54:40	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x14c885…
06-17 13:52:40	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	42	41¢	$17	0x42bbfe…
06-17 13:42:20	Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0xd50f28…
06-17 13:26:43	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	No	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0xa546f2…
06-17 13:25:58	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x375074…
06-17 13:25:32	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0xcd7199…
06-17 13:25:01	England vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x3dabb0…
06-17 13:24:41	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x841888…
06-17 13:23:35	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	No	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0xebfacc…
06-17 13:23:11	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x937a4c…
06-17 13:22:50	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc2d172…
06-17 13:22:07	Portugal leading at halftime?	No	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x24b43d…
06-16 14:17:05	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0x590879…
06-16 14:15:52	Argentina vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	42	61¢	$26	0x546b08…
06-16 14:13:25	Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	No	BUY	42	80¢	$34	0xf00932…
06-16 14:10:10	France vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x53ebd8…
06-16 14:09:37	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	No	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0xb7e35f…
06-16 14:04:43	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	42	41¢	$17	0xae23f0…
06-16 14:01:52	France leading at halftime?	No	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x446cd2…
06-16 13:58:44	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	22	34¢	$7	0x900079…
06-16 13:39:31	Iraq vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0xe35193…
06-16 13:34:13	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	No	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x19de7d…
06-16 13:31:47	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0x6db2c8…
06-16 13:27:55	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x40763f…
06-16 13:27:31	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0xdbbc2d…
06-16 13:22:40	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0xdfd8a9…
06-16 13:18:47	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf59ea7…
06-16 13:15:25	Austria vs. Jordan: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	21	64¢	$13	0x27e6a7…
06-16 13:14:01	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	22	29¢	$6	0xfa1787…
06-16 13:10:16	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0x791def…
06-16 13:07:43	Iraq vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x66f854…
06-16 13:05:28	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0xe8716e…
06-16 12:55:30	Norway leading at halftime?	No	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0x212c3f…
06-16 12:54:10	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x0b5d27…
06-16 12:50:12	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0xe25b2d…
06-16 12:47:48	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x46c775…
06-16 12:46:07	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Austria	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x908109…
06-16 12:44:09	Austria leading at halftime?	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xcc98e7…
06-16 12:42:10	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0xf07489…
06-11 18:43:58	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 btts	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xe2bfe7…
06-11 18:41:49	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xc01a8c…
06-11 18:38:34	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x42691f…
06-11 18:36:09	Mexico leading at halftime?	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x5a75f4…
06-11 18:32:58	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	No	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0xe08ae1…
06-11 18:28:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	369	99¢	$365	0x984b8d…
06-05 14:49:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	369	98¢	$363	0x299dc2…
06-01 14:56:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	363	100¢	$363	0x0a8925…
05-26 12:24:40	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	329	100¢	$329	0x3b1ccf…
05-24 14:40:52	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	330	100¢	$329	0x5479c9…
05-20 15:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	329	100¢	$329	0xc86e66…
05-14 19:47:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	254	100¢	$254	0x87b082…
05-09 17:36:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	189	100¢	$188	0xf0e2e1…
05-09 17:35:06	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd5a1d8…
05-09 17:34:57	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x18add0…
05-09 17:34:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xdabfa6…
05-09 17:32:41	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xea5e1e…
05-09 17:32:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0x1ea034…
05-09 17:31:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x107572…
05-09 17:30:50	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8208de…
05-09 17:30:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xad9a79…
05-09 17:30:14	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x03422f…
05-09 17:30:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x4dffc0…
03-16 15:15:43	bitcoin above 72k on march 16	Yes	BUY	368	100¢	$367	0xe4d128…
02-25 14:33:56	bitcoin above 62k on february 25	Yes	BUY	244	100¢	$244	0x86c74e…
02-25 14:30:36	will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x7e2845…
02-24 09:33:26	atp kasniko sing 2026 02 24	Kasnikowski	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x9b74e9…
02-24 09:24:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x432d6f…
02-24 09:23:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x022f39…
02-24 09:22:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf809ec…
02-24 09:22:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x625b95…
02-24 09:20:16	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x8580be…
02-24 09:19:32	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x64e6f7…
02-24 09:19:08	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x17bdb5…