Warped-Impression — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.6%

Resolved

Trades

471

lifetime

Volume

$2.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 05-17 10:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 20% +$19

Other

47% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	5	$75	138	0	+138	Down	+$63	05-08 06:48
highest temperature in houston on april 8 2026 78 79f	2	$66	47	46	+1	open	—	04-09 07:18
highest temperature in singapore on april 6 2026 33c	12	$65	55	55	+0	open	—	04-06 07:25
highest temperature in warsaw on april 5 2026 21c	12	$65	75	73	+1	open	—	04-05 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	5	$56	111	43	+67	Up	$-24	05-08 06:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	1	$50	167	0	+167	open	—	05-01 10:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$50	91	0	+91	open	—	05-01 10:32
highest temperature in seattle on april 2 2026 52 53f	4	$48	34	33	+1	open	—	04-03 02:34
highest temperature in warsaw on april 5 2026 20c	4	$45	46	45	+1	open	—	04-05 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	4	$45	109	0	+109	open	—	05-17 10:56
highest temperature in singapore on april 6 2026 32c	8	$42	91	0	+91	open	—	04-05 16:19
highest temperature in austin on april 5 2026 68 69f	12	$41	100	0	+100	open	—	04-05 15:26
highest temperature in houston on april 5 2026 70 71f	3	$40	90	0	+90	open	—	04-05 12:05
highest temperature in warsaw on april 3 2026 14c	3	$40	72	0	+72	open	—	04-03 03:11
highest temperature in los angeles on april 1 2026 70 71f	1	$40	280	0	+280	open	—	04-01 06:15
highest temperature in miami on april 1 2026 78 79f	1	$40	108	0	+108	open	—	04-01 06:10
highest temperature in warsaw on april 2 2026 14c	2	$40	95	0	+95	open	—	04-02 06:06
highest temperature in miami on april 1 2026 80 81f	1	$31	71	0	+71	open	—	04-01 06:10
highest temperature in warsaw on april 4 2026 13c	3	$25	103	0	+103	open	—	04-04 05:41
highest temperature in tokyo on april 7 2026 18c	7	$20	47	0	+47	open	—	04-06 13:43
highest temperature in seattle on april 2 2026 50 51f	4	$20	73	0	+73	open	—	04-02 12:32
highest temperature in los angeles on april 3 2026 72 73f	3	$20	47	0	+47	open	—	04-03 12:48
highest temperature in warsaw on april 4 2026 14c	1	$20	37	0	+37	open	—	04-04 05:44
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	1	$20	87	0	+87	open	—	04-09 07:18
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	1	$20	91	0	+91	open	—	04-09 07:08
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 80 81f	6	$20	45	0	+45	open	—	03-30 08:00
highest temperature in houston on april 5 2026 68 69f	10	$18	103	0	+103	open	—	04-05 13:05
highest temperature in los angeles on april 3 2026 74 75f	3	$17	61	0	+61	open	—	04-03 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$16	14	14	+0	open	—	05-02 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$16	30	30	+0	open	—	05-01 09:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 10:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x5890d9…
05-17 10:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x1e9e1b…
05-17 10:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x99c739…
05-17 10:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x2dcd9b…
05-17 10:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x8e01bf…
05-17 10:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x35b942…
05-14 12:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x73a5dc…
05-14 12:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	22	27¢	$6	0x23f424…
05-14 12:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x032054…
05-08 06:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x2c7d8c…
05-08 06:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x2f4078…
05-08 06:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xb2c784…
05-08 06:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	43	37¢	$16	0x85803c…
05-08 06:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x314870…
05-08 06:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x4fe1be…
05-08 06:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xb9fb78…
05-08 06:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xae5e50…
05-08 06:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xde26c1…
05-08 06:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x40089d…
05-08 06:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x5cbacd…
05-08 06:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3791a8…
05-05 07:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xaccacf…
05-05 07:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xac8203…
05-04 07:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x54e632…
05-04 07:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x679738…
05-04 07:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1ddff9…
05-04 07:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	13	59¢	$8	0x16a67d…
05-04 07:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x485377…
05-04 06:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0x0440e8…
05-04 06:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb96848…
05-04 06:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x6fc81a…
05-04 06:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xeaeb30…
05-02 08:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x3cc3ed…
05-02 08:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x633649…
05-02 08:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x111132…
05-02 08:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x80aaa9…
05-02 08:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x6b7c29…
05-02 08:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	68¢	$8	0x5538d3…
05-02 08:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x218116…
05-02 08:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x358547…
05-02 08:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xcc4de5…
05-02 08:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	11	84¢	$9	0x66eaf3…
05-02 08:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xff4865…
05-02 08:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x54b55d…
05-02 08:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x26e2d1…
05-02 08:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xf88647…
05-02 08:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7f1e85…
05-02 08:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	14	83¢	$11	0xc74bbb…
05-02 08:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x8c0484…
05-01 10:32:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0xf11529…
05-01 10:32:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xeeb6c4…
05-01 10:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd0348e…
05-01 10:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xabf13d…
05-01 10:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x58b14e…
05-01 10:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x7509b2…
05-01 10:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x387812…
05-01 10:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x548f62…
05-01 09:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd65637…
05-01 09:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0x306026…
05-01 09:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x92c904…
05-01 09:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x8c171d…
05-01 09:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x71325a…
04-09 07:18:57	highest temperature in houston on april 8 2026 78 79f	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x9c4109…
04-09 07:18:27	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xf21c55…
04-09 07:08:11	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x3169f0…
04-08 09:26:01	highest temperature in taipei on april 9 2026 34c	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x0c14e2…
04-08 09:25:47	highest temperature in taipei on april 9 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xffa9cb…
04-08 09:20:09	highest temperature in chengdu on april 9 2026 32corhigher	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x0b0196…
04-08 09:14:29	highest temperature in munich on april 8 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x012226…
04-08 09:05:41	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 8 2026 23corhigher	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x889fea…
04-08 09:02:39	highest temperature in toronto on april 8 2026 3c	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xbcce98…
04-07 13:33:17	highest temperature in houston on april 8 2026 76 77f	Yes	BUY	98	15¢	$15	0x854b27…
04-07 13:31:47	highest temperature in houston on april 8 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xc5670a…
04-07 12:50:51	highest temperature in mexico city on april 7 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x209381…
04-07 12:50:33	highest temperature in mexico city on april 7 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	55	27¢	$15	0xbea947…
04-06 13:43:03	highest temperature in tokyo on april 7 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x605a7e…
04-06 13:35:51	highest temperature in tokyo on april 7 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe9c0fd…
04-06 13:23:39	highest temperature in tokyo on april 7 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe1fe07…
04-06 13:21:45	highest temperature in tokyo on april 7 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x9edfdb…
04-06 13:19:47	highest temperature in tokyo on april 7 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xa04ce2…
04-06 13:19:47	highest temperature in tokyo on april 7 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x672574…
04-06 13:19:11	highest temperature in tokyo on april 7 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xa46549…
04-06 13:19:11	highest temperature in tokyo on april 7 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0d1eb2…
04-06 13:18:19	highest temperature in tokyo on april 7 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xba9845…
04-06 12:27:57	highest temperature in austin on april 6 2026 72 73f	Yes	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x2ca082…
04-06 12:22:25	highest temperature in austin on april 6 2026 70 71f	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x494b00…
04-06 12:22:21	highest temperature in austin on april 6 2026 70 71f	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xecf38b…
04-06 12:21:13	highest temperature in austin on april 6 2026 72 73f	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xed8ed7…
04-06 12:18:21	highest temperature in austin on april 6 2026 72 73f	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8d0ccf…
04-06 12:14:23	highest temperature in austin on april 6 2026 72 73f	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x034f14…
04-06 12:13:47	highest temperature in austin on april 6 2026 70 71f	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x46abc8…
04-06 12:12:19	highest temperature in austin on april 6 2026 72 73f	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xab34a2…
04-06 12:11:39	highest temperature in austin on april 6 2026 70 71f	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc7440c…
04-06 07:25:59	highest temperature in singapore on april 6 2026 33c	Yes	SELL	55	91¢	$50	0x3d3508…
04-05 16:28:45	highest temperature in singapore on april 6 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x9b5055…
04-05 16:28:35	highest temperature in singapore on april 6 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xf3e649…
04-05 16:20:15	highest temperature in singapore on april 6 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x7af4f4…
04-05 16:19:59	highest temperature in singapore on april 6 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x9e5b35…
04-05 16:19:57	highest temperature in singapore on april 6 2026 32c	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x675a94…
04-05 16:19:43	highest temperature in singapore on april 6 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x0bd758…