Hard-To-Find-Tube — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

117

Trades

195

lifetime

Volume

$1.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-07 05:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 55% -$13

Other

12% 33% +$13

Politics

1% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$101	126	0	+126	Down	-$8	05-07 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$98	118	0	+118	Up	-$98	05-07 05:54
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	2	$76	54	54	+0	No	+$32	05-06 22:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 26?	5	$69	52	50	+2	No	+$12	04-26 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$52	72	0	+72	Up	+$5	04-29 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$50	52	0	+52	Up	+$2	04-29 07:32
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	3	$49	35	34	+1	No	-$1	04-26 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$45	51	0	+51	Down	+$6	04-29 08:06
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	2	$40	29	29	+0	Yes	+$17	05-03 16:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 29?	2	$33	19	19	+0	No	+$4	04-29 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	4	$32	56	22	+34	Up	-$8	05-07 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$30	102	0	+102	Down	+$72	04-29 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$30	91	0	+91	Down	-$30	05-07 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	04-29 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$27	43	0	+43	Up	+$1	04-26 14:22
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	1	$25	109	0	+109	No	-$25	05-06 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$24	44	0	+44	Down	+$6	04-26 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$24	30	0	+30	Down	+$6	04-26 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$23	23	16	+7	Up	+$3	05-01 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$22	25	0	+25	Up	+$3	04-26 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	5	$21	30	10	+20	Up	-$4	04-26 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$20	38	0	+38	Up	+$8	04-29 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$20	61	0	+61	Up	-$20	04-26 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$20	28	0	+28	Down	-$20	04-29 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$20	28	0	+28	Down	+$8	04-29 11:28
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$20	18	10	+8	Down	$0	04-26 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$18	35	0	+35	Up	+$11	04-26 14:29
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$17	6,000	6,000	+0	No	-$5	04-27 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$16	27	0	+27	Up	+$12	04-27 12:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29?	1	$15	20	0	+20	No	-$15	04-29 12:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 05:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x30acdc…
05-07 05:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	106	84¢	$88	0x069417…
05-07 05:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0xa8342c…
05-07 05:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0xfed7b9…
05-07 05:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	42¢	$12	0x5ce0d5…
05-07 05:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x191753…
05-07 05:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	22	38¢	$8	0xf9097a…
05-07 05:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x51f3a8…
05-07 05:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x652258…
05-07 05:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xc1130a…
05-07 05:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x086006…
05-07 05:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x8308a3…
05-06 22:41:40	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x3c5e36…
05-06 18:31:35	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	No	BUY	54	41¢	$22	0x2182f4…
05-06 18:30:20	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x9b3856…
05-04 09:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x438314…
05-04 09:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x65c3bb…
05-04 09:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x0bd602…
05-04 09:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xf5f2de…
05-04 09:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0x5d5fd9…
05-04 09:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x09994e…
05-04 08:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x9ae6dc…
05-04 08:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x4baccf…
05-04 08:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x7cfdd4…
05-04 08:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x611b96…
05-04 05:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8d162d…
05-04 05:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xb6b035…
05-04 05:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x55ed82…
05-04 05:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xa13c73…
05-04 04:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x5529a0…
05-04 04:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x28084f…
05-04 04:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x09df9a…
05-04 04:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xb349d2…
05-04 04:13:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x0c0a65…
05-04 04:13:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x167762…
05-03 16:27:50	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xaa9efb…
05-03 14:21:46	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	29	40¢	$12	0x10fc13…
05-02 15:55:32	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xad4f83…
05-02 15:55:18	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0xbf6c7e…
05-02 15:54:08	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xb3f0e9…
05-01 05:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x0ce4eb…
05-01 05:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	16	79¢	$13	0x55aea5…
05-01 05:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa14ac4…
05-01 05:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x625dbb…
05-01 05:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x0bc628…
05-01 05:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x83f9d8…
05-01 05:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x90e4a9…
04-30 09:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x15e9f7…
04-30 09:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x49f9ea…
04-30 09:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x0da899…
04-30 09:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xdba717…
04-30 08:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x9face4…
04-30 08:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xbaff55…
04-30 08:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x4ca1ac…
04-29 16:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa29146…
04-29 16:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x2b420f…
04-29 16:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x4e8b3c…
04-29 16:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x74e7de…
04-29 16:07:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 29?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0xc47de5…
04-29 16:03:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x53cfff…
04-29 12:07:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xf30375…
04-29 12:07:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x39c605…
04-29 12:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd58f8b…
04-29 11:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	102	30¢	$30	0x790ee3…
04-29 11:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xe21d85…
04-29 11:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x50ab6a…
04-29 11:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x58bfd2…
04-29 11:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4fd6b8…
04-29 11:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x931c0a…
04-29 11:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x3e1f06…
04-29 11:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xaa598f…
04-29 11:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xf43281…
04-29 11:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x27f7c7…
04-29 11:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0e48e7…
04-29 11:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x43c9c1…
04-29 08:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	51	88¢	$45	0x30905e…
04-29 08:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x85b19d…
04-29 08:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xc68b8f…
04-29 07:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1777b8…
04-29 07:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3a3392…
04-29 07:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x58fa26…
04-29 07:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x1c6f09…
04-29 07:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x763c9e…
04-29 07:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x731ef5…
04-29 07:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x7cb531…
04-29 07:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x342603…
04-29 07:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x98fd48…
04-29 07:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x404691…
04-29 07:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x877895…
04-29 07:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf5659f…
04-27 12:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x8a396c…
04-27 12:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x7e0209…
04-27 12:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe6ccf9…
04-27 12:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x818d48…
04-27 12:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x8d2355…
04-27 12:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	27	58¢	$16	0xf6d3bc…
04-27 12:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x554bf7…
04-27 12:03:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xccaddd…
04-27 12:02:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x2d061f…
04-27 11:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xeb47c1…