Reliable-Councilor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.5%

Resolved

156

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$3.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-25 07:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 100% +$7

Other

35% 98% +$4

Politics

7% 88% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$64	64	0	+64	No	+$0	05-13 21:58
bitcoin above 82k on april 21	1	$57	57	0	+57	No	+$0	04-20 09:28
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$56	57	0	+57	No	+$0	05-19 01:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	2	$45	46	0	+46	No	+$0	04-25 10:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	2	$45	45	0	+45	Yes	+$0	05-23 03:47
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	04-27 10:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 4-10?	2	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	05-09 00:47
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	05-12 05:12
bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	2	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	07-12 07:49
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 28?	1	$38	39	0	+39	Yes	+$0	05-27 20:10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	04-19 13:34
Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	05-02 02:48
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 22c	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	04-23 22:39
will bitcoin reach 90k september 21 27 2026	1	$37	38	0	+38	No	+$0	09-27 18:38
bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	08-06 16:45
bitcoin above 68k on june 22 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	06-21 22:34
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$34	17	17	+0	No	$0	04-19 13:35
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	05-29 14:45
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-04 18:47
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	10-19 17:36
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 14-20?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	09-20 09:36
Will Union Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	05-29 09:27
will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$31	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	04-19 13:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	10-06 10:33
will solana reach 180 in february 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	02-15 23:23
will solana dip to 50 in january 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	01-12 07:19
bitcoin above 70k on april 24	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	04-23 17:55
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 08:42
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	08-25 06:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-28 01:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 07:06:00	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xdd8af5…
10-25 05:30:38	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 19-25?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xb612ca…
10-22 16:22:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2d9f6e…
10-22 14:59:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x10aad0…
10-19 17:36:18	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x771c85…
10-15 20:01:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xbf5df4…
10-12 20:20:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa914db…
10-11 11:44:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd3b218…
10-08 21:12:45	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x60f82f…
10-06 10:33:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xdc3d49…
10-05 09:54:56	Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x79b4f4…
10-01 22:49:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x5f7874…
10-01 13:31:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9a0750…
09-28 02:14:06	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xbad79b…
09-27 18:38:53	will bitcoin reach 90k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$37	0x583187…
09-22 04:08:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x14e1b4…
09-21 04:48:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3bee59…
09-20 09:36:43	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 14-20?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x7579e6…
09-17 16:45:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3e1670…
09-12 13:36:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1396dd…
09-07 12:42:36	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x8121f4…
09-06 07:39:18	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xce9e84…
09-03 20:59:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x77d616…
08-29 15:54:54	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd3440a…
08-28 11:19:51	Will Maxx Crosby play for Jacksonville Jaguars next?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x16a494…
08-26 00:03:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x15b4ec…
08-25 06:56:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x46c0b5…
08-20 13:59:46	bitcoin above 60k on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc72c90…
08-20 12:19:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb2e2f2…
08-16 23:31:34	bitcoin above 60k on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xabaae9…
08-13 23:09:55	bitcoin above 60k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x89e258…
08-13 13:39:30	bitcoin above 68k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa350e2…
08-11 15:48:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3430c7…
08-06 16:45:27	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xbca4c9…
07-28 01:05:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x75ad8e…
07-27 14:07:24	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x27f4eb…
07-23 22:43:15	bitcoin above 62k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0xbc27e0…
07-22 00:01:37	bitcoin above 60k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3d574a…
07-20 07:39:36	ethereum above 2000 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6be2e0…
07-17 00:52:07	bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc5bc75…
07-16 21:55:35	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x96a037…
07-13 20:07:46	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 13	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xda1202…
07-13 02:17:13	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e0e14…
07-12 07:49:19	bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc8cd1e…
07-11 08:06:04	bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x4b0122…
07-05 07:32:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe91b4a…
07-04 18:47:11	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x4c8ce2…
07-04 04:35:11	ethereum above 1900 on july 4 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xaaeb4f…
07-03 17:56:23	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 3	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf27495…
07-03 02:54:04	ethereum above 1600 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x96c985…
07-02 12:16:55	bitcoin above 68k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xe73d45…
07-02 08:09:52	ethereum above 1500 on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x1397ff…
07-01 14:03:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x575405…
06-30 21:26:46	ethereum above 1800 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x999c17…
06-29 14:14:56	Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9e92dc…
06-25 08:15:16	ethereum above 1800 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc69b0c…
06-25 04:51:28	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 26 20260622192122519	No	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x90935d…
06-23 01:14:38	ethereum above 1600 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xef4020…
06-22 12:19:20	bitcoin above 70k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1f3e0b…
06-21 22:34:44	bitcoin above 68k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x7cbff1…
06-20 22:41:17	bitcoin above 60k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3fb64a…
06-08 16:40:18	bitcoin above 70k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x173533…
06-07 03:22:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xffb2a4…
06-02 22:46:31	Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9b1697…
06-01 20:30:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2b3e7f…
06-01 18:35:54	Will Julie Stauch win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf73160…
06-01 03:30:04	Will Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x66b6ff…
05-31 03:25:23	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x747511…
05-30 15:45:14	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe9fef9…
05-29 16:22:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7ee14a…
05-29 14:45:00	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x232895…
05-29 09:27:24	Will Union Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x08c5c3…
05-28 22:02:39	Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x51bbd7…
05-28 10:14:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x646d7d…
05-27 20:10:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$38	0x2d2292…
05-27 18:13:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3a4c01…
05-27 08:25:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x145e57…
05-27 03:09:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x420da0…
05-26 05:25:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbec720…
05-25 20:56:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8be318…
05-25 12:02:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x24323b…
05-25 02:46:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf6f632…
05-24 20:38:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x53d036…
05-24 16:46:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf1dfc2…
05-24 11:47:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xdee74c…
05-24 01:02:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc1794e…
05-23 16:40:16	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb06565…
05-23 03:47:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8800e9…
05-22 02:25:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7b82b5…
05-21 21:54:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6578f6…
05-21 20:31:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x71183e…
05-21 04:53:38	Will "COWARD by Lukas DHONT" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc39a5a…
05-19 22:53:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x507ec0…
05-19 22:20:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3e3f98…
05-19 05:41:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x64142c…
05-19 01:20:55	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xa60afc…
05-18 09:13:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1ce88a…
05-18 07:39:52	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x94a4de…
05-17 10:57:13	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0b446f…
05-15 11:44:05	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x59dd93…