Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

167

lifetime

Volume

$839

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 07-23 17:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

40% — —

Other

38% 0% $-0

Tech

21% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	6	$69	60	60	+0	open	—	07-20 19:35
will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	3	$60	68	0	+68	open	—	07-23 23:58
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	13	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	04-08 13:57
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	07-24 00:06
wnba nyl dal 2026 07 20	2	$40	105	0	+105	open	—	07-21 00:02
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	2	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	07-20 15:58
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 190m and 200m	6	$27	25	25	+0	open	—	04-06 09:27
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 170m and 180m	6	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	04-05 06:22
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	5	$24	19	19	+0	open	—	04-09 20:06
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	5	$21	19	19	+0	open	—	04-15 11:41
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$20	42	42	+0	open	—	04-19 19:22
will project hail mary 3rd weekend box office be between 35m and 38m	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-05 14:26
will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	07-20 20:28
iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	07-17 16:27
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	5	$17	37	37	+0	open	—	04-07 21:02
will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-14 03:36
claude 4pt7 released by april 24 251	3	$15	10	5	+5	open	—	04-15 22:57
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	4	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-05 11:23
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	04-15 11:40
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-11 10:29
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-11 10:30
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	04-16 02:29
will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be between 10m and 15m	3	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-18 08:24
will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be between 15m and 20m	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-18 06:29
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 12 2026	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-14 12:57
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-11 17:40
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-19 23:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$10	19	19	+0	open	—	04-06 02:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	7	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	04-07 20:27
will iran successfully target shipping on march 31 2026 564	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-07 05:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 00:06:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x48aab4…
07-23 23:58:04	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2898b6…
07-23 17:28:34	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xd9fa99…
07-23 17:28:33	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x0d39dd…
07-21 02:06:55	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2d9a79…
07-21 00:02:06	wnba nyl dal 2026 07 20	Dallas Wings	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xd048f6…
07-21 00:01:15	wnba nyl dal 2026 07 20	Dallas Wings	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x351199…
07-20 20:28:55	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x2b539d…
07-20 19:35:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0x0b0695…
07-20 19:34:18	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x111200…
07-20 19:29:45	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x8ba4c0…
07-20 17:36:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0x912571…
07-20 16:45:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x053473…
07-20 16:39:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xd58a98…
07-20 15:58:03	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x4bdecd…
07-20 13:53:36	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xac8eea…
07-17 16:27:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xb679e2…
04-19 23:06:26	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x921432…
04-19 23:06:26	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x53a124…
04-19 23:06:26	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x4239aa…
04-19 23:06:26	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x15a8ac…
04-19 19:22:40	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	31	15¢	$5	0xd31a1f…
04-19 12:48:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x2d8f30…
04-19 00:54:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x38f38d…
04-19 00:51:40	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x219d4b…
04-18 16:54:52	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	135	4¢	$5	0x77dc12…
04-18 14:50:14	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xff2774…
04-18 14:38:12	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0x844b00…
04-18 08:24:12	will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be between 10m and 15m	Yes	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x4bc2dd…
04-18 07:04:36	will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be between 10m and 15m	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xaafd87…
04-18 06:29:08	will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be between 15m and 20m	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x89e097…
04-17 00:49:18	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	No	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0xe944ad…
04-17 00:15:26	will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be between 15m and 20m	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb00781…
04-17 00:13:36	will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be between 10m and 15m	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x1ac700…
04-16 21:53:48	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	No	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0xa6a19b…
04-16 18:14:04	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd29612…
04-16 18:04:18	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7656e9…
04-16 18:03:58	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8c3d82…
04-16 18:03:50	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x62a750…
04-16 02:35:28	Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x355894…
04-16 02:29:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x39b0d7…
04-15 22:57:34	Will Claude 4.7 not be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe506c7…
04-15 22:57:20	claude 4pt7 released by april 24 251	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0278f3…
04-15 17:42:44	claude 4pt7 released by april 24 251	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x9c52c0…
04-15 12:10:48	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3f76a4…
04-15 12:04:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x1adf9c…
04-15 11:41:12	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x3d5920…
04-15 11:40:04	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0xc911ad…
04-15 00:34:02	claude 4pt7 released by april 24 251	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd9ba21…
04-14 21:45:32	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x3c6dc7…
04-14 21:17:52	Claude 4.7 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf8fda7…
04-14 12:59:43	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe038ea…
04-14 12:57:27	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 12 2026	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x569dcb…
04-14 12:48:51	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 12 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x67e336…
04-14 12:48:09	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 12 2026	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x1db282…
04-14 03:36:47	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x14ced9…
04-14 02:42:07	will nathalie sinclair desgagn win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x36637f…
04-14 01:54:29	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb15a45…
04-14 01:35:49	will nathalie sinclair desgagn win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0xf48a8c…
04-14 00:17:03	will nathalie sinclair desgagn win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf11ca7…
04-13 13:51:05	Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe54fd6…
04-13 08:59:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0xddfe34…
04-12 23:26:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xba786c…
04-12 20:16:05	Military action against Iran ends by April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x66d1ff…
04-11 19:04:41	Military action against Iran ends by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa50b79…
04-11 17:40:57	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4ac90c…
04-11 13:05:29	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x57dd34…
04-11 13:01:41	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe0cd55…
04-11 12:03:23	will project hail mary 4th weekend box office be greater than 22m	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x939b8e…
04-11 10:30:49	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0x2586d8…
04-11 10:29:59	Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x34226e…
04-09 21:25:33	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x3b7abf…
04-09 21:22:29	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xcbdd35…
04-09 21:18:17	Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4d5f56…
04-09 21:08:15	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x33de8b…
04-09 21:01:47	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x870ab0…
04-09 20:07:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x04a6bf…
04-09 20:06:47	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0xc55e86…
04-08 21:29:21	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5102a4…
04-08 13:57:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf893a3…
04-08 11:52:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6b52c6…
04-08 11:12:11	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	No	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x2c02e9…
04-08 04:25:53	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb0c5a5…
04-08 01:26:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8f6fe1…
04-08 00:56:31	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc7542a…
04-08 00:56:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x97d148…
04-08 00:33:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1413f1…
04-07 23:18:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb03170…
04-07 23:05:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe9b779…
04-07 22:37:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xeb3e8f…
04-07 21:47:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf653f3…
04-07 21:02:51	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd4c750…
04-07 21:02:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x97fdd6…
04-07 20:27:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	1	56¢	$0	0xa2e92e…
04-07 20:27:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xa3dce9…
04-07 20:26:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x7cb3d2…
04-07 20:26:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x9574ef…
04-07 20:23:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x87b6d4…
04-07 20:05:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x316a0a…
04-07 17:45:15	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	60¢	$0	0x727a57…