Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$654

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.2%

Resolved

233

Trades

886

lifetime

Volume

$9.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-25

last 08-26 22:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

49% 37% -$241

Politics

45% 31% -$329

Tech

6% 24% -$85

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	25	$360	446	446	+0	Yes	-$1	08-17 15:10
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	20	$293	226	226	+0	No	-$4	08-21 07:24
us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	20	$242	207	207	+0	No	-$5	08-17 05:05
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	9	$198	173	173	+0	Yes	-$2	08-16 07:18
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?	12	$196	177	177	+0	No	+$28	08-17 15:10
us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	14	$163	232	232	+0	No	-$15	08-17 15:11
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	13	$150	245	245	+0	No	+$4	08-13 23:55
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	23	$142	1,508	1,508	+0	No	-$35	08-20 23:57
will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	13	$141	91	91	+0	No	-$1	08-10 20:10
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	14	$139	122	122	+0	No	+$24	07-12 18:50
us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	17	$130	88	88	+0	No	$0	08-17 10:15
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	16	$126	112	112	+0	Yes	-$5	08-17 15:10
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	13	$126	236	236	+0	No	+$5	08-13 03:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	9	$119	191	191	+0	No	-$3	08-17 10:15
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	12	$117	130	130	+0	No	+$12	07-23 19:21
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	6	$109	74	74	+0	No	-$4	08-07 15:32
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	14	$108	1,643	975	+668	Yes	-$24	08-12 12:41
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	12	$107	206	206	+0	Yes	-$7	08-17 05:05
will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	2	$106	79	79	+0	No	+$16	08-08 22:00
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	8	$101	191	191	+0	No	+$1	08-10 19:30
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	14	$97	3,295	2,795	+500	No	-$17	08-14 07:30
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?	11	$96	615	615	+0	No	-$14	08-15 01:25
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	3	$94	2,477	47	+2,430	Yes	-$1	07-13 14:28
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	13	$92	367	264	+103	Yes	-$28	08-12 02:19
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	4	$92	78	78	+0	No	+$12	07-29 20:04
Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?	3	$90	108	108	+0	Yes	-$30	08-08 10:10
Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by August 31, 2026?	3	$90	55	55	+0	Yes	+$8	08-23 11:21
Will there be fewer than 4 North Korea tests in August 2026?	2	$88	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	08-25 14:39
israel closes its airspace by august 15	6	$87	98	98	+0	No	-$8	08-02 04:44
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	4	$85	57	57	+0	Yes	+$16	07-14 11:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-26 22:13:27	Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?	Under	SELL	54	28¢	$15	0xc0b454…
08-26 22:13:27	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	189	13¢	$24	0x7eb87f…
08-26 22:13:27	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	191	17¢	$32	0x4ac12b…
08-26 00:14:15	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	161	14¢	$23	0x85fe3d…
08-26 00:08:57	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0x31c1e7…
08-25 23:11:16	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	191	18¢	$34	0x70651a…
08-25 19:05:36	Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?	Under	SELL	39	41¢	$16	0x1f2e88…
08-25 18:06:09	Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?	Under	BUY	93	45¢	$42	0x9730a3…
08-25 14:39:15	Will there be fewer than 4 North Korea tests in August 2026?	No	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x3ee9fe…
08-25 14:09:22	Will there be fewer than 4 North Korea tests in August 2026?	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x411912…
08-25 13:00:54	Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?	Yes	SELL	61	35¢	$21	0x5fecb1…
08-24 13:57:40	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?	No	SELL	49	81¢	$40	0x50f568…
08-24 13:39:46	Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x350eee…
08-24 13:34:31	US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?	Yes	BUY	51	74¢	$38	0xae0d88…
08-24 01:52:22	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$7	0x852602…
08-24 00:17:34	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?	No	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xf26ab0…
08-23 11:22:45	Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	61¢	$26	0x1dca4a…
08-23 11:21:21	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	375	3¢	$11	0xd15feb…
08-23 11:21:21	Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	90¢	$49	0x456586…
08-23 08:55:34	Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x748d0c…
08-23 08:45:39	Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xbdd97b…
08-22 16:56:19	will steve witkoff visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126051	Yes	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x43a0a1…
08-22 13:47:10	will steve witkoff visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126051	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xad6132…
08-21 16:55:30	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0xf5aefb…
08-21 16:39:57	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	64	17¢	$11	0xbde3a7…
08-21 16:26:06	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?	Yes	BUY	64	27¢	$17	0xee34c0…
08-21 10:32:13	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	BUY	118	5¢	$6	0xc72b85…
08-21 09:37:03	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	BUY	147	5¢	$7	0xf79025…
08-21 07:24:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x9c157d…
08-20 23:57:30	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	136	8¢	$10	0x6cae54…
08-20 23:26:31	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0x666b17…
08-20 23:26:31	will the uss abraham lincoln depart centcom by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	28	75¢	$21	0x09abbc…
08-20 23:13:25	will the uss abraham lincoln depart centcom by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x653589…
08-20 22:34:52	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x8e298a…
08-20 22:20:01	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x3de952…
08-20 21:14:58	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xdc0ff0…
08-20 20:48:48	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xff444b…
08-20 20:28:46	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x36b04d…
08-20 20:19:25	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	36	33¢	$12	0x38a9d1…
08-20 19:26:43	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xa11d5f…
08-20 19:14:31	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf605d6…
08-20 19:04:00	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0xd70773…
08-20 18:53:16	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$1	0xf56060…
08-20 18:30:58	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x0299e1…
08-20 18:17:25	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0xa90c7e…
08-20 18:06:25	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xc7d538…
08-20 17:53:54	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd5b8ce…
08-18 15:38:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	51	89¢	$45	0xd7882e…
08-17 15:11:04	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	26	87¢	$23	0x206509…
08-17 15:11:00	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0x4df92d…
08-17 15:10:55	Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0xbbe07c…
08-17 15:10:49	Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xc2ff18…
08-17 15:10:45	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	No	SELL	24	73¢	$17	0x8aa80b…
08-17 15:10:39	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	SELL	36	89¢	$32	0xd7dd9f…
08-17 15:10:27	Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x63a27a…
08-17 15:10:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	39	85¢	$33	0x5094d4…
08-17 15:10:13	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x212f1c…
08-17 11:15:25	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	SELL	29	25¢	$7	0x478791…
08-17 10:32:42	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0xa0abb5…
08-17 10:31:39	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	SELL	27	38¢	$10	0xcf6c39…
08-17 10:31:31	Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?	No	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0xf3b828…
08-17 10:16:49	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xd0ccee…
08-17 10:15:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	23	90¢	$20	0x71739b…
08-17 10:15:33	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x104a7d…
08-17 10:15:24	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	Yes	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0xf0e596…
08-17 09:41:55	Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?	No	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0x0b010b…
08-17 09:19:21	Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xa62988…
08-17 09:18:18	Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	71	15¢	$11	0x817c02…
08-17 09:18:12	Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	SELL	34	22¢	$7	0x292d50…
08-17 09:17:25	Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0x1926e9…
08-17 09:16:22	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	Yes	SELL	48	13¢	$6	0xfce922…
08-17 09:16:16	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	286	2¢	$6	0xea4689…
08-17 09:10:43	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xb1649f…
08-17 08:59:24	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x125b23…
08-17 07:36:10	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0x518656…
08-17 07:36:07	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0xd2ff30…
08-17 07:35:58	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	SELL	42	20¢	$8	0x199fdc…
08-17 05:34:52	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	No	BUY	18	75¢	$13	0xd27f38…
08-17 05:34:51	Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x41fddc…
08-17 05:05:25	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0xe417df…
08-17 05:05:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x776da7…
08-17 05:05:09	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xe4d891…
08-17 05:05:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	133	5¢	$7	0x8696bc…
08-17 04:10:10	Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xa19d27…
08-17 04:09:48	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0xc0d763…
08-17 02:49:39	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	286	3¢	$8	0x0b1b8e…
08-17 02:03:40	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	BUY	41	27¢	$11	0xc7c1d5…
08-17 02:03:39	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xdca65b…
08-17 02:03:37	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	SELL	35	26¢	$9	0x1c46e4…
08-17 01:57:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0x6b53c3…
08-17 01:57:07	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	SELL	38	11¢	$4	0xbdeb51…
08-17 01:57:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	186	1¢	$2	0xd28d4d…
08-17 01:56:52	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x017834…
08-17 00:49:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xb1f40a…
08-16 19:46:27	Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0x9ade01…
08-16 19:46:25	will donald trump attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044254	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0x1e4288…
08-16 15:09:04	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0xf98d49…
08-16 12:33:27	will donald trump attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044254	Yes	BUY	151	7¢	$10	0xb11a2a…
08-16 09:58:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	133	6¢	$8	0xf9d705…
08-16 08:53:33	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	BUY	36	87¢	$31	0xbace81…