Complicated-Milepost — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$40

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 07-31 22:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

78% 100% +$0

Politics

20% 86% +$0

Pop-Culture

3% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	02-28 22:40
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 120 139	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	02-28 23:23
will tucker carlson interview trump by february 28	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	02-28 23:22
will israel nuke iran by january 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-31 19:44
highest temperature in moscow on april 1 2026 12c	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-31 22:55
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on July 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	07-31 22:13
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	07-31 22:13
maduro trial scheduled by january 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-31 19:43
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 58-59°F on May 2?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-30 23:59
highest temperature in paris on april 1 2026 9c	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-31 22:58
highest temperature in moscow on april 1 2026 9c	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-31 22:54
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 20 39	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	02-28 23:24
highest temperature in beijing on april 1 2026 14c	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-31 22:56
highest temperature in beijing on april 1 2026 13c	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-31 22:56
another us bank failure by february 28	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	02-28 23:24
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on July 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	07-31 22:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 1?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-31 23:02
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on July 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	07-31 22:13
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on May 2?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-30 23:59
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on May 2?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-30 23:59
highest temperature in paris on april 1 2026 16corhigher	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-31 22:59
highest temperature in miami on april 1 2026 92forhigher	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-31 22:57
martin nowak out by february 28	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	02-28 23:23
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 1?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-31 23:02
highest temperature in miami on april 1 2026 88 89f	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-31 22:58
trumprx launched by january 31 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-31 19:44
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on July 1?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-30 22:56
highest temperature in miami on april 1 2026 73forbelow	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-31 22:57
will kanye tweet again by february 28	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	02-28 23:25
highest temperature in miami on april 1 2026 90 91f	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-31 22:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 22:13:26	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x79c83a…
07-31 22:13:18	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8b67ff…
07-31 22:13:09	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfe660f…
07-31 22:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x203bbd…
06-30 22:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on July 1?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xce230d…
06-30 22:56:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on July 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa9697d…
05-31 23:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C or higher on June 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5854ce…
05-31 23:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2fb232…
05-31 23:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8f0f2d…
04-30 23:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on May 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5b1002…
04-30 23:59:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 58-59°F on May 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x37a235…
04-30 23:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on May 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb412fa…
03-31 22:59:17	highest temperature in paris on april 1 2026 16corhigher	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7b12c0…
03-31 22:58:59	highest temperature in paris on april 1 2026 9c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc184dc…
03-31 22:58:17	highest temperature in miami on april 1 2026 88 89f	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdc982f…
03-31 22:58:05	highest temperature in miami on april 1 2026 90 91f	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3f8853…
03-31 22:57:47	highest temperature in miami on april 1 2026 92forhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfe834d…
03-31 22:57:29	highest temperature in miami on april 1 2026 73forbelow	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x82beb0…
03-31 22:56:45	highest temperature in beijing on april 1 2026 22corhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x23ae04…
03-31 22:56:17	highest temperature in beijing on april 1 2026 14c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa62b53…
03-31 22:56:01	highest temperature in beijing on april 1 2026 13c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6cd6c7…
03-31 22:55:27	highest temperature in moscow on april 1 2026 12c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x81ea57…
03-31 22:54:59	highest temperature in moscow on april 1 2026 9c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbb4894…
02-28 23:25:27	trump drops powell investigation by february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x242904…
02-28 23:25:07	will kanye tweet again by february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb57352…
02-28 23:24:47	iran strike on us military by february 28	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1ce4ac…
02-28 23:24:27	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 20 39	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2f98fd…
02-28 23:24:05	another us bank failure by february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaae26a…
02-28 23:23:49	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 120 139	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1123c0…
02-28 23:23:31	will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6adcf7…
02-28 23:23:15	martin nowak out by february 28	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe2be83…
02-28 23:22:51	will tucker carlson interview trump by february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x80c302…
02-28 23:20:39	honduras presidential election annulled by february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfe3efc…
02-28 23:20:21	trump declassifies new ufo files by february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x218fde…
02-28 22:40:19	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x67334f…
01-31 19:44:46	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf1c275…
01-31 19:44:32	will all of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2f78c3…
01-31 19:44:20	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc480b4…
01-31 19:44:10	trumprx launched by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9bbd86…
01-31 19:43:58	maduro trial scheduled by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xba8218…