Upset-Outlet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

Trades

250

lifetime

Volume

$366

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-12 12:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 61% $-0

Sports

2% — —

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	04-25 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-24 21:00
btc updown 5m 1777031400	2	$7	6	5	+0	open	—	04-24 11:55
btc updown 5m 1777045200	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-24 15:44
btc updown 5m 1777032600	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-24 12:15
btc updown 5m 1777030200	2	$6	5	4	+0	open	—	04-24 11:34
btc updown 5m 1777028700	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 11:08
btc updown 5m 1777021200	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 14:40
btc updown 5m 1777021500	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-24 09:09
btc updown 5m 1776976800	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-23 20:45
btc updown 5m 1776975300	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-23 20:19
btc updown 5m 1776980100	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-23 21:40
btc updown 5m 1777022700	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-24 09:30
btc updown 5m 1777006800	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 05:05
btc updown 5m 1776870600	2	$5	5	4	+0	open	—	04-22 15:15
btc updown 5m 1776975900	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-23 20:30
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	3	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	04-25 11:36
btc updown 5m 1777026900	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 10:40
btc updown 5m 1777043100	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 15:08
btc updown 5m 1776976500	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 20:39
btc updown 5m 1776978000	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 21:04
btc updown 5m 1777031100	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 11:49
btc updown 5m 1777046700	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 16:09
highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 21corhigher	3	$4	3	2	+1	open	—	04-23 16:18
btc updown 5m 1776926700	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 06:49
btc updown 5m 1776926400	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 06:44
btc updown 5m 1777029900	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 11:30
btc updown 5m 1776973200	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 11:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 12:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x57afa5…
05-12 12:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xc89412…
05-12 12:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3d74e1…
05-12 12:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x85f3ff…
05-12 12:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x630547…
05-12 12:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3c7423…
05-09 12:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe2f6a3…
05-09 12:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x74e8b0…
05-09 12:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x898877…
05-09 12:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x9d7448…
05-09 12:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2db780…
05-09 12:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x4f2dc3…
05-09 12:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd8eb6d…
05-09 12:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4abe26…
05-09 11:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x62ae5e…
05-09 11:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2c461f…
05-09 11:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3d4ee7…
05-09 11:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x057fd9…
05-09 11:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x56baef…
05-06 14:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd8a8c3…
05-06 14:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe7e991…
05-06 14:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x35d3ea…
05-06 14:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x674c13…
05-06 14:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x833708…
05-06 14:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8fa867…
05-06 14:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc746df…
05-06 14:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x71a9d1…
05-06 14:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4407b2…
05-06 14:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4b4e3a…
05-06 14:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe16191…
05-05 15:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x6a6598…
05-05 15:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x48221a…
04-25 15:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x67b36a…
04-25 15:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf49940…
04-25 15:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd7a952…
04-25 14:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5facb7…
04-25 12:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5ce765…
04-25 12:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5f386b…
04-25 12:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3a5990…
04-25 11:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x470433…
04-25 11:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xce04e1…
04-25 11:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3f1c14…
04-25 11:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc5bc8e…
04-25 11:36:56	Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x769d15…
04-25 11:36:06	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3cbcaf…
04-25 08:12:54	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xec3f9a…
04-25 08:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcd597b…
04-25 08:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9086dd…
04-25 07:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x546a5f…
04-25 07:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x14142b…
04-25 07:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xce276d…
04-25 07:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x59add3…
04-25 07:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2ce2e6…
04-25 07:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x8d9fdd…
04-25 07:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xca4fd5…
04-25 07:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xaf517e…
04-25 07:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xca2a6f…
04-25 06:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xca53ce…
04-25 06:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9548ea…
04-25 06:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x858393…
04-25 06:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xc58b10…
04-25 06:22:12	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x80b6a0…
04-25 06:21:34	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x96b93c…
04-24 21:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x058f29…
04-24 21:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x402ce8…
04-24 21:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x73a45d…
04-24 21:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2abfac…
04-24 21:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2aaf79…
04-24 20:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xb3d35f…
04-24 20:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x20ee70…
04-24 20:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe77b88…
04-24 20:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe562d0…
04-24 20:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe4490b…
04-24 20:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7845c6…
04-24 20:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x817e45…
04-24 20:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa0c869…
04-24 20:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x31c647…
04-24 20:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x508770…
04-24 20:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb294bc…
04-24 18:17:50	btc updown 5m 1777054800	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x801791…
04-24 16:09:20	btc updown 5m 1777046700	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa242c1…
04-24 16:08:28	btc updown 5m 1777046700	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xeac8ba…
04-24 16:06:24	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xed14ed…
04-24 15:45:54	btc updown 5m 1777045500	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xf47a08…
04-24 15:44:52	btc updown 5m 1777045200	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc5a995…
04-24 15:42:36	btc updown 5m 1777045200	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xfc9a7b…
04-24 15:30:20	btc updown 5m 1777044300	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x15c8a2…
04-24 15:29:34	btc updown 5m 1777044300	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdd0f4f…
04-24 15:17:28	btc updown 5m 1777043700	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x76a846…
04-24 15:10:52	btc updown 5m 1777043400	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x60332e…
04-24 15:08:40	btc updown 5m 1777043100	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdb213a…
04-24 15:05:54	btc updown 5m 1777043100	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xde7991…
04-24 14:58:54	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x992647…
04-24 12:34:42	btc updown 5m 1777033800	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd1c426…
04-24 12:30:44	btc updown 5m 1777033800	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x31d87f…
04-24 12:18:54	btc updown 5m 1777032900	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x441c83…
04-24 12:15:14	btc updown 5m 1777032600	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8c875f…
04-24 12:13:32	btc updown 5m 1777032600	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xe3d7a1…
04-24 12:07:48	btc updown 5m 1777032300	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe1cd0b…
04-24 12:00:00	btc updown 5m 1777031700	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x221930…