Thin-Barn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

277

Trades

279

lifetime

Volume

$3.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-29 17:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 228 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$4

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 14:26
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	23	+23	No	-$23	05-15 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-13 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 11?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-11 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 10?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-10 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 9?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-09 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 04:06
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 17:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:45
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:48
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-04 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 11:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:32
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-08 10:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-07 07:05
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 12c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 09:14
highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 39c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 14:02
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 19c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 07:52
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:30
highest temperature in los angeles on april 1 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 03:30
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 15c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-01 15:13
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:48
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:32
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 80 81f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 01:46
highest temperature in chongqing on march 30 2026 24c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 09:22
highest temperature in miami on march 29 2026 82 83f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:40:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a6dc1…
10-29 08:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe839ed…
10-28 07:37:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x678535…
10-27 08:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a1d05…
10-26 09:16:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x445335…
10-24 11:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2fec68…
10-22 10:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10f718…
10-20 07:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9eb49…
10-19 09:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73525a…
10-18 09:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e4d8a…
10-17 14:48:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc141b9…
10-16 08:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b6eea…
10-15 09:17:17	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85a126…
10-14 09:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ccc83…
10-13 09:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa954c1…
10-12 08:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85d7b5…
10-11 08:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a63d0…
10-08 08:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd51773…
10-07 14:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x139e93…
10-06 07:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x458093…
10-04 15:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5497fe…
10-03 07:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x400cf6…
10-02 11:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3be06…
10-01 08:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x323fb2…
09-30 12:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1ef57…
09-29 14:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2f637…
09-28 09:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x957636…
09-27 08:43:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3e08e…
09-25 12:23:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a90ca…
09-24 08:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6e38b…
09-23 07:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x126001…
09-22 08:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92d6ff…
09-21 09:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15966b…
09-20 05:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc75a87…
09-19 08:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x109599…
09-18 06:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa24194…
09-17 04:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fbc01…
09-16 08:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4bac9d…
09-15 09:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c3a16…
09-14 08:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9cb9c0…
09-12 16:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x11c469…
09-11 07:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1ef9f…
09-10 06:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc87e07…
09-09 02:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd9760…
09-08 02:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe741dc…
09-07 08:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe393b1…
09-06 17:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea674c…
09-06 09:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x591aae…
09-05 09:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a45f2…
09-04 17:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1529d0…
09-03 09:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcded8c…
09-02 07:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5cc918…
08-30 08:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe8aa9…
08-29 07:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde8e54…
08-28 08:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea7cb5…
08-27 08:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5cf17c…
08-26 08:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x357267…
08-25 09:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x651372…
08-24 09:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7cd24a…
08-23 14:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb74c84…
08-22 08:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a1af4…
08-21 07:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7204c9…
08-20 08:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b95b1…
08-19 11:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x402ed0…
08-18 08:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b109c…
08-17 07:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ca641…
08-16 11:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1023f…
08-15 09:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf2dfe…
08-14 06:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad798a…
08-13 07:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bf1f8…
08-12 07:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e71a6…
08-11 06:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x670cdd…
08-10 06:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c1750…
08-09 01:21:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41d4b4…
08-08 07:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0943c4…
08-07 01:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9bb114…
08-06 06:35:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc61dad…
08-05 07:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d7778…
08-04 08:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36cba9…
08-03 07:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65636a…
08-02 01:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe53bb1…
08-01 06:59:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba5297…
07-31 08:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76e95b…
07-30 06:47:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb285c…
07-29 06:13:11	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a8c05…
07-28 06:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x014ab4…
07-27 08:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd72dc3…
07-26 06:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8a09b…
07-25 07:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f44f7…
07-24 09:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37d627…
07-23 07:28:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7be09d…
07-22 01:51:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4209dc…
07-20 23:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d949d…
07-20 07:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x585cc9…
07-18 23:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe31ec8…
07-18 00:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27808c…
07-17 06:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9212c6…
07-15 22:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x5ff5a8…
07-15 07:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x049364…
07-14 07:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3ff3b2…