Spotted-Cravat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$100

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved

332

Trades

1,002

lifetime

Volume

$3.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 07-24 15:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 56% -$113

Other

29% 29% +$29

Politics

1% 0% -$12

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	3	$118	341	341	+0	No	+$26	04-06 05:41
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 2?	6	$99	66	66	+0	Yes	+$11	07-02 09:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:25 UTC	10	$75	92	92	+0	Down	+$6	06-16 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 6?	2	$65	41	41	+0	Yes	+$5	07-06 07:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:30 UTC	11	$63	132	48	+83	Up	-$5	06-16 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$53	30	30	+0	Down	+$3	05-04 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$52	27	27	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$51	27	27	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:35 UTC	11	$49	54	54	+0	Up	+$1	06-16 07:39
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 9?	2	$48	57	57	+0	Yes	+$46	07-09 06:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 07:30 UTC	9	$43	52	32	+20	Down	+$1	06-16 07:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:05 UTC	9	$39	44	29	+16	Down	-$2	06-16 09:08
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 10am et	6	$38	38	37	+1	Up	-$7	04-15 14:56
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$37	799	799	+0	Yes	-$13	04-04 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	6	$36	28	28	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 08:40 UTC	7	$34	39	39	+0	Up	+$0	06-16 08:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 06:50 UTC	6	$34	29	22	+6	Up	$0	04-23 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	10	$33	37	37	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	7	$33	73	73	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	6	$33	51	51	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 05:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 14:30 UTC	3	$33	27	18	+9	Down	-$3	04-15 14:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	3	$33	90	87	+3	No	+$1	04-04 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 08:35 UTC	9	$32	100	59	+41	Down	-$1	06-16 08:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 14:05 UTC	8	$32	49	16	+33	Down	+$3	04-22 14:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 06:40 UTC	10	$31	62	0	+62	Down	$0	04-23 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	6	$31	49	6	+44	Up	+$0	05-05 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:10 UTC	7	$30	38	38	+0	Down	+$2	06-16 09:12
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	2	$30	38	38	+0	No	-$2	04-03 13:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:15 UTC	12	$30	67	22	+45	Up	-$4	06-16 07:18
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	2	$29	100	96	+4	No	-$1	04-03 05:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 15:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x388c8f…
07-24 14:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x7265fb…
07-23 16:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x689b85…
07-23 16:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x309558…
07-17 12:35:54	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xd9c908…
07-17 05:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0c83cc…
07-17 05:18:18	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1adfee…
07-17 04:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xbc134e…
07-16 12:47:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x09a689…
07-16 12:47:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdc4123…
07-16 04:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0x654656…
07-16 04:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf49f5d…
07-16 04:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x3eba29…
07-16 04:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xae3918…
07-16 04:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x373a1a…
07-15 15:39:29	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x888ecb…
07-15 15:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb4ad6f…
07-15 15:30:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 15?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfc057d…
07-15 15:30:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 93°F or below on July 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3ffa73…
07-15 15:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc7ddbb…
07-15 15:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8cfb84…
07-15 14:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf2c165…
07-15 08:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xde9ae0…
07-15 07:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xa5d9a5…
07-15 05:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xac7f8e…
07-15 05:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x20990a…
07-15 05:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x51f225…
07-15 05:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xedc7b0…
07-15 05:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x36bf78…
07-15 05:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x87e46e…
07-15 05:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x9cf72f…
07-15 05:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x36ae96…
07-15 05:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1d8e85…
07-15 05:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x76eef2…
07-15 05:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xa22c49…
07-15 04:54:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xff2d3d…
07-15 04:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf55bce…
07-15 04:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x872a33…
07-15 04:39:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x1cfc6f…
07-14 14:39:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb24881…
07-14 11:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd0eedb…
07-14 11:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xce0b6a…
07-14 07:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x06c02e…
07-14 07:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x94b576…
07-14 07:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 14?	No	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xff5c52…
07-14 07:42:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x7fc2aa…
07-14 06:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 14?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0b860c…
07-14 06:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x104de2…
07-14 06:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5021f3…
07-14 05:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6268f3…
07-14 05:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x5c3243…
07-14 05:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x35e8ee…
07-14 05:35:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0xe35a4c…
07-14 05:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfc30ea…
07-14 05:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x445f9f…
07-14 05:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0xb2b14c…
07-14 05:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x3c1088…
07-14 05:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x9dbb95…
07-14 05:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x51624c…
07-14 03:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x78f52a…
07-14 03:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 14?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf2ada1…
07-14 03:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 14?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x165525…
07-14 03:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x605a3f…
07-14 03:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc47ff9…
07-14 03:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2848c8…
07-14 03:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc0c24d…
07-14 03:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x203c4b…
07-13 16:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x4c276d…
07-13 13:14:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1035ca…
07-13 13:14:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3d1944…
07-13 13:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0xe9a443…
07-13 08:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	28	2¢	$1	0xfa0449…
07-13 08:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3b39bc…
07-13 08:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x92e159…
07-13 06:30:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6ee163…
07-13 06:29:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf1ba8b…
07-13 06:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcfb02f…
07-13 06:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0f94fc…
07-13 06:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xff9d5a…
07-13 06:22:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe343c2…
07-13 06:22:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb71807…
07-13 06:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x005320…
07-13 06:16:26	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 13?	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x695a0e…
07-13 06:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0fe935…
07-13 06:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xc2a812…
07-13 06:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2a7838…
07-13 06:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x01fd03…
07-13 06:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb50544…
07-13 06:03:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x657db8…
07-13 06:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x89f1e5…
07-13 05:59:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x7f86c2…
07-13 05:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8c6bb5…
07-13 05:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb7e200…
07-13 05:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbfce94…
07-13 05:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 13?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x6ab777…
07-13 05:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 13?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x38be04…
07-13 05:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc3b497…
07-13 04:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 13?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xc3b5fc…
07-12 23:44:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2ad17d…
07-12 23:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x342ade…