Terrific-Embossing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$208

Unrealized P&L

+$39

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

606

lifetime

Volume

$214.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$353

Open exposure

$525

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-15 23:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 0% $-200

Politics

44% 0% $-8

Crypto

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes		+783	$485	67¢	$525	+$39	06-06 10:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	7	$14.7K	10,329	10,329	+0	open	—	03-02 04:24
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	5	$13.3K	8,465	8,465	+0	open	—	02-19 06:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	6	$9.7K	5,384	5,384	+0	open	—	04-23 01:47
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	11	$9.3K	8,940	8,940	+0	open	—	04-09 15:41
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$9.1K	6,685	6,685	+0	open	—	03-09 08:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	12	$8.9K	18,600	0	+18,600	open	—	06-15 08:01
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	26	$8.7K	8,000	7,847	+153	open	—	04-18 11:54
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	2	$6.8K	6,865	0	+6,865	open	—	04-11 03:49
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	6	$6.8K	3,534	3,534	+0	open	—	04-26 04:19
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	23	$6.8K	7,400	0	+7,400	open	—	01-29 06:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	7	$6.4K	6,456	0	+6,456	open	—	04-30 09:19
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$6.0K	3,283	3,283	+0	open	—	04-15 22:44
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	2	$5.9K	3,110	3,110	+0	open	—	04-24 14:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	5	$5.9K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	04-26 04:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$5.6K	8,866	0	+8,866	open	—	05-31 15:14
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$4.7K	2,804	2,804	+0	open	—	03-06 04:33
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by february 28 2026	13	$4.4K	2,267	2,267	+0	open	—	02-25 15:33
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	2	$4.2K	2,778	2,778	+0	open	—	03-13 07:40
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$4.0K	2,217	2,217	+0	open	—	04-16 08:37
Kash Patel out by April 30?	4	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-29 03:53
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$3.5K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	03-06 04:32
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	44	$3.5K	5,909	2,689	+3,220	open	—	02-21 06:18
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	2	$3.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-03 23:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$3.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-22 02:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	5	$2.9K	2,453	4,000	-1,547	open	—	04-08 16:00
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	11	$2.9K	1,915	1,915	+0	open	—	02-05 04:57
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$2.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	03-23 16:32
will russia enter dovha balka by march 31	5	$2.4K	1,262	1,262	+0	open	—	04-01 02:15
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	28	$2.4K	0	3,315	-3,315	open	—	06-01 15:05
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	6	$2.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	04-11 00:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 23:14:00	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$30	0xa17df0…
06-15 23:12:39	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$30	0xed99ea…
06-15 08:01:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	6,251	13¢	$825	0xc90d14…
06-15 08:01:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x7b1fb6…
06-15 08:01:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	310	13¢	$41	0x74781e…
06-15 08:01:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,241	13¢	$296	0x2904fb…
06-15 08:01:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	243	13¢	$32	0x055d7d…
06-15 08:00:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	130	13¢	$17	0x545e53…
06-15 07:59:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	313	13¢	$41	0x12b24a…
06-15 07:57:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	498	13¢	$66	0xa635b2…
06-15 07:57:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5e72f8…
06-15 00:09:18	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	340	88¢	$300	0x09367f…
06-08 06:35:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	160	81¢	$130	0xfe620f…
06-07 01:18:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0xbb601d…
06-07 00:58:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,600	94¢	$1,504	0x875d5e…
06-06 15:13:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0xf91a91…
06-06 10:27:30	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	44	62¢	$27	0x91bbb9…
06-06 10:27:27	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x94a4cf…
06-06 07:58:49	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xa6c639…
06-06 07:57:25	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0x1def8e…
06-06 03:47:00	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x516dbd…
06-06 03:00:42	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	313	65¢	$204	0xd61cd8…
06-06 00:19:57	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xb7089f…
06-06 00:16:28	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	27	62¢	$17	0x29a168…
06-05 20:33:31	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf9eefe…
06-05 19:44:33	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x4b065b…
06-05 16:18:00	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	132	62¢	$82	0x757d7b…
06-05 16:14:58	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	29	62¢	$18	0x2ba273…
06-05 04:50:30	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	466	62¢	$289	0x0efc93…
06-05 04:41:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3,000	88¢	$2,640	0x1946c5…
06-03 04:26:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	87¢	$3,480	0xbb1261…
06-02 06:15:35	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x55349f…
06-01 15:15:59	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	571	70¢	$400	0x211cdf…
06-01 15:14:27	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0xb8caf1…
06-01 15:14:07	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x30b5d4…
06-01 15:05:54	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	521	73¢	$381	0xaaaff0…
06-01 08:52:06	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	96	70¢	$67	0x0a34f4…
06-01 03:53:56	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	416	71¢	$297	0xb818f2…
06-01 01:26:54	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	247	72¢	$177	0x732e9c…
05-31 15:14:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,736	99¢	$2,698	0xfd2e27…
05-31 05:48:01	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	145	72¢	$104	0x5971a5…
05-31 02:27:35	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	31	73¢	$23	0x05361b…
05-31 02:27:24	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	198	72¢	$143	0x7116e1…
05-31 01:36:48	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	134	72¢	$97	0x6642ec…
05-31 01:34:58	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x4e5850…
05-31 01:22:39	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	136	72¢	$99	0xe1e309…
05-31 01:22:30	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	112	73¢	$81	0xfe0419…
05-31 01:21:13	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	424	74¢	$313	0x37bd96…
05-30 19:06:28	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	26	78¢	$20	0xff63c0…
05-30 17:53:41	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	126	78¢	$98	0xacd0ed…
05-29 09:31:32	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	205	72¢	$148	0x31acca…
05-29 08:40:47	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	58	72¢	$42	0x0c6a84…
05-29 08:40:37	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	137	72¢	$98	0x16b767…
05-29 08:39:20	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xc9c444…
05-29 08:38:55	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x607316…
05-29 08:38:38	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x0fe401…
05-29 08:38:31	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x25e394…
05-29 08:38:19	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0x55e75e…
05-29 08:37:44	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	48	72¢	$35	0x879e03…
05-29 08:37:31	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xeeb9ba…
05-29 08:37:17	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$15	0x29f128…
05-29 08:37:09	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	17	72¢	$12	0xeaf5b3…
05-29 07:47:35	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x854d3f…
05-29 05:18:49	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x32716c…
05-27 19:32:27	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	Yes	SELL	401	9¢	$36	0x94777b…
05-27 19:18:19	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xd3d9d8…
05-27 18:46:15	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	Yes	SELL	917	9¢	$82	0x31176b…
05-26 03:30:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	637	73¢	$465	0xe53a92…
05-24 15:00:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,493	67¢	$1,000	0x835ccd…
05-23 23:19:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1,252	46¢	$576	0x98019b…
05-23 23:18:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	748	46¢	$345	0xc0f43b…
05-23 21:55:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	36¢	$720	0x2a0f96…
05-23 21:54:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	744	35¢	$260	0x810a66…
05-23 21:54:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	256	34¢	$88	0x2043f1…
05-23 21:50:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	34¢	$340	0x1388b5…
05-23 21:49:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	423	42¢	$178	0x272065…
05-23 21:49:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,577	42¢	$662	0x2f096c…
05-05 14:41:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	49	40¢	$20	0x0ee165…
05-05 14:35:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	204	40¢	$82	0x67296d…
05-05 14:34:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	204	40¢	$82	0x14612f…
05-05 04:34:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x55e945…
05-05 04:16:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd15230…
05-05 04:16:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x6b07ad…
05-05 03:47:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x4c90c4…
05-05 02:52:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xbb9c50…
05-04 16:15:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x95fb1b…
05-03 23:33:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	62¢	$623	0xc0e2d8…
05-03 23:32:44	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	2,000	88¢	$1,763	0x880888…
05-02 01:02:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	60¢	$600	0x1dc5b2…
05-02 00:13:36	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	2,000	85¢	$1,700	0x2c44c9…
04-30 09:19:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$97	0xfd3794…
04-30 08:54:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	210	98¢	$205	0xf380f7…
04-30 08:53:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x440a7e…
04-30 08:53:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	208	98¢	$203	0xd2f5f1…
04-30 08:49:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x444014…
04-30 02:46:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xa6b57c…
04-30 02:45:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	992	23¢	$229	0x3ba346…
04-30 01:21:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x64a07f…
04-29 23:22:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	503	44¢	$221	0x9af23d…
04-29 23:21:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x71d34d…