Parallel-Threat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

299

Trades

299

lifetime

Volume

$3.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-09 08:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 231 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$4

Politics

6% 90% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 04:52
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 04:52
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 17:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-30 06:45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-29 12:52
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-28 01:26
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-27 11:55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 25?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-25 10:40
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-24 08:55
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:40
highest temperature in busan on april 23 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:14
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 00:45
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-22 09:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 23:50
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 09:48
highest temperature in houston on april 20 2026 74 75f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 02:51
highest temperature in lucknow on april 20 2026 42c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:35
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 03:37
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 25c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:45
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 56 57f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 01:38
highest temperature in chongqing on april 18 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:25
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:36
highest temperature in chengdu on april 17 2026 29c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:38
highest temperature in san francisco on april 16 2026 66 67f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 02:00
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 16 2026 36c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:20
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:14
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 86 87f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 03:59
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 15 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 10:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 08:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x306ec9…
11-08 11:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7346d2…
11-07 02:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x990478…
11-05 16:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0e899b…
11-04 02:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x61dc68…
11-03 12:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52d818…
11-02 13:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1cdc82…
11-01 04:52:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda6ec2…
10-31 09:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d7cf9…
10-30 09:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xddf9ee…
10-29 17:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa891ca…
10-29 08:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54369e…
10-28 05:05:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc60a68…
10-27 08:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x811203…
10-26 08:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44f7ca…
10-24 09:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95ce7b…
10-22 10:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x924384…
10-20 04:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb87be…
10-19 08:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x140091…
10-18 08:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13828d…
10-17 08:15:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd39425…
10-16 08:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x804ca4…
10-15 08:52:41	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24ec24…
10-14 08:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a1530…
10-13 08:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8acb70…
10-12 07:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef8982…
10-11 07:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7068fb…
10-08 07:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x181615…
10-07 13:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd610fd…
10-06 07:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b8354…
10-04 10:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb5bbb…
10-03 05:37:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x835648…
10-02 07:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63f012…
10-01 08:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2e593…
09-30 11:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4d5c4…
09-29 09:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6640e…
09-28 09:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa48374…
09-27 08:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95a6c7…
09-25 08:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8e312…
09-24 08:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc936b…
09-23 05:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e5864…
09-22 07:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68bcd7…
09-21 08:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf55ce7…
09-20 05:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc318e7…
09-19 07:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1d34e…
09-18 01:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2b039…
09-17 03:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8dc87c…
09-16 07:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x743180…
09-15 08:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9bc907…
09-14 07:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa67e3e…
09-13 09:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98ceb8…
09-12 10:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd35f89…
09-11 07:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a0626…
09-10 02:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5295e…
09-09 01:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x118641…
09-08 01:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc408b…
09-07 03:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4dc1e1…
09-06 17:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e693f…
09-06 08:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8620e…
09-05 09:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70c6cc…
09-04 08:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x705bf2…
09-03 08:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84bfb1…
09-01 01:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdbc6c8…
08-30 07:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63c199…
08-29 06:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd41592…
08-28 06:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda8f78…
08-27 06:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed3e03…
08-26 08:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac082b…
08-25 06:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf1ae9…
08-24 09:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2dc471…
08-23 08:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56544b…
08-22 07:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27e0f4…
08-21 03:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b23d6…
08-20 08:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8fcf97…
08-19 08:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c9da2…
08-18 04:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x343043…
08-17 07:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7e448…
08-16 10:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe2020…
08-15 08:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83aa97…
08-14 06:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfcaaeb…
08-13 07:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2166d4…
08-12 07:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87f5a4…
08-11 00:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc04cc6…
08-10 00:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa91a08…
08-09 01:10:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f695d…
08-08 07:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9df34a…
08-07 00:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d5a63…
08-06 00:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d2285…
08-05 07:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc26138…
08-04 07:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C or higher on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01c4fd…
08-03 01:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ba89f…
08-02 01:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf95efe…
08-01 00:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab78e7…
07-31 07:45:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0aa09…
07-30 01:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6056c3…
07-29 05:58:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58b70f…
07-28 05:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37b0ef…
07-27 07:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x418943…
07-26 06:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52f834…
07-25 00:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12e831…