Better-Bulb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

140

Trades

251

lifetime

Volume

$384

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 10-16 23:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 30% -$28

Other

37% 35% -$6

Politics

1% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	4	$21	37	37	+0	No	-$3	05-21 03:35
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	3	$19	47	47	+0	Yes	+$15	05-14 21:29
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-21 06:43
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$11	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	05-21 15:25
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$10	143	143	+0	No	+$8	05-14 21:31
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-21 08:25
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$9	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-21 06:04
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 14?	2	$8	7	7	+0	Yes	+$6	05-14 16:01
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?	1	$8	14	0	+14	No	-$8	05-17 23:36
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1AM ET	3	$7	9	3	+6	Down	-$1	06-01 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$7	53	30	+23	Down	-$1	05-18 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-17 08:54
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	05-21 02:51
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	4	$7	33	33	+0	No	-$1	05-21 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 00:10 UTC	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	03-02 00:16
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	05-21 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6AM ET	3	$6	6	3	+2	Up	+$1	10-16 11:00
ethereum up or down october 15 2026 4am et	6	$6	18	18	+0	Down	+$1	10-15 08:53
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET	4	$5	15	15	+0	Down	+$3	06-02 22:35
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	-$5	05-21 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	3	$5	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-17 08:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 00:45 UTC	2	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	03-02 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	4	$4	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-16 21:44
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 04:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$4	9	0	+9	Up	-$4	05-17 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$4	9	0	+9	Down	-$4	05-18 21:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET	2	$4	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-21 01:46
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	06-02 13:54
Solana Up or Down - October 16, 3AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-16 12:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 23:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x152e3f…
10-16 22:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x660c4d…
10-16 22:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x5fa106…
10-16 22:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x53a63d…
10-16 22:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x496240…
10-16 21:51:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x82d65d…
10-16 21:50:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x90e2d6…
10-16 12:14:22	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x36903d…
10-16 11:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xac0cdc…
10-16 10:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0xb9522a…
10-16 10:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x16d1ee…
10-16 09:08:33	XRP Up or Down - October 16, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9bc93c…
10-16 08:28:57	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9cff77…
10-16 08:02:06	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xbfddb6…
10-16 07:37:27	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x269828…
10-16 04:06:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x153546…
10-16 03:31:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x476109…
10-16 02:42:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x7408cd…
10-16 02:38:37	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xb479e7…
10-15 13:49:04	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xa7b6c3…
10-15 13:47:52	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x11c6f4…
10-15 10:12:01	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x16bcc9…
10-15 10:09:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x11b1a9…
10-15 08:54:13	bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xad35d1…
10-15 08:53:38	ethereum up or down october 15 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xd9e678…
10-15 08:52:20	ethereum up or down october 15 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x20ad3a…
10-15 08:27:37	bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe490c0…
10-15 08:25:40	ethereum up or down october 15 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	6	27¢	$1	0x22bcdb…
10-15 08:23:47	ethereum up or down october 15 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x30e3df…
10-15 08:22:22	ethereum up or down october 15 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	8	19¢	$1	0xf99ed3…
10-15 08:17:56	ethereum up or down october 15 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x26e8ab…
10-15 07:42:08	solana up or down october 15 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xb97a15…
10-15 07:37:07	bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x874a5e…
08-27 17:57:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xd6ee0a…
08-25 21:01:21	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x9571bc…
08-25 21:00:07	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$1	0xffd0fd…
08-25 20:59:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x9657e6…
08-24 09:14:49	Solana Up or Down - August 24, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xd2c318…
08-24 09:07:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5e3976…
08-24 08:57:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7bf29e…
08-24 08:49:22	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x6ff654…
08-24 08:48:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x289518…
06-03 04:19:13	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0xde5a8a…
06-03 00:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x9cbdac…
06-03 00:28:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x91f7ba…
06-02 23:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x5a60a7…
06-02 23:37:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x71cf44…
06-02 23:25:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x323ee9…
06-02 23:08:29	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x6b448f…
06-02 23:05:32	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0e959a…
06-02 22:59:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x24cf21…
06-02 22:52:30	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x078652…
06-02 22:49:08	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7bbfb1…
06-02 22:47:29	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x5ef189…
06-02 22:35:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x17e399…
06-02 22:31:03	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x04c5a7…
06-02 22:18:12	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3d7e8d…
06-02 22:16:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x494d91…
06-02 22:13:56	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x86526a…
06-02 21:42:45	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6a9f9c…
06-02 21:34:46	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x4a17d9…
06-02 21:34:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x43523f…
06-02 20:57:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xeea70f…
06-02 20:48:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x87da27…
06-02 20:33:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xa1576b…
06-02 20:29:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x3c7a10…
06-02 20:29:50	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x678528…
06-02 20:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x293f3f…
06-02 20:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x47a279…
06-02 14:45:30	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xbe5c02…
06-02 14:09:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xa18c19…
06-02 13:54:29	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x8f00fa…
06-02 07:26:55	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x12a538…
06-02 07:25:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x1652a5…
06-01 11:08:29	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xf232d4…
06-01 09:20:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x756357…
06-01 06:55:14	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x4b67cf…
06-01 06:08:42	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xebccdb…
06-01 06:05:56	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x43112d…
06-01 06:05:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf55249…
06-01 06:02:33	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x226e49…
06-01 05:39:53	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x3bed63…
06-01 05:29:06	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6b676e…
06-01 05:27:12	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x03d052…
06-01 05:21:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1297e7…
05-21 16:52:31	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x937159…
05-21 16:37:28	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xca63d2…
05-21 16:28:13	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xac1a2f…
05-21 16:21:51	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1e180f…
05-21 15:57:28	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x4895c1…
05-21 15:25:36	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0x7a98a3…
05-21 10:29:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	34	7¢	$2	0xb5d3b8…
05-21 10:25:54	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9a7175…
05-21 10:17:25	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x70ec56…
05-21 10:03:50	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x315da9…
05-21 09:10:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe89854…
05-21 09:07:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xea7371…
05-21 09:07:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x5d7a33…
05-21 09:06:03	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$1	0xa4a750…
05-21 08:55:03	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xead58f…