Lustrous-Flume — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved

Trades

389

lifetime

Volume

$385

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-28 03:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

34% 100% +$0

Politics

34% 0% $-0

Crypto

21% 50% +$0

Tech

6% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-23 02:48
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 02:46
gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-08 02:22
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-27 01:51
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-28 02:28
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	05-12 02:25
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 02:47
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 07:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 02:10
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	06-21 02:56
btc updown 5m 1773023400	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-09 02:31
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 01:18
will openai have the best ai model for math on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 06:26
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-02 01:57
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-23 01:51
will france strike iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 06:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 02:46
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 02:42
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	07-11 02:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 01:59
will bitcoin reach 68k on march 29	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-30 02:22
bitcoin above 66k on march 7	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-07 03:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-25 02:20
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-30 02:22
Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 01:42
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-24 02:45
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 09:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-08 01:06
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 01:38
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-26 02:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 02:22:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa1c3e7…
07-30 02:05:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x65d588…
07-28 03:06:54	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x36f5c4…
07-28 02:53:27	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xae402a…
07-28 02:28:00	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x52fd50…
07-28 02:16:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0d4598…
07-27 02:17:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe68363…
07-27 02:04:18	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe1e22e…
07-27 01:56:48	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb63609…
07-27 01:49:57	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x54a89f…
07-25 03:12:49	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x945563…
07-25 03:02:30	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x637303…
07-25 02:59:27	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x82ca2a…
07-25 02:34:55	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe0caa3…
07-24 02:59:06	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1pt5t cny 20260722211138919	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xcd19e9…
07-24 02:49:15	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1pt5t cny 20260722211138919	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x75aa6c…
07-24 02:45:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x48141e…
07-24 02:33:36	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7e43c9…
07-23 02:48:01	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6ca46c…
07-23 02:21:39	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe03899…
07-23 02:16:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x1d5897…
07-23 02:04:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0fcfe6…
07-22 02:11:37	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x294b6b…
07-22 02:00:13	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xddf181…
07-21 02:18:49	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbbfb73…
07-21 02:07:48	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x23459f…
07-20 04:00:52	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x596ad2…
07-20 03:48:01	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x79d59a…
07-20 03:38:36	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x909250…
07-20 03:18:48	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf83dc9…
07-18 02:55:55	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5db0bc…
07-18 02:27:22	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0ad208…
07-17 02:30:16	will trump accuse north korea of election interference by july 16 20260714013930795	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x90c640…
07-17 02:22:42	will trump accuse north korea of election interference by july 16 20260714013930795	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2018fd…
07-17 02:17:13	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 20 2026 20260714195149522	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x917242…
07-17 01:57:48	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 20 2026 20260714195149522	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe03411…
07-16 02:00:11	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x013c81…
07-16 01:51:34	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x996d32…
07-16 01:47:28	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5d845e…
07-16 01:36:16	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x26b9eb…
07-15 02:15:02	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x64473f…
07-15 02:09:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x50ffb0…
07-14 02:54:37	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa3ef9e…
07-14 02:40:25	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xad8a96…
07-13 03:05:23	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfa4d91…
07-13 02:55:55	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xff9591…
07-13 02:50:28	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbdb9ed…
07-13 02:29:31	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x18d26f…
07-11 02:24:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xed76c2…
07-11 02:04:46	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x15423c…
07-11 02:01:11	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x879123…
07-11 01:56:10	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9e0b1b…
07-10 02:49:29	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc41e2f…
07-10 02:29:35	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf5fa57…
07-09 02:22:17	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x400d94…
07-09 02:11:47	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3ca588…
07-09 02:06:10	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x772efc…
07-09 01:55:37	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0f44a7…
07-08 02:22:28	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc034b7…
07-08 02:12:22	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc626e9…
07-07 02:48:31	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb63c9c…
07-07 02:27:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbc7c81…
07-06 01:53:56	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x117aa8…
07-06 01:39:34	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x633368…
07-04 01:51:04	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xced4e2…
07-04 01:45:07	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdfc367…
07-03 06:16:25	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe19937…
07-03 04:59:10	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x21bc3f…
07-02 02:17:49	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xe7eb2b…
07-02 02:15:50	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x20987f…
07-02 02:12:02	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6563c9…
07-02 01:57:14	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0b1824…
07-01 01:44:26	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdc78e2…
07-01 01:33:41	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4c3e90…
06-30 02:19:44	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x05f48c…
06-30 02:11:13	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x99316b…
06-30 02:06:40	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7d95be…
06-30 01:52:13	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x119bdd…
06-29 03:20:22	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xe107a2…
06-29 03:18:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x34e34c…
06-29 03:04:47	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xdcb322…
06-29 02:55:02	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x56c0fb…
06-27 01:56:01	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x32ed1b…
06-27 01:45:44	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x51d0f3…
06-27 01:41:13	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf216eb…
06-27 01:34:26	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd9bf44…
06-26 02:44:59	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x78d262…
06-26 02:31:52	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6bd632…
06-25 03:13:40	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xa63d56…
06-25 03:12:59	will cambria launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x12bb2d…
06-25 03:03:25	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0123c2…
06-25 02:58:43	will cambria launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x821821…
06-24 02:51:11	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb6e1ed…
06-24 02:36:53	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x586db3…
06-23 01:59:56	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8ca671…
06-23 01:57:32	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x772017…
06-23 01:44:44	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9b0e9e…
06-23 01:38:29	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8ae341…
06-22 02:26:49	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 19 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xab4786…
06-22 02:25:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbdd684…