Closed-Nexus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$56

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.7%

Resolved

703

Trades

1,398

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 10-14 09:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

97% 91% -$44

Crypto

2% 82% -$9

Politics

1% 82% -$4

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	7	$187	131	131	+0	No	+$2	07-20 17:45
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	7	$169	107	107	+0	No	+$10	07-08 16:41
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	3	$130	71	71	+0	No	+$8	08-13 17:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	8	$94	65	65	+0	No	+$5	06-26 13:47
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	3	$94	56	56	+0	No	+$11	06-28 16:44
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 26?	5	$80	41	41	+0	Yes	+$1	08-26 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 13?	3	$61	45	23	+22	No	-$28	10-13 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 11?	2	$58	34	34	+0	Yes	+$10	08-11 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 10?	3	$58	35	35	+0	Yes	+$8	08-10 11:38
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 12?	2	$56	32	32	+0	Yes	+$8	08-12 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 7?	2	$55	32	32	+0	Yes	+$9	08-08 03:27
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 10?	2	$53	31	31	+0	Yes	+$6	08-10 17:52
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 29?	4	$52	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	09-29 10:50
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 11?	3	$51	28	28	+0	Yes	+$4	08-11 17:30
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 26?	2	$46	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	08-26 16:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$46	27	27	+0	No	+$1	05-26 15:32
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 26?	3	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	09-26 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 26?	2	$45	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	09-26 11:13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13?	2	$45	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	10-13 08:41
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 12?	4	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	10-12 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 26?	2	$45	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	08-26 13:35
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 13?	3	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	10-13 07:24
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 25?	2	$45	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	09-25 16:41
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?	3	$45	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	10-13 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 26?	3	$45	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	08-26 12:57
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 25?	4	$45	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	09-25 15:55
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 13?	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	10-13 05:13
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 12?	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	10-12 19:15
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 13?	3	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	10-13 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?	2	$44	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	10-12 17:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 09:27:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xf1dcbe…
10-13 09:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 13?	No	SELL	23	71¢	$16	0xdf5142…
10-13 09:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xf41556…
10-13 08:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 13?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xbf30e1…
10-13 08:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 13?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1f2ce3…
10-13 08:46:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 13?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0x7f41fc…
10-13 08:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 13?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xbe6377…
10-13 08:41:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x1f13c2…
10-13 08:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on October 13?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xb2d1b1…
10-13 08:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on October 13?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x192282…
10-13 08:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 13?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x89e27d…
10-13 07:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0x676d17…
10-13 07:24:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 13?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x65a509…
10-13 06:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 13?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0x2c56f8…
10-13 06:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x0e713e…
10-13 06:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa2d580…
10-13 06:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xab3463…
10-13 05:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x60dd51…
10-13 05:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 13?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x5b47d2…
10-13 04:11:35	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 13?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x9db8df…
10-13 04:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 13?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0xd419e1…
10-12 19:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 12?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xb31bbf…
10-12 18:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 12?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xc226c3…
10-12 18:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 12?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x77a40e…
10-12 17:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 12?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x9d452b…
10-12 17:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xb3fc6d…
10-12 16:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 12?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x99dfc6…
10-12 15:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 12?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x8c8862…
10-12 15:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x4059df…
10-12 15:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 12?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x835669…
10-12 15:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 12?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc381ee…
10-12 15:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 12?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xe58ff2…
10-12 14:57:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x390013…
10-12 14:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 12?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x5b8228…
10-12 14:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x9c997a…
10-12 14:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 12?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0x304970…
10-12 13:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x0922c2…
10-12 11:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 12?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x457b90…
10-12 10:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 12?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xff585b…
10-12 09:39:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 12?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xde7414…
10-12 09:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6ed704…
10-12 09:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 12?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xee0dc3…
10-12 09:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 12?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$2	0xefcf03…
10-12 09:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 12?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x9dda56…
10-12 09:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xe56cc2…
10-12 08:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x332e84…
10-12 08:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb83f78…
10-12 08:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 12?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7d10b3…
10-12 08:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x97fd58…
10-12 08:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x773aeb…
10-12 08:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 12?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xca1771…
10-12 08:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 12?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x6f656a…
10-12 07:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x268bcb…
10-12 07:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 12?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x63b929…
10-12 07:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 12?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0x666b9a…
10-12 05:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcb1ca2…
10-12 04:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 12?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x352132…
10-12 03:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 11?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf4fc13…
10-11 19:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 11?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x30acae…
10-11 18:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 11?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xb07e4a…
10-11 17:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 11?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xcd5471…
10-11 17:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 11?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb66de9…
10-11 16:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 11?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9fc460…
10-11 16:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 11?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc00a8f…
10-11 16:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 11?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x643092…
10-11 16:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 11?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x3c4c74…
10-11 16:07:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 11?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x64252e…
10-11 15:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 11?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x407bf2…
10-11 15:20:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 11?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4d2349…
10-11 15:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 11?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xbd966d…
10-11 15:00:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 11?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc44768…
10-11 14:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xccb64e…
10-11 14:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xaedfec…
10-11 14:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 11?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xa8e5a9…
10-11 14:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 11?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x732b74…
10-11 14:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 11?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x97a9c2…
10-11 14:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 11?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x804393…
10-11 13:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 11?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xf7ad1b…
10-11 13:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x049134…
10-11 13:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 11?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xd08700…
10-11 12:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0xc6109c…
10-11 12:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on October 11?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbe31b2…
10-11 12:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on October 11?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc01d38…
10-11 11:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on October 11?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xcfe8af…
10-11 11:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on October 11?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7d9cd9…
10-11 11:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on October 11?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0xb0611e…
10-11 11:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on October 11?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf41ae6…
10-11 11:38:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on October 11?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe65b65…
10-11 11:30:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 11?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x39dc88…
10-11 09:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 11?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x93e863…
10-11 09:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 11?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xc189e8…
10-11 09:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 11?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x6b66f9…
10-11 08:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on October 11?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0x1892b1…
10-11 08:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x90bb44…
10-11 08:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x757fe4…
10-11 08:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xed687b…
10-11 08:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x26297b…
10-11 08:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x54f412…
10-11 07:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x525a54…
10-11 07:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xfbfa8c…