Arid-Collectivisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

114

Trades

6,377

lifetime

Volume

$30.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 05-15 17:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 66% $-43

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 1102 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down april 19 2026 1pm et	44	$2.5K	1,803	1,398	+405	open	—	04-19 17:50
ethereum up or down april 19 2026 10am et	13	$2.3K	1,317	1,294	+23	open	—	04-19 15:00
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 2pm et	18	$1.2K	809	749	+60	open	—	04-19 19:00
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 8am et	8	$785	457	450	+7	open	—	04-19 12:45
ethereum up or down april 19 2026 2am et	18	$682	412	380	+32	open	—	04-19 06:53
ethereum up or down april 19 2026 8am et	4	$310	438	0	+438	open	—	04-19 12:50
ethereum up or down april 19 2026 2pm et	10	$299	229	200	+29	open	—	04-19 18:59
eth updown 5m 1776579000	8	$271	217	179	+38	open	—	04-19 06:12
bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 2pm et	8	$264	180	175	+5	open	—	04-18 18:40
ethereum up or down april 19 2026 9am et	3	$243	633	0	+633	open	—	04-19 13:11
btc updown 5m 1775505900	5	$234	140	122	+18	open	—	04-06 20:10
eth updown 5m 1776578400	2	$234	140	137	+3	open	—	04-19 06:04
btc updown 5m 1775505300	2	$205	118	117	+1	open	—	04-06 19:58
btc updown 15m 1775506500	3	$170	191	0	+191	open	—	04-06 20:27
eth updown 5m 1776621300	7	$133	91	88	+3	open	—	04-19 17:59
btc updown 5m 1775498700	6	$133	140	42	+97	open	—	04-06 18:09
ethereum up or down april 19 2026 3am et	7	$114	86	83	+3	open	—	04-19 07:20
btc updown 5m 1775485200	2	$109	61	60	+1	open	—	04-06 14:24
btc updown 15m 1775485800	7	$102	71	69	+2	open	—	04-06 14:44
eth updown 5m 1776585900	3	$102	69	67	+2	open	—	04-19 08:10
btc updown 5m 1775493900	7	$102	58	58	+1	open	—	04-06 16:48
btc updown 5m 1775496600	5	$87	57	45	+12	open	—	04-06 17:34
eth updown 5m 1776585600	8	$84	57	55	+2	open	—	04-19 08:04
btc updown 5m 1775484600	5	$73	63	31	+32	open	—	04-06 14:14
btc updown 15m 1775460600	4	$63	45	44	+1	open	—	04-06 07:41
btc updown 5m 1775482800	4	$62	41	40	+1	open	—	04-06 13:43
btc updown 5m 1775484900	2	$56	32	32	+1	open	—	04-06 14:19
sol updown 5m 1775710200	2	$55	61	0	+61	open	—	04-09 04:54
btc updown 5m 1775486700	3	$55	36	35	+1	open	—	04-06 14:47
btc updown 5m 1775459400	4	$54	32	31	+0	open	—	04-06 07:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 17:40:30	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x34edcc…
05-15 14:55:52	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1d8ef9…
05-15 14:55:38	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x1c87d8…
05-15 14:25:37	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x46ecf3…
05-15 14:25:26	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8a0ae2…
05-15 14:25:26	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x3e81d0…
05-15 13:56:41	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9a4ab7…
05-15 13:56:01	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc05f31…
05-15 10:25:54	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x068ad1…
05-15 10:25:40	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xebf817…
05-15 09:55:58	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x700ef5…
05-15 09:55:48	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x8d4e43…
05-15 07:43:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xce81b9…
05-15 07:40:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x6003e5…
05-15 06:10:53	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb5a673…
05-15 06:10:38	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xca6845…
05-15 05:55:57	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xcc72a2…
05-15 00:40:26	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x167de6…
05-14 13:11:01	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8d06a1…
05-14 13:10:33	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x1e2862…
05-14 09:12:05	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5814d6…
05-14 09:10:27	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb7a739…
05-14 08:26:40	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x14c252…
05-14 08:25:43	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x24db61…
05-14 06:11:13	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x57ee60…
05-14 06:10:52	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xf21b15…
05-14 04:41:02	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x7d47d1…
05-14 04:40:50	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa8c350…
05-14 01:41:00	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x909c5a…
05-14 01:40:47	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x739892…
05-14 01:25:34	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe4643f…
05-14 00:55:52	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x325c4c…
05-14 00:55:35	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xba3589…
05-13 21:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x2ebe10…
05-13 21:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x84b489…
05-13 15:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xae7c33…
05-13 08:11:45	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xba50ac…
05-13 08:10:56	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc3f14c…
05-13 05:55:54	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xa457bc…
05-13 05:55:27	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xaee215…
05-13 04:10:33	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x742fe1…
05-13 03:11:34	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x3df8fe…
05-13 03:10:26	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x760a14…
05-13 02:12:27	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc490e4…
05-13 02:10:26	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa63167…
05-12 17:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0x0c27f3…
05-12 17:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x9ce824…
05-12 12:56:26	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x44b8f3…
05-12 12:55:25	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x253208…
05-12 12:26:23	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x796b86…
05-12 12:25:57	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x25e58b…
05-12 11:27:23	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdbef27…
05-12 11:25:52	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbd1aa4…
05-12 11:25:50	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x70163a…
05-12 11:25:35	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x544f24…
05-12 08:28:39	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7fa162…
05-12 08:25:34	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd1cfb1…
05-12 03:10:51	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfcf80a…
05-12 03:10:48	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xeba86d…
05-11 20:25:38	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xfe1f1a…
05-11 19:11:07	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x968dfb…
05-11 19:10:30	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xa30a76…
05-11 19:10:30	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x9af558…
05-11 17:26:35	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7333b0…
05-11 17:25:55	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe676ac…
05-11 16:56:55	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4b77ac…
05-11 16:55:24	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc8dec8…
05-11 07:58:02	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xdbdd62…
05-11 07:55:39	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x6bb793…
05-11 06:26:05	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x16bdb0…
05-11 06:25:56	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xaf8f75…
05-11 05:41:08	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x95d529…
05-11 05:40:47	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x60173e…
05-11 03:40:35	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x7cd381…
05-11 03:40:35	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x0e17db…
05-11 03:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x05b9eb…
05-11 00:12:03	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2fce9e…
05-11 00:10:53	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd3ff80…
05-10 22:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	19	8¢	$1	0x541946…
05-10 22:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x894bbb…
05-10 21:40:42	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2491c3…
05-10 21:40:28	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x9c6a03…
05-10 20:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0x801f78…
05-10 20:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xb8ae7d…
05-10 20:10:43	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb8e9d9…
05-10 18:41:16	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd5095d…
05-10 18:41:00	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xca8a90…
05-10 18:41:00	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x0ef195…
05-10 15:56:44	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xde9ec8…
05-10 15:55:55	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x88b0eb…
05-10 14:56:01	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xcd9c0b…
05-10 11:11:41	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa08a56…
05-10 11:10:28	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x1f8965…
05-10 07:40:40	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7b50e1…
05-10 06:57:18	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc0211f…
05-10 06:56:01	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x3831d2…
05-10 06:32:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xe0e86b…
05-10 06:31:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xa3df87…
05-10 02:16:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x208ee3…
05-10 02:16:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x336eda…