Ornate-Verb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.9%

Resolved

2,308

Trades

3,010

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 07-29 05:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 80% -$175

Other

35% 67% +$175

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 23?	7	$420	213	213	+0	Yes	+$5	05-23 11:04
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 22?	5	$121	118	118	+0	Yes	+$114	05-22 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 22?	2	$103	118	0	+118	No	-$103	05-22 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 22?	5	$86	100	0	+100	Yes	+$14	05-22 01:36
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 14?	2	$75	56	56	+0	Yes	+$36	05-14 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 15?	2	$75	57	57	+0	Yes	+$36	05-15 14:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:40 UTC	3	$74	80	33	+47	Down	+$2	04-07 13:44
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 25?	4	$68	39	39	+0	Yes	+$9	05-25 08:27
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 24?	2	$63	34	34	+0	Yes	+$4	05-24 22:21
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 20?	2	$63	34	34	+0	Yes	+$3	05-20 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 24?	5	$63	33	33	+0	Yes	+$3	05-25 00:48
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 24?	5	$62	33	33	+0	Yes	+$3	05-25 01:20
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on May 24?	4	$60	31	31	+0	Yes	+$1	05-24 13:14
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 24?	3	$55	62	0	+62	Yes	+$7	05-24 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 20?	2	$49	42	23	+19	Yes	+$8	05-20 07:07
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 21?	3	$48	34	34	+0	Yes	-$12	05-21 22:26
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 14?	2	$42	24	24	+0	Yes	+$3	05-14 05:12
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 14?	2	$42	23	23	+0	Yes	+$3	05-14 14:54
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 15?	2	$42	23	23	+0	Yes	+$3	05-15 14:58
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 14?	2	$42	23	22	+0	Yes	+$3	05-14 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 14?	2	$42	22	22	+0	Yes	+$2	05-14 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 15?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	05-15 22:33
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 26?	3	$38	52	52	+0	No	-$22	05-25 23:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 14:55 UTC	3	$36	40	0	+40	Up	+$4	02-25 14:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 15?	2	$35	20	20	+0	No	+$5	06-15 10:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 06:20 UTC	4	$35	30	29	+1	Up	+$16	04-08 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 25?	2	$30	58	58	+0	No	-$30	05-25 23:07
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 21?	1	$30	35	0	+35	Yes	+$5	05-21 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 20?	1	$30	34	0	+34	Yes	+$4	05-20 09:31
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 20?	1	$30	34	0	+34	Yes	+$4	05-20 19:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 05:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x617d30…
07-29 05:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x7029ba…
07-29 05:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x75d10d…
07-29 05:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xeec57a…
07-29 05:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x398a4b…
07-29 05:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x4bfe6e…
07-29 05:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xc0f002…
07-29 05:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x8c7f01…
07-29 05:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x9807a0…
07-29 04:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x0d911d…
07-29 04:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x881cef…
07-29 01:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x13cc88…
07-29 01:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xefa0a1…
07-29 01:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x710e33…
07-29 01:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xd6ec5f…
07-29 01:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x651f97…
07-29 01:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x3911de…
07-29 01:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x168047…
07-29 01:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x787737…
07-29 01:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x167b64…
07-29 01:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x13f1bb…
07-29 00:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x3bdfce…
07-29 00:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xd1b23b…
07-29 00:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x7fc160…
07-29 00:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xbba494…
07-29 00:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xdefca1…
07-29 00:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xe6dcf0…
07-29 00:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x979cb2…
07-29 00:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x48bace…
07-29 00:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x2c7271…
07-29 00:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x8da6cf…
07-28 23:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x664ed5…
07-28 23:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xc9f70d…
07-28 23:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x4c7f3e…
07-28 23:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x12d270…
07-28 23:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x0bacda…
07-28 23:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x82c8dc…
07-28 23:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x992eb0…
07-28 23:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x4698bf…
07-28 23:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x7c5646…
07-28 23:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x050081…
07-28 23:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xea5305…
07-28 23:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xd6ed68…
07-28 23:15:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x084cb8…
07-28 23:08:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x40045f…
07-28 23:03:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x1eca60…
07-28 22:59:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xac4f5b…
07-28 22:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xe1fa36…
07-28 22:48:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x996447…
07-28 22:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x62e371…
07-28 22:33:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xe91db9…
07-28 22:28:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x055552…
07-28 22:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x98b483…
07-28 22:20:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xee99b3…
07-28 22:14:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x31481c…
07-28 22:09:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xe5650e…
07-28 22:04:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xfba6a0…
07-28 21:59:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x1f9583…
07-28 21:54:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x593e59…
07-28 21:49:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x9eba33…
07-28 21:44:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x075364…
07-28 21:37:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xc3e239…
07-28 21:34:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x9abb39…
07-28 21:29:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x37c4e6…
07-28 21:24:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x5db6ac…
07-28 21:13:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x7e9cb2…
07-28 21:13:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x357aba…
07-28 21:13:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xdd59a3…
07-28 21:08:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x5ece50…
07-28 21:03:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x11f0a0…
07-28 20:59:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x8b5a7c…
07-28 20:54:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0xbd006f…
07-28 20:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xce65c1…
07-28 20:43:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x1aa7a6…
07-28 20:39:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x8cc92a…
07-28 20:29:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x6af248…
07-28 20:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x762603…
07-28 20:14:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xdfc8f3…
07-28 20:08:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x567329…
07-28 20:04:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x933b3e…
07-28 19:59:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x6f7c49…
07-28 19:53:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x15f641…
07-28 19:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x677364…
07-28 19:43:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xd6e0ff…
07-28 19:39:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x0b2944…
07-28 19:33:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x813ace…
07-28 19:29:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x3efb88…
07-28 19:23:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x536f4d…
07-28 19:18:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xf329ca…
07-28 19:14:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x03ac70…
07-28 19:08:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x49169d…
07-28 18:59:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xe8a776…
07-28 18:53:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x02eaf0…
07-28 18:49:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x31a84e…
07-28 18:43:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xdc9e1d…
07-28 18:39:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xf268cc…
07-28 18:34:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xa10f04…
07-28 18:29:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xd137cb…
07-28 18:23:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xb95a5c…
07-28 18:08:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x58320d…