Stale-Dad-Cuckoo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

5,076

Trades

6,044

lifetime

Volume

$6.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 11-05 03:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 231 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 77% -$25

Sports

1% 33% +$7

Other

0% 53% -$4

Politics

0% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will la mudanza be played first at the super bowl halftime show	5	$32	140	105	+35	No	+$10	02-08 18:52
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	1	$11	360	0	+360	Yes	-$11	02-03 06:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 08:30 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	03-05 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 09:30 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	03-06 09:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 07:40 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	03-03 07:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 10:15 UTC	2	$8	308	0	+308	Down	-$8	02-04 10:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 14:15 UTC	3	$7	8	3	+5	Up	-$2	02-05 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$5	11-02 07:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 15:15 UTC	4	$7	5	5	+0	Down	-$1	02-05 15:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:45 UTC	4	$6	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	09-20 05:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC	4	$6	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	10-15 01:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 06:55 UTC	2	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$4	09-20 06:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 09:10 UTC	3	$6	5	4	+1	Up	+$3	07-30 09:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:40 UTC	2	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$4	10-15 03:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:30 UTC	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	02-04 07:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 18:45 UTC	5	$5	7	1	+6	Down	+$1	02-06 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	10-29 04:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$5	41	41	+0	Down	-$3	10-29 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	5	$5	6	5	+1	Down	+$0	10-29 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-28 01:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 06:25 UTC	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	06-30 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$5	7	7	+0	Up	+$3	10-29 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$5	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	10-30 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	10-09 04:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 12:30 UTC	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	-$5	02-04 12:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 06:15 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	02-04 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	10-24 03:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:10 UTC	4	$5	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	10-15 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$5	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	10-29 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$5	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	10-23 18:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 03:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf813fd…
11-05 03:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3a714e…
11-05 03:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x332194…
11-05 03:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6669e0…
11-05 03:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4627d6…
11-05 03:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcfaa48…
11-05 02:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x6f4e68…
11-05 02:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8495f9…
11-05 02:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x891df2…
11-05 02:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb561ca…
11-05 02:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbbbaa3…
11-04 17:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xf9f0d6…
11-04 17:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe5805d…
11-04 16:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x4f601e…
11-04 16:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd1cc6c…
11-04 16:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x3f8555…
11-04 16:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1c9ad1…
11-04 16:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x62f9f1…
11-04 16:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x570c76…
11-04 06:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x76b225…
11-04 06:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbd3dfe…
11-04 06:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xbb9053…
11-04 06:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x032797…
11-04 04:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x159c7f…
11-04 04:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfa94b2…
11-04 04:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0xa8ef79…
11-04 04:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5d28b8…
11-04 04:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xb49dd6…
11-04 04:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3b9b87…
11-04 04:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5965d3…
11-04 02:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xbe53ef…
11-04 02:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7b4c08…
11-04 02:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x641053…
11-04 01:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa6688b…
11-04 01:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x68a508…
11-04 01:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x876bf4…
11-04 01:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfb473b…
11-04 01:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0xaeae8e…
11-04 01:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa7ef4f…
11-03 17:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x41da3e…
11-03 17:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x82df1a…
11-03 17:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xf1145f…
11-03 17:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd98ea4…
11-03 16:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x19e92d…
11-03 05:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7cf651…
11-03 05:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x50c1b6…
11-03 05:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xec3737…
11-03 05:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x8380c0…
11-03 05:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x71362a…
11-03 05:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xb42104…
11-03 05:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5e66e4…
11-03 05:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfb8f68…
11-03 05:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0x452e11…
11-03 05:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x082b1f…
11-03 05:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2204cf…
11-03 05:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xc07bd9…
11-03 05:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xfbb325…
11-03 04:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcea2bc…
11-03 04:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb8c5d1…
11-03 04:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0cdbae…
11-02 17:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf30298…
11-02 17:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x13220f…
11-02 17:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xba99ff…
11-02 17:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc43b81…
11-02 17:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x92c2aa…
11-02 17:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf390d4…
11-02 17:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x416eaa…
11-02 17:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7fd76e…
11-02 17:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6c16cf…
11-02 17:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x1c5c0f…
11-02 17:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0d129c…
11-02 17:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x38eb6f…
11-02 17:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1dc76b…
11-02 16:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0xa47959…
11-02 16:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd3ff1d…
11-02 16:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x0de6c2…
11-02 16:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd4472a…
11-02 16:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x7c276a…
11-02 16:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9a18c2…
11-02 16:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7756c3…
11-02 16:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb16d2a…
11-02 16:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x66e46b…
11-02 16:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x671774…
11-02 07:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	40¢	$1	0xe1623e…
11-02 07:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x31edf0…
11-02 07:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xc6eb5e…
11-02 07:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa39bb3…
11-02 07:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7d8196…
11-02 07:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x312b6f…
11-02 07:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x3c02b8…
11-02 07:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x916801…
11-02 07:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x9c2159…
11-02 07:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa0e24b…
11-02 07:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x562448…
11-02 07:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5cf108…
11-02 06:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x0e8ee9…
11-02 06:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf8b5cb…
11-02 06:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x80720f…
11-02 06:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x185d04…
11-02 06:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7f676b…