Cruel-Carriage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$540

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

1,169

Trades

1,770

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-13 12:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 57% -$542

Other

5% 58% +$102

Sports

1% 0% -$100

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 15 5pm et	19	$119	102	154	-53	Down	+$25	01-15 22:22
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	1	$100	196	0	+196	No	-$100	06-24 16:28
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	515	0	+515	No	-$100	06-24 16:33
bitcoin up or down january 14 11pm et	8	$96	38	77	-40	Up	+$19	01-15 06:27
ethereum up or down on january 13	10	$91	71	71	+0	Up	+$24	01-13 17:14
bitcoin up or down january 19 3pm et	6	$90	60	60	+0	Up	+$7	01-19 21:01
bitcoin up or down on january 13	11	$76	69	69	+0	Up	+$7	01-13 17:14
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	6	$74	40	40	+0	Up	-$3	05-16 08:14
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	5	$69	40	40	+0	Up	-$3	05-16 03:14
bitcoin up or down january 13 3pm et	8	$68	55	65	-10	Up	+$3	01-13 21:03
bitcoin up or down january 14 6pm et	6	$60	35	43	-9	Up	+$11	01-14 23:54
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	1	$50	125	0	+125	Yes	+$75	07-04 17:19
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	1	$50	83	0	+83	Yes	+$33	06-24 20:21
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	1	$50	121	0	+121	No	-$50	07-13 12:38
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	1	$50	217	0	+217	No	-$50	07-06 16:49
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	1	$50	208	0	+208	No	-$50	06-24 16:30
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	1	$50	116	0	+116	Yes	+$66	07-04 17:18
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	1	$50	171	0	+171	Yes	+$121	07-13 12:38
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	1	$50	93	0	+93	No	-$50	07-04 17:19
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	1	$50	98	0	+98	Yes	+$48	07-06 16:49
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	1	$50	69	0	+69	Yes	+$19	07-04 17:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$49	50	0	+50	Up	-$49	05-19 15:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$49	50	0	+50	Down	+$1	05-18 14:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$49	50	0	+50	Up	+$1	05-18 11:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$49	50	0	+50	Up	+$1	05-16 16:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$49	50	0	+50	Up	+$1	05-16 22:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$49	50	0	+50	Down	+$1	05-16 10:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$49	50	0	+50	Down	+$1	05-17 10:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$48	50	0	+50	Down	+$2	05-16 12:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$48	50	0	+50	Up	+$2	05-17 15:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 12:38:55	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	171	29¢	$50	0x9c704e…
07-13 12:38:44	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	121	41¢	$50	0xd8a629…
07-06 16:49:10	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x860850…
07-06 16:49:01	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x72da69…
07-04 17:19:29	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x259e24…
07-04 17:19:13	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x696e78…
07-04 17:19:05	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xace6b4…
07-04 17:18:52	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x8b743f…
06-24 20:21:16	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x751515…
06-24 16:33:23	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	515	19¢	$100	0x3a655f…
06-24 16:31:29	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x7097af…
06-24 16:30:08	Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x272ca2…
06-24 16:28:49	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x6d662d…
05-22 17:43:03	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x50fa6a…
05-22 16:28:24	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x772aeb…
05-22 14:43:10	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x78da6d…
05-22 13:59:20	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x5af1d4…
05-20 18:13:01	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x123961…
05-20 17:13:02	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x2e1c59…
05-20 15:43:01	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x54853a…
05-20 11:43:04	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x009eaa…
05-20 11:13:05	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x02c863…
05-20 09:28:14	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x68965b…
05-20 09:13:05	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x758937…
05-20 06:58:03	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x72fee8…
05-20 06:13:01	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x709efe…
05-20 04:28:01	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x4a4122…
05-20 04:14:20	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x427caf…
05-20 02:58:07	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xb91a7c…
05-20 01:13:02	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xd2f4e3…
05-20 00:28:26	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x2065be…
05-19 22:58:36	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x93f369…
05-19 22:43:09	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xa79118…
05-19 21:58:02	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xe190fe…
05-19 21:44:19	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x636044…
05-19 21:28:08	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x9ecd26…
05-19 21:28:03	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x0b0a53…
05-19 21:13:15	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x66d332…
05-19 20:28:03	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x3d1ae3…
05-19 18:13:06	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xbaa305…
05-19 17:13:11	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xdf3d62…
05-19 15:58:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x1053cc…
05-19 14:43:09	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x2a5e85…
05-19 14:13:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x67f01a…
05-19 13:13:02	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x0b4578…
05-19 12:58:46	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x989796…
05-19 12:58:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x2ba16a…
05-19 10:43:17	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xd56cfe…
05-19 09:43:02	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x4acc74…
05-19 09:13:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x958ec9…
05-19 08:58:01	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0xf7bc55…
05-19 07:29:07	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x1a5dd2…
05-19 06:13:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x9e8860…
05-19 06:13:17	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x920e9f…
05-19 05:13:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xcd6583…
05-19 03:58:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0x4e863c…
05-19 03:13:02	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x13a062…
05-19 00:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xe70e0e…
05-18 23:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0x35778d…
05-18 22:13:40	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x63117a…
05-18 21:59:04	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x17f2a1…
05-18 21:28:02	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x0bcc34…
05-18 21:13:07	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe6b6bd…
05-18 21:13:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x25589f…
05-18 20:28:02	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xd05ad1…
05-18 19:28:11	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xbd7ed7…
05-18 18:58:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x538579…
05-18 18:43:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xb6a74a…
05-18 17:43:02	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x036e1e…
05-18 17:28:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xc51410…
05-18 16:43:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x653eef…
05-18 16:13:02	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x2abb5c…
05-18 15:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x43840b…
05-18 15:28:05	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xb53524…
05-18 15:28:03	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa92ce7…
05-18 14:13:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xff5c65…
05-18 14:13:02	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x2f1326…
05-18 11:58:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x48ddb3…
05-18 11:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xcbc10e…
05-18 10:43:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x6a32d5…
05-18 09:58:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x1ac9cb…
05-18 09:58:02	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xe9b4bc…
05-18 08:43:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0xfc01b0…
05-18 08:28:24	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x15df98…
05-18 07:28:02	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x164256…
05-18 07:13:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x3df758…
05-18 06:58:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xef5e26…
05-18 06:58:01	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x166e28…
05-18 06:43:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x0f2d38…
05-18 05:59:29	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xb122a4…
05-18 05:58:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x719b06…
05-18 05:13:06	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x3cd716…
05-18 04:58:03	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xdcbc41…
05-18 04:58:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xc78229…
05-18 04:13:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x311e63…
05-18 03:58:14	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xebb49f…
05-18 03:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x990e67…
05-18 02:28:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x1b4d1b…
05-18 01:43:18	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x2e0d32…
05-18 01:13:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0xe2e52a…