Spectacular-Blackbird — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

78.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$114

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 16:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 80% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	+6	$4	99¢	$6	+$2	05-05 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	+7	$4	82¢	$5	+$1	05-05 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	+2	$2	100¢	$2	+$0	05-05 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	+3	$2	78¢	$2	+$0	05-05 16:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 16:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x27ced3…
05-05 16:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x70ba72…
05-05 16:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2c6d17…
05-05 15:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x777d3d…
05-05 15:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2cfcc7…
05-05 15:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf61be0…
05-05 15:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xfe9b46…
05-05 15:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xef7c4d…
05-05 15:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xfebd8d…
05-05 15:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x773629…
05-05 14:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x61a74d…
05-05 14:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x5f8648…
05-05 14:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x80b458…
05-05 14:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x25e4ad…
05-05 14:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xdb2041…
05-05 13:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9dd784…
05-05 12:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x7a125a…
05-05 12:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x38afb4…
05-05 12:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x6d60ac…
05-05 12:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x35b27a…
05-05 12:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xfba85f…
05-05 12:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xa6341e…
05-05 12:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xe0099e…
05-05 11:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd51a51…
05-05 11:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xda1143…
05-05 10:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xdc96e5…
05-05 10:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x50874d…
05-05 10:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x3116ea…
05-05 09:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x62b1b2…
05-05 09:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x9a3623…
05-05 08:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xea3ae4…
05-05 08:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x318317…
05-05 08:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xec6056…
05-05 07:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x7909bd…
05-05 07:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc74aac…
05-05 07:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x52cf6e…
05-05 07:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x47b5a6…
05-05 06:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x18c227…
05-05 06:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xd11c96…
05-05 05:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xbab2dc…
05-05 05:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x94665f…
05-05 05:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x53b300…
05-05 05:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xdb723a…
05-05 04:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xbd1ee8…
05-05 04:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x30e167…
05-05 04:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x448d0e…
05-05 04:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x16738a…
05-05 03:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xfa4509…
05-05 00:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xb3194e…
05-04 23:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xc91616…
05-04 23:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x7df3ca…
05-04 22:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x5462c2…
05-04 22:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xf0a36e…
05-04 22:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x3d07d5…
05-04 21:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xfae294…
05-04 20:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x6276f4…
05-04 20:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xcf0930…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	43	$953	245	05-05 16:29
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	41	$6.37K	313	05-05 16:29
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	38	$1.25K	118	05-05 16:29
Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68	35	$2.74K	159	05-05 16:24
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	35	$1.01K	179	05-05 16:27
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	33	$2.09K	129	05-05 16:27
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	32	$5.79K	241	05-05 16:29
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	30	$6.24K	149	05-05 16:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	3	$6	7	+7	open	—	05-05 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$6	8	+8	open	—	05-05 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$4	9	+9	Down	+$3	05-05 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$4	7	+7	open	—	05-05 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$4	7	+7	open	—	05-05 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$4	6	+6	Down	+$2	05-05 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$4	5	+5	Down	+$1	05-05 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$4	5	+5	Up	$-4	05-04 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-05 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-05 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-05 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-05 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-05 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-05 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Up	$-2	05-04 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-05 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-05 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-05 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-04 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-05 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-04 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-05 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Down	+$1	05-05 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-05 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	$-2	05-05 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-05 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Down	+$1	05-04 22:54