Ragged-Decoration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$518

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

4,148

Trades

8,749

lifetime

Volume

$26.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 10-29 01:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 164 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 51% -$525

Other

5% 48% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 191 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+2	$1	10¢	$0	-$1	07-20 20:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+3	$1	6¢	$0	-$1	07-20 20:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$608	648	324	+324	Down	+$332	07-29 07:04
bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	133	$468	514	274	+240	No	+$19	06-04 16:03
bitcoin above 64k on june 6 2026	132	$289	5,456	111	+5,345	No	-$74	06-06 12:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:00 UTC	4	$280	180	180	+0	Down	+$75	08-09 07:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 00:25 UTC	3	$265	201	201	+0	Down	+$25	07-22 00:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 20:55 UTC	7	$237	212	186	+27	Down	+$44	07-03 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	6	$230	219	219	+0	Up	-$2	05-19 00:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 13:15 UTC	4	$223	146	146	+0	Up	+$63	07-24 13:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 17:40 UTC	4	$221	142	142	+0	Up	+$61	08-01 17:43
will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	86	$208	262	205	+57	Yes	-$6	06-05 15:53
bitcoin above 64k on june 7 2026	59	$200	1,660	790	+870	No	-$12	06-07 11:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 09:45 UTC	4	$199	235	96	+138	Up	+$97	07-31 09:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:05 UTC	18	$186	307	144	+162	Up	+$109	07-31 10:09
will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	46	$184	141	137	+4	Yes	-$4	06-07 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$182	353	0	+353	Up	-$182	07-29 06:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 11:00 UTC	7	$173	111	111	+0	Down	+$3	08-01 11:04
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	53	$152	155	155	+0	No	+$16	06-07 20:09
bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	69	$152	253	113	+140	No	+$32	06-05 11:48
will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	47	$152	145	140	+5	Yes	+$46	06-05 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 23:00 UTC	6	$150	201	80	+121	Down	-$72	08-08 23:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 23:15 UTC	1	$150	301	0	+301	Up	+$151	08-08 23:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:00 UTC	4	$150	116	88	+28	Down	+$46	07-20 16:03
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	35	$140	149	74	+75	No	-$15	06-07 22:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 23:10 UTC	2	$130	286	0	+286	Down	-$130	08-08 23:10
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$122	82	82	+0	Down	+$36	07-29 07:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 00:15 UTC	4	$119	82	82	+0	Down	+$35	07-22 00:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 17:35 UTC	3	$114	213	0	+213	Down	-$114	08-01 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	6	$113	115	115	+0	Up	-$1	05-18 23:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 17:30 UTC	6	$108	266	61	+205	Down	-$58	08-01 17:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 20:10 UTC	1	$105	187	0	+187	Up	+$82	07-29 20:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 02:15:23	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xae4218…
10-29 02:15:23	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0xad2169…
10-29 02:15:20	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd1e390…
10-29 02:01:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xfded7e…
10-29 02:01:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf6da9f…
10-29 01:50:14	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x20dd27…
10-29 01:06:19	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x236420…
10-29 01:06:17	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9aaf27…
10-29 00:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x2ff05b…
10-29 00:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x694ff1…
10-28 19:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf50579…
10-28 19:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5cd5b3…
10-28 17:45:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb82d16…
10-28 17:45:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6e79c6…
10-28 14:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x790ff9…
10-28 14:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9407f7…
10-28 13:51:13	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xe72c1a…
10-28 13:51:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xea8eea…
10-28 12:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc6754d…
10-28 12:40:23	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x532d6d…
10-28 12:40:22	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd1fc53…
10-28 12:35:04	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x813f02…
10-28 12:35:02	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbba920…
10-28 12:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xedb7c7…
10-28 12:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9c6edf…
10-28 12:15:28	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x080c82…
10-28 12:15:25	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x342e4d…
10-28 10:05:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0c6747…
10-28 10:05:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe9d5c8…
10-28 08:40:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xe6117c…
10-28 08:40:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdc69c2…
10-28 08:30:26	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x97b7d1…
10-28 08:30:26	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x769727…
10-28 08:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb27a36…
10-28 08:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xeb85ec…
10-28 07:55:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa2139a…
10-28 07:55:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4f7d65…
10-28 07:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xc7b4c1…
10-28 07:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc2cec3…
10-28 03:35:06	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4ab603…
10-28 03:35:04	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x553cd8…
10-28 03:30:06	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd1643c…
10-28 03:30:06	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa8ba17…
10-28 00:05:03	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x8da561…
10-28 00:05:02	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x536c6d…
10-27 21:40:08	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf73219…
10-27 21:40:08	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x86f9ca…
10-27 21:36:11	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xea04f1…
10-27 21:36:08	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x87ceab…
10-27 21:35:27	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3dad1a…
10-27 21:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xff5a41…
10-27 21:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xccbac4…
10-27 21:35:08	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x169ad0…
10-27 21:35:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa0293f…
10-27 21:35:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2f7001…
10-27 15:25:15	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x90671b…
10-27 15:25:05	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd0e57d…
10-27 12:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb32041…
10-27 12:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x640f2a…
10-27 12:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x05bd67…
10-27 12:53:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb74ff6…
10-27 12:51:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9656ad…
10-27 12:50:30	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x8212d3…
10-27 12:50:30	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3315c3…
10-27 12:45:08	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb22847…
10-27 12:45:08	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x680a0c…
10-27 12:40:05	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x80675a…
10-27 12:40:05	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4bb31e…
10-27 12:35:06	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xeed1a7…
10-27 12:35:06	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1e14a2…
10-27 12:31:41	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x6aa86e…
10-27 12:31:41	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x57ef40…
10-27 10:50:12	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x599990…
10-27 10:50:05	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x40681f…
10-27 07:50:06	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0ab6d7…
10-27 07:50:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbcc8b2…
10-27 07:50:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3e31e1…
10-27 06:55:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe2051d…
10-27 06:55:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x729b30…
10-27 06:20:05	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9f2439…
10-27 06:20:02	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x103156…
10-27 05:05:20	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf3c438…
10-27 05:05:18	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xfbbca0…
10-26 23:40:06	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xec3434…
10-26 21:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6dcda4…
10-26 21:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x10c320…
10-26 20:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x498914…
10-26 20:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x06d022…
10-26 19:30:12	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xc5f23d…
10-26 19:30:02	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xae486a…
10-26 17:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb7f085…
10-26 16:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf4bbee…
10-26 16:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x019fa8…
10-26 13:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x905fcb…
10-26 13:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8928b4…
10-26 08:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xfa22c8…
10-26 08:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3066fa…
10-26 04:55:06	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x855a56…
10-26 04:55:05	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc37d1d…
10-26 01:45:05	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xabd3c4…