Musty-Confidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-10 12:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

100% 38% $-23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	6	$148	100	100	+0	open	—	05-01 00:21
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$80	107	107	+0	open	—	05-16 01:28
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	2	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	05-22 02:44
nba nyk atl 2026 04 23 total 216pt5	2	$59	40	39	+1	open	—	04-24 01:47
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)	2	$55	40	39	+1	open	—	04-28 05:12
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$50	143	0	+143	open	—	05-06 13:15
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	2	$42	40	39	+1	open	—	04-27 14:17
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	2	$40	60	60	+0	open	—	04-30 03:54
Celtics vs. 76ers	2	$37	27	27	+0	open	—	05-01 02:20
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5	2	$30	40	40	+0	open	—	04-29 23:56
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	1	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	05-27 05:09
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$25	75	0	+75	Pistons	$-25	05-06 00:32
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	1	$22	40	0	+40	Timberwolves	+$18	05-04 17:35
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	1	$21	40	0	+40	open	—	04-26 14:04
1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	1	$21	40	0	+40	open	—	04-27 14:20
Pistons vs. Magic	1	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	05-01 16:25
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	05-03 18:07
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-28 05:35
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	05-20 08:35
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-28 05:38
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 215pt5	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	06-05 09:30
nba nyk atl 2026 04 23 spread away 1pt5	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-23 13:00
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	05-03 18:06
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	06-02 08:48
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	1	$20	40	0	+40	Knicks	+$20	05-04 17:25
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	1	$20	39	0	+39	Under	$-20	05-06 13:39
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 225pt5	1	$20	71	0	+71	open	—	06-07 12:16
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)	1	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	04-29 13:02
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 5pt5	1	$20	51	0	+51	open	—	06-08 11:42
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	1	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	06-07 12:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 12:11:48	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 216pt5	Over	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe62ba2…
06-10 12:04:13	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 1h spread home 0pt5	Knicks	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0x964502…
06-09 12:46:51	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread home 10pt5	Knicks	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x1666d9…
06-08 11:42:06	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 5pt5	Knicks	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xb22759…
06-07 12:16:49	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 225pt5	Over	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xe9fecf…
06-07 12:14:40	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	Knicks	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xdeb8c7…
06-05 09:30:52	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 215pt5	Over	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x86514b…
06-02 08:48:39	Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	Over	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x9a3b4e…
05-27 05:09:09	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x5d5935…
05-25 04:19:30	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x6dbd73…
05-23 02:20:15	Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	Spurs	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xe424b1…
05-22 02:44:37	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Knicks	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xf7dfb9…
05-21 10:15:40	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Knicks	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xfd2125…
05-20 08:35:38	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Thunder	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x55c3b0…
05-16 01:28:26	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavs	SELL	107	39¢	$42	0xbd28b2…
05-07 16:05:20	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xea0420…
05-06 13:44:04	Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	36	47¢	$17	0xb972d7…
05-06 13:40:46	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Knicks	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xf81c44…
05-06 13:39:58	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xfde839…
05-06 13:35:18	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x0cd38d…
05-06 13:31:38	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavs	BUY	107	36¢	$39	0x112123…
05-06 13:15:24	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Wolves	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x94a38f…
05-06 00:32:32	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x050fbe…
05-05 15:20:00	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x92717f…
05-04 17:35:34	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x56ffe2…
05-04 17:25:28	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x1c195e…
05-04 17:25:12	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Knicks	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x784939…
05-03 18:07:46	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xd3c3d5…
05-03 18:06:44	Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	Pistons	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x5235f4…
05-01 16:59:22	Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x976724…
05-01 16:31:36	Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5	Over	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xb1c930…
05-01 16:25:46	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xe0a9cb…
05-01 02:20:16	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xea76c8…
05-01 00:28:18	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0xd1e835…
05-01 00:26:42	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0xea9903…
05-01 00:21:30	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Knicks	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x1a73d8…
04-30 21:01:30	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Knicks	BUY	55	49¢	$27	0x6c7085…
04-30 11:47:00	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Knicks	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xa8a267…
04-30 11:46:38	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Knicks	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xa3db52…
04-30 11:46:28	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Knicks	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfad848…
04-30 04:55:14	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Knicks	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf685e4…
04-30 04:01:50	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x419edd…
04-30 03:54:52	Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Lakers	SELL	60	18¢	$11	0x6c021b…
04-30 02:18:42	Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Lakers	BUY	60	48¢	$29	0xc8cb74…
04-29 23:56:02	Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5	Under	SELL	40	24¢	$10	0x45a9ca…
04-29 13:22:34	Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5	Under	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x7dac93…
04-29 13:02:42	Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x7ab23a…
04-29 00:16:28	Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	Spurs	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x5bcb9a…
04-28 05:38:38	76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5	Over	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc04706…
04-28 05:35:56	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Knicks	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xcb9e99…
04-28 05:12:32	Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)	Nuggets	SELL	39	91¢	$36	0x882742…
04-27 14:20:10	1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Thunder	BUY	40	51¢	$21	0xf4b8f4…
04-27 14:17:02	Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	Suns	SELL	39	52¢	$21	0xf33b89…
04-27 14:08:12	Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5	Under	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0xb02b20…
04-27 12:56:22	Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)	Nuggets	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xa7e8a0…
04-27 12:54:18	Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	Suns	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x12b17a…
04-27 12:33:26	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0xc099bd…
04-26 14:13:06	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Lakers	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x404a70…
04-26 14:04:38	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x564d3c…
04-26 14:01:26	Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xcc659e…
04-26 02:06:36	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x379d63…
04-26 02:02:04	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	34	20¢	$7	0xadc9c7…
04-26 01:39:36	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	34	35¢	$12	0xc155fb…
04-24 17:31:20	Spread: Rockets (-9.5)	Lakers	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xea496b…
04-24 17:29:16	1H Spread: Celtics (-3.5)	Celtics	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x84b669…
04-24 01:47:50	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23 total 216pt5	Over	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x1eb0f2…
04-24 01:26:36	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	Knicks	BUY	44	27¢	$12	0x3c9388…
04-23 13:00:28	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23 spread away 1pt5	Knicks	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x69705c…
04-23 12:54:38	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23 total 216pt5	Over	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x503f1d…