Roasted-Shaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.42K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.2%

Resolved

4,465

Trades

23,165

lifetime

Volume

$106.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 02:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 144 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% +$1,421

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 668 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 09:30 UTC	71	$510	390	337	+53	Down	+$12	03-03 09:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:30 UTC	64	$389	315	283	+32	Down	-$122	03-03 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 15:00 UTC	64	$357	310	307	+3	Up	-$73	03-03 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 18:35 UTC	89	$334	420	113	+307	Up	+$65	03-03 18:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 06:35 UTC	57	$322	280	276	+4	Down	-$3	03-11 06:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 18:45 UTC	53	$318	260	257	+3	Up	-$57	03-03 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 17:20 UTC	55	$307	265	263	+2	Up	-$97	03-03 17:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 02:15 UTC	71	$304	350	94	+256	Down	+$46	03-01 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 18:25 UTC	42	$302	200	198	+2	Down	+$15	03-03 18:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:45 UTC	68	$299	295	291	+4	Down	-$34	03-03 14:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 19:40 UTC	53	$287	255	252	+3	Up	-$50	03-03 19:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:20 UTC	51	$269	250	248	+2	Down	-$98	03-03 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:15 UTC	64	$267	315	44	+271	Down	+$45	03-01 04:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 14:35 UTC	72	$267	300	202	+98	Up	-$15	03-02 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:05 UTC	51	$261	245	242	+3	Up	-$62	03-03 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 20:15 UTC	52	$246	255	252	+3	Up	-$87	03-03 20:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 08:55 UTC	47	$238	220	218	+2	Up	-$77	03-01 08:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 18:00 UTC	46	$237	225	198	+27	Down	-$53	03-03 18:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 09:00 UTC	55	$229	255	153	+102	Up	+$13	03-01 09:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 15:30 UTC	63	$228	315	0	+315	Up	+$87	03-03 15:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 15:50 UTC	57	$228	285	0	+285	Down	+$57	03-03 15:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 02:15 UTC	41	$217	200	198	+2	Up	-$87	03-04 02:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 11:45 UTC	54	$216	432	0	+432	Up	+$0	01-28 11:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 17:45 UTC	41	$214	200	193	+7	Up	-$50	03-03 17:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 20:00 UTC	51	$212	429	0	+429	Up	-$1	01-28 20:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 13:45 UTC	54	$209	413	0	+413	Down	-$3	01-28 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 02:05 UTC	38	$208	180	178	+2	Down	-$58	03-04 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 15:45 UTC	57	$208	285	0	+285	Up	+$77	03-03 15:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 10:00 UTC	50	$206	410	0	+410	Up	-$1	01-28 10:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 15:15 UTC	53	$204	425	0	+425	Up	+$16	01-28 15:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 03:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd597b1…
11-01 03:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0b367d…
11-01 02:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x867ef3…
11-01 01:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc88f9f…
11-01 01:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x61af69…
11-01 01:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd26d46…
11-01 01:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x128799…
11-01 01:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xfeeff0…
11-01 00:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0ac74a…
11-01 00:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x3a9561…
11-01 00:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xbe0b47…
11-01 00:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x587037…
10-31 23:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xaff913…
10-31 23:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x4bbd4e…
10-31 23:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x3ba5a2…
10-31 22:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x68015e…
10-31 22:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xc89f55…
10-31 22:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0c573a…
10-31 22:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xec3ca4…
10-31 22:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa05a6e…
10-31 21:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0d2f86…
10-31 21:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x227c8d…
10-31 21:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8dd758…
10-31 19:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5c9558…
10-31 19:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9f270f…
10-31 19:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xafbd0b…
10-31 19:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xb8ef0a…
10-31 19:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x6e13e7…
10-31 19:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x46a4e5…
10-31 19:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x88bde0…
10-31 18:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc0d2af…
10-31 18:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x31327a…
10-31 18:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x92696f…
10-31 18:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xee035d…
10-31 17:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x1bcef8…
10-31 17:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3e7ff8…
10-31 17:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x3ffea9…
10-31 17:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xd2b332…
10-31 17:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x0bca6b…
10-31 17:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x71a0c1…
10-31 17:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x47f0f7…
10-31 17:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xcaa5f8…
10-31 17:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa6b891…
10-31 17:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6ca3df…
10-31 17:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x20c667…
10-31 17:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x2bca7a…
10-31 16:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4c95eb…
10-31 16:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6804d9…
10-31 16:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa77aa9…
10-31 16:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb676ba…
10-31 16:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x577406…
10-31 16:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xdb291e…
10-31 16:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x97116f…
10-31 16:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5f5bb2…
10-31 16:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6f9308…
10-31 16:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9c3fd2…
10-31 16:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x503bdf…
10-31 16:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x4d088f…
10-31 15:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xfe2350…
10-31 15:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa0c372…
10-31 15:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xa6f48b…
10-31 15:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xf46b5c…
10-31 15:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x47b7b6…
10-31 15:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x166138…
10-31 15:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x683bf0…
10-31 15:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x21c589…
10-31 15:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x636783…
10-31 15:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe5c8d2…
10-31 14:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa68818…
10-31 14:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6ef141…
10-31 14:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa12179…
10-31 13:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x99b36b…
10-31 13:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xfb68ad…
10-31 13:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7e1bf9…
10-31 13:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x95e1ec…
10-31 13:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb37948…
10-31 12:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xda8b69…
10-31 12:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x586176…
10-31 12:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd1d597…
10-31 12:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xef5b04…
10-31 11:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x93c2dd…
10-31 11:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x811809…
10-31 11:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xbdf63c…
10-31 11:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa1fbdd…
10-31 11:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xc08252…
10-31 11:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x25ccd1…
10-31 11:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc5efaf…
10-31 11:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb3b7ce…
10-31 11:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x31a2e1…
10-31 11:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0abeb0…
10-31 11:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x938a63…
10-31 11:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x18b061…
10-31 11:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xeeda84…
10-31 11:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd5e828…
10-31 11:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x768c0b…
10-31 10:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xa99bcf…
10-31 10:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x549c50…
10-31 10:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3b7f31…
10-31 10:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x8b89d7…
10-31 09:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x8b93ce…