Incompatible-Raffle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

Trades

219

lifetime

Volume

$1000

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 07-16 06:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 0% $-7

Other

34% 100% +$9

Politics

9% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775128800	2	$62	87	82	+5	open	—	04-02 11:24
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$50	43	43	+0	open	—	04-12 09:58
uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 scb	2	$35	30	29	+1	open	—	04-16 23:51
btc updown 5m 1775127000	1	$30	150	0	+150	open	—	04-02 10:52
btc updown 5m 1775163000	2	$28	21	20	+1	open	—	04-02 20:53
tsla up or down on april 13 2026	2	$28	24	23	+1	open	—	04-14 00:48
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	2	$23	28	28	+0	Yes	+$9	04-07 23:19
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	06-11 18:49
btc updown 5m 1775128500	1	$20	198	0	+198	open	—	04-02 11:16
btc updown 5m 1775162400	1	$20	59	0	+59	open	—	04-02 20:40
btc updown 5m 1775127900	1	$20	111	0	+111	open	—	04-02 11:05
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	1	$20	69	0	+69	open	—	04-13 05:28
btc updown 5m 1775130300	1	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	04-02 11:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	1	$15	75	0	+75	open	—	04-05 11:33
btc updown 5m 1775618100	2	$14	13	13	+1	open	—	04-08 03:20
btc updown 5m 1775426400	2	$13	12	11	+1	open	—	04-05 22:01
btc updown 5m 1775129400	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-02 11:34
btc updown 5m 1775534100	2	$12	20	19	+1	open	—	04-07 03:59
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?	3	$12	33	33	+0	open	—	04-17 12:02
btc updown 5m 1775164200	1	$11	25	0	+25	open	—	04-02 21:10
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	1	$11	31	0	+31	open	—	04-27 19:10
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	1	$11	42	0	+42	open	—	04-14 05:40
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 3	1	$11	122	0	+122	open	—	04-03 03:51
btc updown 5m 1775161500	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-02 20:26
btc updown 5m 1775173800	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	04-02 23:51
bitcoin above 70k on april 6	1	$10	36	0	+36	open	—	04-06 00:31
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	37	0	+37	open	—	04-07 02:01
btc updown 5m 1775128200	1	$10	37	0	+37	open	—	04-02 11:11
btc updown 5m 1775163900	1	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	04-02 21:06
btc updown 5m 1775184900	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	04-03 02:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 06:05:20	will lionel messi score 11 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232523891	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0xb09ee2…
07-14 19:14:31	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x205da5…
07-14 19:13:50	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x2e247d…
07-12 18:47:23	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x30d590…
07-12 18:43:38	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0xc18aa4…
07-08 19:09:38	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x9b369c…
07-03 11:12:17	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x7ce950…
07-02 18:45:38	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6c4bf1…
07-02 18:44:01	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xe9c678…
07-02 18:39:25	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Austria	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x2ddcd2…
07-01 18:52:23	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xb3ac69…
07-01 09:07:52	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals jude bellingham gte2	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xae3ca2…
06-30 19:24:02	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x311420…
06-30 18:13:34	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x2c79c6…
06-30 18:09:50	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa494d6…
06-28 08:50:26	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals ayase ueda gte2	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x919eaa…
06-28 08:49:40	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xdff352…
06-28 08:48:35	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x477ab0…
06-28 03:22:53	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x610bc7…
06-27 21:12:55	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xb03f1f…
06-27 10:50:31	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lautaro martinez gte3	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0d2f40…
06-27 10:40:37	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x46c0b6…
06-27 10:24:58	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x02d350…
06-27 10:17:55	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x868533…
06-26 08:21:04	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals erling haaland gte3	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0xfaab7e…
06-25 18:51:35	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x29aa5c…
06-25 18:50:05	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x0af47e…
06-25 18:36:49	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xe46cc1…
06-24 19:04:40	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc196de…
06-24 19:03:23	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x85f315…
06-24 19:02:25	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x07ad18…
06-24 18:49:19	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 goals ermedin demirovic gte2	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xcf0c93…
06-24 18:48:43	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 goals esmir bajraktarevic gte2	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xea1242…
06-24 18:47:26	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb38ae4…
06-24 18:44:58	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 goals breel embolo gte2	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x448683…
06-24 18:40:49	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xc5b626…
06-22 07:25:38	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xe340a2…
06-22 07:09:52	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x006fbb…
06-21 18:50:13	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf8ecdb…
06-21 18:34:37	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x076189…
06-20 10:17:41	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x5ae465…
06-20 10:16:34	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xf94e30…
06-20 10:15:37	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0xc4465a…
06-19 21:20:59	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xd5a7e3…
06-19 10:20:29	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x182ed9…
06-19 09:51:07	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0xc24a07…
06-19 00:51:28	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	75	2¢	$2	0xeafd80…
06-18 18:35:34	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3069ed…
06-17 08:26:56	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xcd5b63…
06-16 18:52:46	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xb55125…
06-16 18:36:41	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x7f0787…
06-15 07:27:49	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x9a502c…
06-15 07:25:51	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x9f8885…
06-11 18:49:45	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x997b9f…
05-31 12:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3359f7…
05-29 20:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x90dc93…
05-29 20:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xa6ba10…
05-29 20:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x6fd533…
05-29 20:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x0a9f76…
05-29 20:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x166cd5…
05-29 11:50:56	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x3ae8c3…
05-28 18:40:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x243aaf…
05-28 09:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x1785bc…
05-28 09:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xda9ad4…
05-28 09:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x7a19d0…
05-25 11:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc67138…
05-25 09:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x94cfc2…
05-25 09:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x5d44fd…
05-25 09:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x8c16b9…
05-25 09:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0xd5cc9c…
05-25 09:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x50410d…
05-20 18:39:16	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	76	3¢	$2	0x9363c1…
05-20 08:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8492f0…
05-19 13:25:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x6cfe12…
05-19 09:44:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x501216…
05-18 16:30:11	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x36a65e…
05-18 13:39:37	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x8cff18…
05-18 13:32:56	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x017c68…
05-18 10:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xe403b0…
05-18 10:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x09c251…
05-18 10:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x29f288…
05-18 10:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x5e51cb…
05-16 12:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x62f48b…
05-16 12:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8b51a5…
05-16 12:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x255154…
05-16 04:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8e0f6c…
05-16 03:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x21aa26…
05-09 14:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xabd350…
05-09 14:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0x5c93d3…
05-08 05:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4545b4…
04-27 19:10:50	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0xbdb815…
04-22 09:47:38	btc updown 5m 1776851100	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x348dec…
04-17 21:59:20	sea sas com 2026 04 17 sas	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xee2841…
04-17 12:36:08	btc updown 5m 1776429300	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe62e1c…
04-17 12:02:46	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x6cbc2a…
04-17 11:58:10	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	SELL	28	21¢	$6	0xc123f9…
04-17 00:06:46	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 cel	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x99ec74…
04-17 00:05:46	lal rea ala 2026 04 21 ala	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x01d1fc…
04-16 23:59:54	sea nap laz 2026 04 18 laz	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x82c93c…
04-16 23:57:38	sea int cag 2026 04 17 cag	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x76532d…