Lonely-Brake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.4%

Resolved

Trades

3,304

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 05-05 22:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 41% $-28

Other

18% — —

Tech

1% — —

Politics

0% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 473 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
val ah attax 2026 04 14	17	$319	763	745	+18	open	—	04-14 18:53
val wip mdr 2026 04 13	9	$183	152	149	+3	open	—	04-13 19:06
btc updown 5m 1773606900	2	$172	87	87	+0	open	—	03-15 20:40
Valorant: Joblife vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season	10	$169	90	110	-20	open	—	04-26 00:32
val dor attax 2026 04 19	11	$166	118	116	+2	open	—	04-19 21:23
val peek ec1 2026 03 16	9	$128	90	90	+0	open	—	03-16 22:17
val nrg pr1 2026 03 14	8	$106	203	139	+64	open	—	03-14 20:02
val ns1 pr1 2026 03 15 game1	6	$96	68	68	+0	open	—	03-15 19:09
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$96	106	0	+106	open	—	04-25 21:52
val eterna bjk 2026 04 13	13	$92	103	101	+2	open	—	04-13 18:15
Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage	6	$78	128	50	+78	open	—	04-26 15:49
val wip mdr 2026 04 13 game2	4	$69	42	42	+0	open	—	04-13 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3PM ET	13	$67	102	73	+29	open	—	04-29 19:59
btc updown 5m 1773516300	4	$66	66	65	+1	open	—	03-14 19:30
btc updown 5m 1773515700	4	$64	44	30	+14	open	—	03-14 19:21
bitcoin up or down on march 22 2026	6	$63	60	59	+1	open	—	03-22 11:33
val peek fura 2026 03 18	9	$57	64	0	+64	open	—	03-18 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$50	59	0	+59	open	—	04-29 18:07
val bbl1 pcfic 2026 04 03 game1	3	$46	26	26	+0	open	—	04-03 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	8	$45	44	44	+0	open	—	05-01 21:18
eth updown 5m 1776027600	2	$44	50	0	+50	open	—	04-12 21:04
btc updown 5m 1776815400	9	$40	56	31	+25	open	—	04-21 23:55
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$37	38	0	+38	open	—	05-01 20:43
xrp updown 5m 1776027300	2	$36	45	0	+45	open	—	04-12 20:59
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha	2	$35	48	0	+48	open	—	05-01 17:29
btc updown 5m 1773607800	3	$33	44	0	+44	open	—	03-15 20:54
val nbg d1 2026 04 20	6	$32	60	0	+60	open	—	04-20 22:31
val ah dor 2026 04 21 game2	3	$32	40	0	+40	open	—	04-21 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	4	$31	45	45	+0	open	—	05-01 16:59
val pcfic gx 2026 04 08 game2	4	$30	40	39	+1	open	—	04-08 16:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc2d65b…
05-05 21:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xaeccdf…
05-05 21:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xeade04…
05-05 21:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x910e84…
05-05 20:15:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x3943ce…
05-05 20:15:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x83f60f…
05-05 17:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6f33e3…
05-05 17:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x693d78…
05-05 16:40:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x281980…
05-05 15:04:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x11b0eb…
05-05 15:04:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xad3df0…
05-05 15:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x69e90f…
05-05 14:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x94e62f…
05-05 14:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x80fe2d…
05-05 14:20:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1f6a37…
05-05 14:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xde977c…
05-05 14:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaa147d…
05-05 14:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xfcd793…
05-05 14:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x0a312f…
05-05 14:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2f3b3d…
05-05 13:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xd22950…
05-05 13:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xadb0a6…
05-05 13:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa29146…
05-05 12:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xf64178…
05-05 12:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x298085…
05-05 12:34:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x75b5b3…
05-05 10:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x74af4c…
05-05 06:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x51fd4f…
05-05 05:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x20e0be…
05-05 05:40:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x09e060…
05-05 05:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9e6d68…
05-05 02:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xad1c89…
05-04 20:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x45ac5c…
05-04 20:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf23bb1…
05-04 20:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x008b1a…
05-04 20:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x11a29f…
05-04 20:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x0e97ea…
05-04 20:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xdcb2d2…
05-04 20:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	56¢	$8	0xa92cf4…
05-04 20:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x1b9edc…
05-04 19:40:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xebe349…
05-04 18:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x8e1b12…
05-04 16:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8237ef…
05-04 16:19:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8569ca…
05-04 16:10:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xdecf2b…
05-04 16:10:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x58c56a…
05-04 16:10:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x54b849…
05-04 16:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5e217c…
05-04 15:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7b8c8b…
05-04 15:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe703df…
05-04 15:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x84b595…
05-04 15:34:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7c2a42…
05-04 15:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x27abab…
05-04 15:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xcdf328…
05-04 15:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x2e001f…
05-04 14:55:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x02d0b3…
05-04 14:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf22380…
05-04 14:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x521e28…
05-04 14:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb488fb…
05-04 14:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x254519…
05-04 14:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x62a316…
05-04 14:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7c5e2d…
05-04 13:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x099aab…
05-04 11:40:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x57b268…
05-04 11:40:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5f785e…
05-04 10:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x75df6b…
05-04 10:35:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6df183…
05-04 10:35:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x482f14…
05-04 10:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xda271f…
05-04 10:25:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x0eba82…
05-04 10:25:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x58a98c…
05-04 10:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb3ce57…
05-04 10:20:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4e3bcf…
05-04 10:05:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf687e6…
05-04 10:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x34550b…
05-04 10:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x10b4c3…
05-04 09:41:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x9e065c…
05-04 09:41:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x731414…
05-04 04:20:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x7e17b5…
05-04 04:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc4f2e2…
05-04 04:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xae384c…
05-04 03:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xfd1925…
05-04 02:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x191e55…
05-04 02:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xca4865…
05-04 02:20:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf92b15…
05-04 02:20:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xc6efe3…
05-04 02:10:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4b9141…
05-04 02:05:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xad8f22…
05-04 02:05:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x598885…
05-04 02:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xbf4fd5…
05-04 02:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x944309…
05-04 02:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd0c6d8…
05-04 02:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x92f339…
05-04 01:50:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe29258…
05-04 01:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xff6fb8…
05-04 01:34:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xfd78f9…
05-03 23:25:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2abca3…
05-03 22:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x080bbc…
05-03 22:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1c2835…
05-03 22:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb6d0f2…