Treasured-Guidance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.41K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

1,959

Trades

3,856

lifetime

Volume

$336.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 11-06 17:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 143 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 91% -$1,575

Other

13% 92% +$153

Sports

3% 82% +$9

Politics

0% 75% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 8am et	8	$4.3K	2,334	2,334	+0	Down	+$14	06-26 12:59
bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 6pm et	5	$3.4K	1,722	1,722	+0	Up	+$5	06-20 22:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 15:00 UTC	4	$2.9K	1,593	1,593	+0	Down	+$99	06-06 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	6	$2.5K	1,435	1,435	+0	Down	+$123	05-25 13:50
bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 9pm et	4	$2.2K	1,114	1,114	+0	Up	+$33	06-28 02:00
fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	2	$2.1K	1,055	1,055	+0	Under	+$54	06-22 00:00
bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 8pm et	3	$2.0K	1,023	1,023	+0	Up	+$8	06-28 00:58
fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	2	$2.0K	1,034	1,034	+0	Under	+$33	06-22 02:58
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	2	$2.0K	1,032	1,032	+0	Yes	+$31	06-22 00:05
bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 7am et	2	$2.0K	1,026	1,026	+0	Up	+$25	06-28 11:59
bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 12pm et	2	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	Down	+$9	06-28 16:58
Uruguay leading at halftime?	2	$2.0K	1,008	1,008	+0	Yes	+$7	06-21 22:54
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	3	$1.8K	936	936	+0	Yes	+$35	06-19 23:59
mlb sd tex 2026 06 20	3	$1.8K	917	917	+0	San Diego Padres	+$16	06-20 23:19
bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 1pm et	3	$1.8K	908	908	+0	Up	+$3	06-19 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET	5	$1.8K	1,036	1,036	+0	Down	+$7	06-14 16:58
bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 8am et	4	$1.7K	976	878	+98	Up	-$9	06-08 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET	4	$1.7K	1,177	1,177	+0	Down	+$136	06-14 02:58
bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 9am et	5	$1.7K	855	855	+0	Up	+$12	06-27 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	4	$1.7K	1,180	1,180	+0	Down	+$96	05-25 12:34
bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 9am et	5	$1.7K	839	839	+0	Down	+$8	06-24 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	4	$1.7K	918	918	+0	Down	+$51	05-25 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8AM ET	4	$1.7K	941	941	+0	Down	+$90	06-02 12:49
bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9am et	4	$1.6K	861	861	+0	Down	+$28	06-08 14:00
bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 10am et	2	$1.6K	801	801	+0	Up	+$0	06-20 14:56
bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 8am et	4	$1.6K	1,170	1,170	+0	Down	-$445	06-25 13:00
bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 10pm et	3	$1.5K	835	745	+90	Up	-$44	06-07 03:01
bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 5pm et	6	$1.5K	814	814	+0	Up	+$82	06-20 21:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:00 UTC	2	$1.5K	864	864	+0	Up	+$81	06-07 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 23:00 UTC	2	$1.5K	795	795	+0	Down	+$71	06-05 23:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 19:00:51	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x06fcaf…
11-06 18:56:22	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x83c5f8…
11-06 17:35:19	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x1c7810…
11-06 17:35:03	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x847fb3…
11-06 17:00:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x562f1c…
11-06 16:47:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xbae7d7…
11-06 11:10:54	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	120	97¢	$117	0xd34f27…
11-06 02:17:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x2b4738…
11-05 18:48:01	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0x875650…
11-05 15:28:09	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x8224b0…
11-05 15:24:31	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$92	0x20476b…
11-04 18:00:52	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0x11da5d…
11-04 16:55:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x51400b…
11-04 15:57:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0xc4b6d7…
11-04 02:14:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x858a06…
11-03 21:14:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x900b96…
11-03 21:12:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6c61d6…
11-03 21:09:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x5a2c7c…
11-03 18:48:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x7e3abf…
11-03 17:50:30	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xd73884…
11-03 17:02:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6c1d1a…
11-03 16:28:55	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x48d528…
11-03 14:24:13	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3703d3…
11-03 00:41:19	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x23593a…
11-03 00:39:15	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xf947f7…
11-03 00:37:52	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	111	92¢	$102	0xbaa2c2…
11-02 16:39:22	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0x6ca7e0…
11-02 16:24:07	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0x865b79…
11-02 14:42:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	96¢	$108	0xc25547…
11-02 01:47:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x1dd1b7…
11-01 23:16:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x2ffe4e…
11-01 22:06:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xe99d89…
11-01 22:06:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0xc86247…
11-01 22:05:46	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$107	0x6d939f…
11-01 17:03:42	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x808a88…
11-01 16:56:19	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	105	81¢	$85	0xc8250c…
10-31 21:05:51	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x7694e3…
10-31 19:27:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	105	87¢	$91	0xc9a7ca…
10-31 19:24:24	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x077031…
10-31 19:21:51	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7a328e…
10-31 19:15:07	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	106	91¢	$97	0x0f355b…
10-31 17:07:12	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x692366…
10-31 15:53:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	100¢	$107	0x278337…
10-31 14:49:01	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	98¢	$105	0x725bda…
10-31 14:32:28	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xe9c21e…
10-31 12:22:51	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0xa4aacf…
10-31 11:29:37	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x714438…
10-30 18:30:12	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	78	99¢	$78	0x998c33…
10-30 18:26:01	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x899cac…
10-30 17:07:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xcba806…
10-30 16:47:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0xe6deb9…
10-30 15:55:25	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x85ef49…
10-30 15:54:33	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x2cbbaa…
10-30 15:42:49	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0xb6f1ad…
10-30 15:24:24	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xe5a225…
10-30 15:23:57	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x6fa255…
10-30 04:16:43	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x251c26…
10-29 17:27:32	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb046f5…
10-29 16:07:07	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x7eca78…
10-29 14:32:05	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$100	0x1033a8…
10-28 16:02:22	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x57de21…
10-28 15:39:43	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xa8d75f…
10-28 14:10:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0xc236e2…
10-28 05:59:29	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xfb9ab8…
10-28 05:57:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x827997…
10-28 05:57:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x38c541…
10-28 05:57:20	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x97f902…
10-28 05:57:20	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8048e3…
10-28 05:57:20	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x2edcee…
10-27 20:56:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0xc35a4d…
10-27 16:00:48	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x4fbee2…
10-27 16:00:03	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb7bbc1…
10-27 15:54:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	96	98¢	$95	0x89a116…
10-27 12:08:20	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xde9e0f…
10-27 10:13:50	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xd4d6ac…
10-26 18:47:29	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x298ba9…
10-26 16:48:47	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc18c05…
10-26 16:43:08	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xe381c2…
10-26 16:39:05	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x183da4…
10-26 16:37:30	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe87b0e…
10-26 15:51:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0xfb1916…
10-26 15:46:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xa420b8…
10-26 15:43:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xbbc419…
10-26 15:35:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	96	97¢	$93	0x56da04…
10-26 05:58:08	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x3f5245…
10-26 01:01:29	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc26225…
10-25 11:02:29	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	92	99¢	$92	0x671362…
10-25 05:04:00	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xe119a8…
10-25 03:58:50	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf00358…
10-25 03:51:21	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfe8495…
10-25 03:30:12	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x714533…
10-25 03:26:21	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8423b7…
10-25 02:39:33	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7066cb…
10-24 18:18:41	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x0f63d1…
10-24 16:59:06	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x69dc0b…
10-24 16:49:50	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x86be25…
10-24 16:28:53	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xe58bad…
10-24 15:35:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x3dba37…
10-24 14:44:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x404702…
10-24 14:44:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x50f746…