Delirious-Nectarine 0x4d5e3e…04a877
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Realized P&L
-$54
Unrealized P&L
+$363
Hit rate
58.8%
Resolved
36
Trades
382
lifetime
Volume
$6.66K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$1.92K
11 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 10-28 12:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
66% 24% -$520
Crypto
17% 17% +$413
Politics
12% — —
Tech
5% 67% +$54
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +902 $417 77¢ $696 +$279 10-13 11:02
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +1,001 $303 28¢ $275 -$28 10-20 00:43
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +700 $290 36¢ $256 -$35 10-20 00:45
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +1,001 $145 24¢ $235 +$90 09-30 00:51
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $66 17¢ $172 +$107 10-15 20:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +600 $140 22¢ $129 -$11 10-14 16:32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +200 $148 64¢ $127 -$21 10-26 23:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +200 $24 12¢ $23 -$1 10-26 23:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +100 $14 6¢ $6 -$8 09-25 05:46
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +200 $7 1¢ $2 -$5 10-27 06:14
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? Yes +101 $5 1¢ $1 -$4 09-16 19:42