Creative-Basil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.2%

Resolved

Trades

554

lifetime

Volume

$1.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-21 07:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

80% 50% $-4

Tech

7% — —

Politics

6% 0% $-6

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 65 89	2	$88	60	60	+0	open	—	04-11 13:40
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	2	$80	60	60	+0	open	—	04-14 15:15
will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	3	$74	63	63	+0	open	—	04-13 19:20
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	2	$59	66	66	+1	open	—	04-14 15:52
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	4	$58	62	61	+1	open	—	04-13 05:45
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 10	2	$50	48	48	+0	open	—	04-10 18:47
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	3	$44	51	51	+0	open	—	04-17 05:05
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	11	$43	150	39	+111	open	—	04-17 17:30
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	5	$39	177	70	+107	open	—	04-26 07:48
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 560 579	3	$36	20	40	-20	open	—	01-09 16:20
will usd reach 1pt5m iranian rials by january 31	2	$33	100	100	+0	open	—	01-15 08:36
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	2	$29	80	0	+80	open	—	04-20 18:40
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	3	$23	61	60	+1	open	—	04-22 06:53
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	4	$19	50	45	+5	open	—	05-14 16:22
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	8	$15	315	52	+263	open	—	05-19 17:04
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	4	$12	86	82	+4	open	—	04-27 14:05
will trump say venezuela or military during panthers visit	2	$11	150	0	+150	open	—	01-15 21:31
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?	31	$11	867	0	+867	open	—	04-25 06:25
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?	16	$11	440	0	+440	open	—	04-25 03:17
Will Drake feature Teezo Touchdown on ICEMAN?	11	$11	80	0	+80	open	—	05-15 04:10
Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	2	$10	166	0	+166	open	—	04-27 14:03
will chatgpt be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 17	1	$10	100	0	+100	open	—	04-17 15:50
will maru reach 1b in q1	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	02-17 20:28
will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 21	3	$9	50	0	+50	open	—	04-21 02:59
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 0 39	4	$9	110	105	+5	open	—	04-16 12:21
will mrbeasts video get between 84 and 85 million views on day 6	2	$9	45	21	+24	open	—	04-23 21:55
will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week 385	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	03-27 22:28
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	4	$7	47	44	+2	open	—	05-15 06:11
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$7	20	0	+20	open	—	05-08 01:53
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 65 89	3	$7	11	11	+0	open	—	02-28 05:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 07:38:12	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd77a5c…
05-21 02:27:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x841fd6…
05-20 17:55:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x0f9309…
05-19 17:04:42	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x746155…
05-19 12:11:43	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	49	1¢	$0	0x9e88c3…
05-19 04:30:25	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x3a3871…
05-18 15:56:12	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe43289…
05-18 10:22:41	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xe90f4a…
05-18 04:19:23	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0c6bc8…
05-17 04:52:02	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x114df3…
05-16 19:44:36	Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?	No	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xe24682…
05-16 18:23:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x9704cb…
05-15 06:11:49	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	No	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xb5d2c0…
05-15 04:10:22	Will Drake feature Teezo Touchdown on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x8c5e8e…
05-15 04:07:22	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	No	SELL	44	13¢	$6	0x4920f0…
05-15 01:23:17	Will Drake feature Teezo Touchdown on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x26a8fb…
05-15 00:27:17	Will Drake feature Teezo Touchdown on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xe61e36…
05-15 00:15:45	Will Drake feature Teezo Touchdown on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x43fb31…
05-15 00:15:44	Will Drake feature Teezo Touchdown on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x43f13b…
05-15 00:15:42	Will Drake feature Teezo Touchdown on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x2c9296…
05-15 00:15:40	Will Drake feature Teezo Touchdown on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x52d966…
05-15 00:15:35	Will Drake feature Teezo Touchdown on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xe53ee7…
05-15 00:15:30	Will Drake feature Teezo Touchdown on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xf706f2…
05-15 00:14:28	Will Drake feature Teezo Touchdown on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x7e663b…
05-15 00:14:25	Will Drake feature Teezo Touchdown on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x6e0752…
05-14 17:10:55	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,010	0¢	$1	0x1a1140…
05-14 16:26:37	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x86aab6…
05-14 16:22:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x8bd09d…
05-13 19:47:19	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xcb950b…
05-13 18:39:53	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x45ea7f…
05-13 18:37:40	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0xe58200…
05-13 12:17:17	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xdfe06f…
05-13 11:13:59	Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xc36802…
05-13 11:07:11	Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb57310…
05-13 11:07:01	Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x28e326…
05-13 11:06:59	Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xafb88a…
05-13 07:49:37	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	25	25¢	$6	0x4409b8…
05-11 11:23:43	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x472055…
05-11 11:11:28	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xe29a4a…
05-11 06:44:04	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	26	6¢	$1	0xbf9c28…
05-08 01:53:51	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x20cc95…
05-08 01:27:35	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x7ce03c…
05-08 00:04:59	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xcebdd9…
05-07 17:37:56	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xb0ed54…
05-06 08:45:30	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	52	8¢	$4	0x07e114…
05-05 11:22:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Norah O'Donnell by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xf79bd9…
05-04 22:59:56	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Norah O'Donnell by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xe50ea1…
05-03 14:25:24	Alexander Isak: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x905fd8…
05-03 13:37:26	Alexander Isak: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xc0ec5c…
05-02 04:57:46	Will "Hokum" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xc597c8…
04-27 20:31:54	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	No	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x337341…
04-27 19:59:00	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	No	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x0fb685…
04-27 18:26:56	Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0xcfae57…
04-27 14:05:16	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	SELL	72	3¢	$2	0x36a08e…
04-27 14:03:24	Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	Yes	BUY	118	6¢	$7	0x90a330…
04-27 10:53:22	Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	Yes	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0x7d8e4d…
04-27 10:25:10	Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x23c346…
04-26 17:18:46	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xf006f4…
04-26 17:13:08	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	No	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x228a3e…
04-26 07:48:52	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	SELL	70	15¢	$10	0x041d41…
04-26 06:16:38	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x52e8ae…
04-26 05:55:02	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	BUY	36	15¢	$6	0xbb87b1…
04-26 05:43:06	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xa2ab02…
04-26 05:28:58	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x0a5ebf…
04-26 04:58:50	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdf6d6c…
04-26 04:58:16	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xf48073…
04-26 04:58:14	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	155	16¢	$25	0x229844…
04-25 06:25:30	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xe7682c…
04-25 06:25:18	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe8ae92…
04-25 06:25:14	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xdb97fa…
04-25 06:25:14	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3c077c…
04-25 06:25:08	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xdc0927…
04-25 06:25:08	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xd94ae3…
04-25 06:25:08	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?	Yes	BUY	87	0¢	$0	0x96b8b4…
04-25 06:25:08	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x45d918…
04-25 06:25:08	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x42152f…
04-25 06:25:08	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x397c93…
04-25 06:23:10	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xd00d0d…
04-25 06:19:56	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf3e4ce…
04-25 06:19:56	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x14cbe4…
04-25 06:10:48	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x9ede28…
04-25 06:08:16	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xb652bc…
04-25 06:08:16	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xb5fb6e…
04-25 06:08:16	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xa899a3…
04-25 06:08:16	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x6099a9…
04-25 06:08:16	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x44c918…
04-25 06:08:16	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x01d54c…
04-25 06:02:18	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x73e7b5…
04-25 03:17:46	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x098ae4…
04-25 03:17:34	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2ab330…
04-24 22:58:28	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?	Yes	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x6ed934…
04-24 22:58:24	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xc934ce…
04-24 22:26:36	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xdb2d0d…
04-24 22:26:36	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x4c17bf…
04-24 21:55:58	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xed0a7a…
04-24 21:55:58	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x204aca…
04-24 21:55:58	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x173ed0…
04-24 21:55:58	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x0c7892…
04-24 21:51:44	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa12814…
04-24 21:51:44	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1bcc14…