Close-Misrepresentation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

204

3,201 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$414

$7.65K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 10-09 15:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 57% +$201

Other

5% 45% -$8

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 05:35 UTC	4	$118	83	83	+0	Down	+$24	07-16 05:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 16:35 UTC	7	$105	144	0	+144	Down	-$9	08-27 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$91	66	66	+0	Down	+$23	05-12 20:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 05:30 UTC	2	$88	62	62	+0	Up	+$11	07-16 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 15:50 UTC	8	$88	120	59	+61	Up	-$8	08-27 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 16:55 UTC	34	$57	262	0	+262	Down	-$51	08-28 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 20:50 UTC	1	$52	90	0	+90	Down	+$38	07-03 20:49
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 19:40 UTC	1	$50	97	0	+97	Down	+$47	07-10 19:38
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:30 UTC	2	$46	78	0	+78	Up	+$32	07-16 17:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 16:20 UTC	15	$46	118	0	+118	Up	+$12	08-27 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 05:25 UTC	3	$45	50	25	+25	Up	-$16	07-16 05:25
cs2 npg inox 2026 07 30	14	$44	49	42	+7	INOX Division	+$2	07-30 12:47
ethereum up or down august 5 2026 3am et	4	$40	40	40	+0	Up	+$30	08-05 08:04
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 18:00 UTC	1	$40	75	0	+75	Up	+$35	07-13 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 16:25 UTC	8	$34	79	0	+79	Down	+$9	08-27 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 10:40 UTC	12	$32	66	0	+66	Up	-$1	08-26 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	08-06 16:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 16:30 UTC	5	$29	60	0	+60	Up	-$29	08-06 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 16:25 UTC	5	$29	61	0	+61	Up	+$1	08-06 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$29	33	17	+17	Down	+$12	05-27 17:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 18:30 UTC	6	$28	62	0	+62	Down	+$2	08-26 18:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 18:55 UTC	4	$28	40	0	+40	Up	-$1	08-26 18:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 08:15 UTC	3	$27	21	21	+0	Up	+$5	06-07 08:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 18:25 UTC	5	$27	61	0	+61	Down	+$3	08-26 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$27	18	18	+0	Down	+$7	05-19 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$27	15	15	+0	Down	+$3	05-16 17:28
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 17:45 UTC	2	$27	19	19	+0	Up	+$7	07-20 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$27	18	18	+0	Down	+$9	05-18 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:45 UTC	2	$26	46	0	+46	Up	+$20	07-16 07:45
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:45 UTC	2	$26	48	0	+48	Up	+$21	07-16 07:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 15:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa95a2b…
10-09 15:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc0f35c…
10-09 15:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x91eec2…
10-09 15:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x28bfa3…
10-09 15:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa20e32…
10-09 15:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd69cb1…
10-09 15:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x732861…
10-09 15:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa3398b…
10-09 15:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc09b0f…
10-09 15:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x96679e…
10-09 15:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x3f6691…
10-09 15:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x3d5985…
10-09 15:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0xb3acf7…
10-09 15:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xac5c37…
10-09 15:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xac7f1b…
10-09 15:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x026db8…
10-09 15:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x74cef5…
10-09 15:01:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa97aca…
10-09 15:01:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x550bfb…
10-09 15:01:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xeba56c…
10-09 15:00:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xcc7826…
10-09 14:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd9f6f9…
10-09 14:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x67c449…
10-09 14:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6b34bf…
10-09 14:50:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x77bce6…
10-09 14:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x79f67c…
10-09 14:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2acd56…
10-09 14:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x25afee…
10-09 14:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb325ec…
10-09 14:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x1ab6a1…
10-09 14:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2b4c4a…
10-09 14:31:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa53ef6…
10-09 14:31:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x65fb18…
10-09 14:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x84a30b…
10-09 14:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x03aec6…
10-09 14:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf025f4…
10-09 14:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x07fbe0…
10-09 14:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc0c6c9…
10-09 14:21:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xe133c1…
10-09 14:20:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x4ab1ad…
10-09 14:20:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x66f435…
10-09 14:20:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x329e7a…
10-09 14:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x717a4f…
10-09 14:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x46f242…
10-09 14:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x8f97d3…
10-09 14:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaa2a75…
10-09 14:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x416ea5…
10-09 14:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6173f1…
10-09 14:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xfe7d3c…
10-09 14:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6db506…
10-09 14:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x719a8a…
10-09 13:55:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1aeb70…
10-09 13:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xf7a9ef…
10-09 13:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xf832a0…
10-09 13:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xc8b9d5…
10-09 13:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x25b648…
10-09 13:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe0ee45…
10-09 13:45:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xdfd902…
10-09 13:45:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd69d68…
10-09 13:45:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc3650b…
10-09 13:41:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe34bf7…
10-09 13:41:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x853606…
10-09 13:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x773dce…
10-09 13:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x84da15…
10-09 13:36:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x09cbb0…
10-09 13:36:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x5353f1…
10-09 13:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x285114…
10-09 13:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xaa226b…
10-09 13:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	62¢	$0	0x6e805e…
10-09 13:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x52020c…
10-09 13:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcad7d2…
10-09 13:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0e5a26…
10-09 13:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xbf0d6e…
10-09 13:25:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x35be85…
10-09 13:25:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa21294…
10-09 13:25:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1d1fc8…
10-09 13:25:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x16c84f…
10-09 13:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcaa846…
10-09 13:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc7112f…
10-09 13:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2eecfb…
10-09 13:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x711ce3…
10-09 13:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x343b3c…
10-09 13:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb6b5bc…
10-09 13:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x35faba…
10-09 13:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xcf3789…
10-09 13:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf919a3…
10-09 12:56:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf22442…
10-09 12:55:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2d9803…
10-09 12:55:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6c1b8e…
10-09 12:55:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x70eabf…
10-09 11:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc6fdc5…
10-09 11:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x3670de…
10-09 11:35:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd38f24…
10-09 11:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x39d2e4…
10-09 11:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xeadb92…
10-09 11:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0d8f67…
10-09 11:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x357e36…
10-09 11:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x65f136…
10-09 11:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4b0da7…
10-09 11:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x42f8d6…