Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$260

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

134

Trades

346

lifetime

Volume

$4.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 08-23 22:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

76% 66% +$200

Tech

13% 80% +$58

Politics

11% 81% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	5	$148	106	106	+0	Yes	+$28	08-18 01:18
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	5	$133	112	84	+29	Yes	+$13	08-03 04:38
wnba nyl dal 2026 07 20	6	$130	105	105	+0	New York Liberty	+$50	07-21 01:23
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	3	$129	90	90	+0	Yes	+$49	07-31 16:32
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	5	$127	68	68	+0	No	+$7	08-07 13:29
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?	6	$102	108	51	+57	No	-$58	08-03 05:36
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?	5	$100	87	87	+0	Yes	+$20	07-20 18:04
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	4	$92	90	90	+0	Yes	+$12	08-18 01:32
will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	3	$85	46	46	+0	Yes	+$5	07-24 16:54
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	5	$84	62	62	+0	No	+$4	08-17 16:06
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	4	$81	45	45	+0	Yes	+$1	08-02 03:41
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?	3	$80	41	41	+0	No	+$0	08-02 05:59
will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	3	$80	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 06:33
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 135m?	3	$80	40	40	+0	No	$0	07-19 23:48
will the next claude opus model be released by august 31 2026 20260701204710233 223 869 558 982	3	$79	41	41	+0	Yes	-$1	07-24 14:12
will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	5	$78	43	43	+0	Yes	-$2	07-24 21:06
will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	8	$77	218	218	+0	Yes	-$15	07-24 22:04
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	4	$71	82	82	+0	No	-$9	08-18 01:33
iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	6	$69	60	60	+0	Yes	-$11	07-20 19:35
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	3	$68	200	200	+0	Yes	+$28	08-04 17:03
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?	4	$67	64	64	+0	No	-$13	07-26 12:25
Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	4	$62	53	53	+0	No	+$11	08-08 23:51
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	3	$62	42	22	+20	No	+$2	07-28 16:08
will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	3	$60	68	0	+68	No	+$8	07-23 23:58
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	2	$59	46	46	+0	No	+$19	08-17 00:09
val eg2 fur 2026 08 06 game1	2	$57	53	53	+0	Evil Geniuses	+$17	08-06 21:58
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	2	$46	29	29	+0	No	+$6	07-26 01:11
us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	2	$45	28	28	+0	Yes	+$5	07-27 16:05
Will "Toy Story 5" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?	2	$43	24	24	+0	Yes	+$3	07-20 11:41
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	2	$42	43	43	+0	open	—	08-05 03:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-23 22:08:21	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xed9efb…
08-23 20:57:21	Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe	Arthur Fils	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xc7401d…
08-21 05:16:34	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xea3652…
08-20 19:44:37	atp tirante fils 2026 08 21	Arthur Fils	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xc58f1f…
08-19 11:08:24	atp tiafoe augeral 2026 08 19	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x9e448a…
08-19 11:08:16	atp fritz oconnel 2026 08 19	Taylor Fritz	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x6352dc…
08-19 11:06:57	atp faria musetti 2026 08 19	Jaime Faria	SELL	69	27¢	$19	0xc5435d…
08-19 11:06:40	atp faria musetti 2026 08 19	Jaime Faria	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x3e7d43…
08-18 01:33:06	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0xf3995b…
08-18 01:33:06	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723225144065	No	SELL	13	65¢	$9	0xc123b0…
08-18 01:33:06	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	33	62¢	$20	0xa69f0c…
08-18 01:32:48	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0xe76279…
08-18 01:18:37	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	98	87¢	$85	0x407ae2…
08-18 01:16:25	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xfb560f…
08-17 16:06:19	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x8b1369…
08-17 02:24:21	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 70m?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf8f256…
08-17 00:09:46	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	46	85¢	$39	0xacaac3…
08-15 16:40:09	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xe7dea4…
08-15 15:56:19	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x3f167a…
08-14 18:39:10	val jl fnc1 2026 08 14	Fnatic	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x410a0a…
08-14 18:39:09	val jl fnc1 2026 08 14	Fnatic	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x6d41a3…
08-14 02:12:21	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x9f6bc2…
08-13 04:18:52	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x410536…
08-12 16:28:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xc66299…
08-12 16:26:07	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xebea5c…
08-10 17:38:51	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x86f895…
08-10 03:35:36	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 140m and 150m?	No	BUY	254	8¢	$20	0x284709…
08-09 08:03:58	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	42	35¢	$15	0x40fac8…
08-08 23:51:27	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	No	SELL	52	70¢	$36	0x224710…
08-08 23:49:09	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xdc27ab…
08-08 15:11:57	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xf65d0a…
08-08 00:58:42	val g21 loud 2026 08 07	G2 Esports	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x9d1ab1…
08-08 00:48:22	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	No	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x543d10…
08-08 00:21:39	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x07ad3f…
08-07 22:55:51	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	No	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xe06b2e…
08-07 22:48:57	val 100t1 c9 2026 08 07	100 Thieves	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xe4cf75…
08-07 20:18:21	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x99584c…
08-07 19:33:19	val fnc1 ep1 2026 08 07	Fnatic	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xbe9898…
08-07 14:30:45	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723225144065	No	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0x2471b1…
08-07 13:44:46	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x7e1540…
08-07 13:29:40	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x411d3d…
08-07 00:59:26	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x7c9ebb…
08-06 21:58:26	val eg2 fur 2026 08 06 game1	Evil Geniuses	SELL	53	70¢	$37	0x9b0a41…
08-06 21:39:38	val eg2 fur 2026 08 06 game1	Evil Geniuses	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x5080cd…
08-06 21:33:54	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	31	47¢	$14	0xef2ebe…
08-06 21:23:08	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xdc2490…
08-06 14:41:50	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x6ef9fe…
08-06 01:41:18	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x6dbbb0…
08-06 01:13:44	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x104538…
08-05 20:24:23	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x2e1b39…
08-05 16:18:47	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x740e62…
08-05 03:18:42	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x0d373e…
08-05 03:18:06	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	No	SELL	43	54¢	$23	0xf86b95…
08-04 17:03:45	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0xf809f5…
08-03 18:22:57	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	No	BUY	43	44¢	$19	0x10c1d7…
08-03 15:53:23	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x4eb328…
08-03 15:43:15	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x2027dd…
08-03 14:27:35	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xc98582…
08-03 13:54:48	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xef5ce6…
08-03 06:33:14	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x0c3b5a…
08-03 05:37:27	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6d31a9…
08-03 05:36:33	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?	Yes	SELL	24	43¢	$10	0x2d2b38…
08-03 05:35:03	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x89d430…
08-03 05:30:33	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6c1518…
08-03 04:39:39	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xe6c469…
08-03 04:38:47	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x6dbc2e…
08-03 03:29:24	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?	Yes	SELL	27	43¢	$12	0x7afc69…
08-02 15:08:53	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc20924…
08-02 14:41:05	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 380m and 390m?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x56caea…
08-02 14:37:21	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x759e81…
08-02 14:33:14	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x1227bb…
08-02 05:59:05	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x43cf31…
08-02 03:46:18	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x4a9529…
08-02 03:41:54	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc3b303…
08-02 01:10:09	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xaa8891…
08-02 00:31:38	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x9f58ef…
08-02 00:25:32	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xf1db82…
08-02 00:21:42	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xa739db…
08-01 13:05:36	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 380m and 390m?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x6e1c2c…
08-01 13:05:21	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcd427c…
08-01 03:25:00	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xbae9d2…
08-01 01:49:29	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	Yes	SELL	62	83¢	$51	0xaf8078…
07-31 16:32:32	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x50d55e…
07-31 05:00:48	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xf6fe35…
07-31 04:56:17	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x7be881…
07-31 03:22:03	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xc5f899…
07-31 02:50:14	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc62443…
07-31 00:06:57	val 100t1 sen 2026 07 30	100 Thieves	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x87e2f9…
07-30 23:47:47	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x858442…
07-29 20:24:54	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	150	2¢	$3	0x9213ff…
07-29 14:22:36	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x39397f…
07-29 03:52:30	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	SELL	24	84¢	$21	0x393920…
07-28 22:50:56	atp svajd mensik 2026 07 27	Jakub Mensik	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x595f92…
07-28 21:17:40	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xd112a7…
07-28 20:57:26	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc2544a…
07-28 16:08:50	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbc69d8…
07-27 21:00:52	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x6cbf7b…
07-27 18:42:09	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xbad49b…
07-27 18:37:42	Will "Minions & Monsters" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0xf794ca…
07-27 16:30:34	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x520ea7…